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Radio

MPR Poll Results - The 2006 race for governor

Minnesota Public Radio
September 21, 2006

Statewide Name Recognition
I am going to read a list of candidates for the 2006 election. The first name is _____________. Do you recognize that name? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

NAME RECOGNITION

Candidate Recognize Favorable Recognize Unfavorable Recognize Neutral Don't Recognize
Tim Pawlenty 40% 35% 23% 2%
Mike Hatch 39% 23% 34% 5%
Peter Hutchinson 10% 5% 36% 49%

QUESTION: : If the 2006 election for governor were held today, for whom would you vote?

Option
State
Men
Women
DFL
GOP
IND
Metro
Rest of state
Pawlenty
42%
44%
40%
9%
87%
29%
37%
48%
Hatch
39%
35%
43%
71%
6%
38%
42%
35%
Hutchinson
5%
6%
4%
8%
--
7%
6%
4%
Pentel
2%
2%
2%
1%
--
5%
2%
2%
Other
1%
1%
1%
1%
--
2%
1%
1%
Undecided
11%
12%
10%
10%
7%
19%
11%
10%

QUESTION: : What do you believe are the most important issues in the governor's race

Option
Result
Taxes/Budget
35%
Education/Schools
24%
Health care
9%
Economy/jobs
5%
Moral issues/family values
5%
Roads/transportation
2%
Environment/sprawl
1%
Other
7%
Not sure
12%

QUESTION: :How would you rate the performance of Tim Pawlenty as governor: excellent, pretty good, only fair or poor?

Option
State
Men
Women
DFL
GOP
IND
Excellent
13%
16%
10%
--
32%
7%
Good
33%
35%
31%
21%
48%
32%
Fair
32%
29%
35
44%
13%
40%
Poor
21%
19%
23%
35%
6%
19%
Undecided
1%
1%
1%
--
1%
2%

QUESTION: : Would you say things in Minnesota are on the right track or the wrong track?

Option
State
Men
Women
DFL
GOP
IND
Right track
51%
53%
49%
33%
76%
43%
Wrong track
37%
37%
37%
51%
17%
43%
Not sure
12%
10%
14%
16%
7%
14%


HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED

The Mason-Dixon Minnesota Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from September 18 through September 20, 2006. A total of 625 registered Minnesota voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.

SAMPLE FIGURES:

Region

Men 305 (49%) Women 320 (51%)
Hennepin/Ramsey Counties 210 interviews
Twin Cities Suburbs 150 interviews
Rochester/Southeast 70 interviews
Southwest Minnesota 60 interviews
Northwest Minnesota 65 interviews
Duluth/Northeast 70 interviews