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MPR Poll: The race for governor
MPR Poll Results - The 2006 race for governor
STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION
I am going to read a list of candidates for the 2006 election.
The first name is _____________. Do you recognize that name?
(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?
Name Recognition
| Candidate | Recognize Favorable | Recognize Unfavorable | Recognize Neutral | Don't Recognize |
| Mike Hatch | 44% | 32% | 21% | 3% |
| Tim Pawlenty | 42% | 39% | 18% | 5% |
| Peter Hutchinson | 12% | 17% | 40% | 31% |
QUESTION: : If the 2006 election for governor were held today, for whom would you vote?
| Option |
State |
Men |
Women |
DFL |
GOP |
IND |
Metro |
Rest of state |
Hatch |
44% |
42% |
46% |
83% |
5% |
36% |
48% |
38% |
Pawlenty |
42% |
46% |
38% |
6% |
86% |
37% |
36% |
50% |
Hutchinson |
4% |
4% |
4% |
1% |
2% |
12 |
5% |
3% |
Pentel |
2% |
1% |
3% |
1% |
1% |
4% |
2% |
2% |
Other |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
3% |
1% |
1% |
Undecided |
7% |
6% |
8% |
8% |
5% |
8% |
8% |
6% |
QUESTION: : What do you believe are the most important issues in the governor's race
| Option |
Result |
Taxes/Budget |
29% |
Education/Schools |
24% |
Economy/jobs |
11% |
Moral issues/family values |
9% |
Health care |
8% |
Crime |
2% |
Roads/transportation |
1% |
Other |
5% |
Not sure |
10% |
QUESTION: :How would you rate the performance of Tim Pawlenty as governor: excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?
| Option |
State |
Men |
Women |
DFL |
GOP |
IND |
Excellent |
14% |
15% |
13% |
2% |
29% |
12% |
Good |
33% |
38% |
28% |
11% |
55% |
36% |
Fair |
25% |
24% |
26% |
39% |
13% |
22% |
Poor |
27% |
23% |
31% |
48% |
3% |
28% |
Undecided |
1% |
-- |
2% |
-- |
-- |
2% |
HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED
The Mason-Dixon Minnesota Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 26 through October 30, 2006. A total of 625 registered Minnesota voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.
SAMPLE FIGURES:
| Men 304 (49%) | Women 320(51%) |
| Hennepin/Ramsey Counties | 210 interviews |
| Twin Cities Suburbs | 150 interviews |
| Rochester/Southeast | 70 interviews |
| Southwest Minnesota | 60 interviews |
| Northwest Minnesota | 65 interviews |
| Duluth/Northeast | 70 interviews |
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