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Radio

MPR Poll: The race for governor

Minnesota Public Radio
November 1, 2006

MPR Poll Results - The 2006 race for governor

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION
I am going to read a list of candidates for the 2006 election. The first name is _____________. Do you recognize that name? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

Name Recognition

Candidate Recognize Favorable Recognize Unfavorable Recognize Neutral Don't Recognize
Mike Hatch 44% 32% 21% 3%
Tim Pawlenty 42% 39% 18% 5%
Peter Hutchinson 12% 17% 40% 31%

QUESTION: : If the 2006 election for governor were held today, for whom would you vote?

Option
State
Men
Women
DFL
GOP
IND
Metro
Rest of state
Hatch
44%
42%
46%
83%
5%
36%
48%
38%
Pawlenty
42%
46%
38%
6%
86%
37%
36%
50%
Hutchinson
4%
4%
4%
1%
2%
12
5%
3%
Pentel
2%
1%
3%
1%
1%
4%
2%
2%
Other
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
3%
1%
1%
Undecided
7%
6%
8%
8%
5%
8%
8%
6%

QUESTION: : What do you believe are the most important issues in the governor's race

Option
Result
Taxes/Budget
29%
Education/Schools
24%
Economy/jobs
11%
Moral issues/family values
9%
Health care
8%
Crime
2%
Roads/transportation
1%
Other
5%
Not sure
10%

QUESTION: :How would you rate the performance of Tim Pawlenty as governor: excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?

Option
State
Men
Women
DFL
GOP
IND
Excellent
14%
15%
13%
2%
29%
12%
Good
33%
38%
28%
11%
55%
36%
Fair
25%
24%
26%
39%
13%
22%
Poor
27%
23%
31%
48%
3%
28%
Undecided
1%
--
2%
--
--
2%



HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

The Mason-Dixon Minnesota Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 26 through October 30, 2006. A total of 625 registered Minnesota voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.

SAMPLE FIGURES:

REGION

Men 304 (49%) Women 320(51%)
Hennepin/Ramsey Counties 210 interviews
Twin Cities Suburbs 150 interviews
Rochester/Southeast 70 interviews
Southwest Minnesota 60 interviews
Northwest Minnesota 65 interviews
Duluth/Northeast 70 interviews