First Tornado of 2013 skips through southwest Minnesota Friday evening:
A lone supercell thunderstorm produced the season's 1st confirmed tornado sightings in Minnesota Friday evening. Here are the reports from the Sioux Falls NWS.
FSD issues Tornado Warning for Cottonwood, Jackson [MN] till 6:15 PM CDT * AT 545 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WILDER AND MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.
FSD: 3 N Lakefield [Jackson Co, MN] law enforcement reports TORNADO at 06:10 PM CDT -- relayed by jackson county emergency management
Splash & Dash
This weekend features a little something for everyone in Minnesota.
Soaking rain for your lawn & garden? Check.
Sunny, "beach-worthy" hours with highs in the 80s? Roger that.
A little humidity with dew points in the 60s? Copy that.
A Sunday PM severe threat just to keep the weatherman on his toes? Yup.
Big, recently angry Lake Mille Lacs will finally go completely ice free this weekend after stubbornly clinging to the last chunks of ice this week.
You can't please all of the people all of the time, but here's a look at why this weekend's weather may offer a little something for everyone.
Weekend Weather Grab Bag: Pick your spots
Timing is everything.
You'll have opportunities to get just about anything done this weekend outside...but you'll have to pick your spots.
After a possible early morning round of showers and T-Storms, Saturday looks like the "drier" day of the weekend...but with that pesky low swirling in the eastern Dakotas we can't rule out an isolated shower or T-Storm at any point this weekend.
Still...I can see many dry hours Saturday, and high should reach the lower 80s. It will feel like summer again in most of Minnesota Saturday afternoon.
Saturday's severe threat is focused in western Minnesota and the eastern Dakotas. The best chance for a T-Storm with damaging winds and hail? Sioux Falls to Canby and Ortonville.
Here's Saturday's risk area from SPC.
By Sunday the severe risk spreads east as upper level energy moves in over southern Minnesota. That means severe storms may roam southern Minnesota Sunday afternoon and evening...including the Twin Cities.
Here's the verbiage in Sunday's "convective outlook" from SPC.
...NRN PLAINS/UPPER MS VALLEY/MID-MO VALLEY...
AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS ON SUNDAY AS SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE MID-MO VALLEY AND UPPER MS VALLEY. AT THE SFC...A LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING SWD INTO THE MID-MO VALLEY. THE SFC TROUGH SHOULD BE THE FOCUS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THE MODELS SUGGEST SEVERAL THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS OR AN MCS WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE NEWD ACROSS THE REGION. A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS FORECAST ALONG WITH STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR PROFILES SUGGESTING THAT WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
Bottom Line? Keep an eye out Sunday afternoon/evening for the possibility of watches and warnings and severe storms.
"Enhanced language" in new Impact Based Warnings:
Friday we got our 1st preview of some eye catching language in NWS new "Impact Based Warnings" that debut in Minnesota this year.
This storm near Windom produced the 1st tornado report of the year in Minnesota Friday evening.
Here's the warning for the 1st tornado of 2013 in Minnesota Friday evening.
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SIOUX FALLS SD
547 PM CDT FRI MAY 17 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SIOUX FALLS HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTH CENTRAL COTTONWOOD COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...
NORTH CENTRAL JACKSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...
* UNTIL 615 PM CDT
* AT 545 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WILDER
AND MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH.
HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.
* THE TORNADO WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTH CENTRAL JACKSON AND SOUTH CENTRAL COTTONWOOD COUNTIES.
Get used to the more "graphic" language as part of an effort to get us all to take appropriate action...and warnings more seriously when they are issued.
The slow moving weather systems does have it's benefits.
We still need a good soaking in many areas to douse the drought. Take a look at NOAA's rainfall forecast for the next 5-7 days.
Good news for farmers and anyone else who depends on water for life. Oh wait...that's all of us.
Mille Lacs: Latest ice out on record
Lake Mille Lacs has been one big, stubborn, angry lake lately.
You can still see chunks of ice floating on the east side of the big lake Friday from the Hunter's Point resort webcam.
Last weekend's "ice attack" was one thing. This week Mille Lacs decided to deliver another unprecedented event.
According to the MN DNR, this is the latest ice out on record for Mille Lacs, besting the previous record of May 15th, 1950.
Most other lakes in central and northern Minnesota have been totally ice free for days including Leech, Red and even Fall lake near Ely.
Get the latest ice out dates here.
And then there's... Prom Night 2013:
Please forgive the brief digression, but I just can't resist.
Friday evening is Prom Night for Minnetonka High School, and many other young people in Minnesota.
Our son Luke is a senior at MHS and will graduate in 3 weeks. He's headed for the University of Kansas later this summer where's he's been accepted into the William Allen White School of Journalism and Mass Communications to study advertising.
Here's what it's like to be almost 18 and headed for prom night. Ahh...to be 18 again, if only for a night!
And no that's not his cherry red Audi...a loaner from some very generous friends.
Travel well young man!
Call it our May Monsoon...or a "June Preview."
Either way get ready for a change for the wetter the next few days. This is the rainy season in Minnesota.
A strong low pressure system that will "stall" over the eastern Dakotas and western Minnesota this weekend into next week.
Occasional bouts of rain and thunder...and some of the rain will be heavy at times.
No, the weekend won't be a total washout, but you'll have to pick your spots to enjoy that Twins game or stroll through Art-A-Whirl "up Nordeast."
In this Updraft we'll try and time out some of the rain...and track rapid ice out trends in central and northern Minnesota this week.
Yes, that's a lot of rain & thunderstorm symbols in the NWS forecast the next few days.
To be sure, most of Minnesota will see several bouts of showers and T-Storms into early next week. The good news is...even though rain will come down heavy at times, the weekend won't be a total wash out.
-Latest Twin Cities radar loop from WxUnderground
Here's a quick breakdown of the weekend at this point:
Friday: Wave #1 rolls in with showers and T-Storms overnight through Friday morning. Rain focuses on southern Minnesota and will be locally heavy at times...and overall rainfall totals should be between .50" and 1" including the Twin Cities... but may top 1" in some areas.
Most of the rain should fall in the AM hours...and we may some peeks of PM/evening sun in the metro.
Saturday & Sunday:
As the low spins in the eastern Dakotas this weekend...scattered showers and T-Storms will pop up around Minnesota.
Right now...Saturday looks like the drier day for the metro. I can't rule out a stray shower or T-Storm...but we should see many dry hours Saturday. High temps should approach 80F in the south...with 60s & 70s up north.
Sunday looks like the wetter day of the weekend as showers & T-Storms become more widespread. You'll notice the humidity by Sunday as dew points climb into the summer like 60s!
Severe Threat Increases:
The risk for severe storms increases Saturday over the eastern Dakotas and far western Minnesota. I am concerned there will be enough spin...or "wind shear" to produce some tornadoes Saturday...especially in eastern South Dakota and far western Minnesota.
Chances for a few severe storms may increase close to southern Minnesota...and possibly as far north as the metro by Sunday evening as more upper level energy rides in fromt the southwest. Looking at the maps, I anticipate NOAA's SPC may bump the risk area north Friday to include the metro for Sunday afternoon and evening.
Keep an eye and ear out for the possibility of an increased threat for severe storms...and possibly a few tornadoes in southern Minnesota Sunday afternoon and evening.
Monday & Tuesday: The wettest period may actually be Monday & Tuesday as the stalled upper low begins to pull east over Minnesota.
The patchwork of occasional scattered rain the next few days will give most areas a good shot at some widespread 2"+ rainfall totals. A bigger area of 3" top 5"+ totals will favor the northwest half of Minnesota.
Check out the impressive totals from NOAA's "Weather Prediction Center" (WPC)
The good news is we can use a good soaking for lakes, rivers, lawns and fields.
Going...going... gone: Ice going fast up north
This week's warmth and breezes has taken out ice fast in central and northern Minnesota.
Many lakes in northern Minnesota are now ice free...including many of the BWCA area lakes.
Here's the closeup 250 meter resolution NASA MODIS shot over northeast MN Thursday.
Even sprawling and stubborn "Ice Queen" Lake Mille Lacs is finally giving up her icy crust. Check out the sequence of NASA MODIS satellite shots this week that shows the big lake nearly ice free as of Wednesday.
Not all the ice is out at Mille Lacs. Here's the webcam shot from an "iced in" Hunter's Point Resort on the east side of Mille Lacs Thursday.
You can catch up with the latest ice out reports as the come into the MN DNR here.
Paul Huttner(0 Comments)
Classic Spring Weather
"Normal" weather...what a concept.
No big extremes ahead for the next few days...just a mix of sunny tranquil days, scattered showers and thunderstorms, some local grass greening downpours, and some sunny warm hours mixed in for good measure this weekend.
Kind of sounds like "May" in Minnesota.
Our weather pattern starts tranquil today, then takes a turn for the rainy.
In this Updraft we track some probable hefty rainfall totals over the next 5 days, and look between the clouds for some dry, sunny and warm hours this weekend.
Not a total washout...but you may have to pick your spots this weekend.
Typical for May in Minnesota.
Today is as good as it gets.
Plenty of sun and temps pushing into the low 80s is good tonic for us this spring. Get out and enjoy the sun and warmth today. Clouds will increase later this afternoon and evening.
Friday: Wet start...sunny finish?
I'm watching clusters of showers and T-Storms today rumbling through Nebraska and South Dakota. That's our weather fare for Friday morning.
An upper level wave will trigger round #1 of what could be a series of rain & T-Storm clusters this the next few days. Look for rain to increase in southwest Minnesota tonight...and roll into the Twin Cities before AM drive time Friday morning. It should be a wet commute Friday AM in the metro.
The European Model "meteogram" favors a few rainy hours between 4am and noon tomorrow.
Soaking rainfall totals Friday morning between .50" and 1" are quite possible across the southern third of Minnesota, including the metro.
Weekend Split: Saturday the nicer & drier day?
If you're looking for a few dry hours to stroll Art-A-Whirl or any other outdoor fare this weekend Saturday may be your best bet.
Scattered storms will favor the northern half of Minnesota Saturday, but I can't rule out an hour of rain in the metro or a passing shower/T-Storm.
Sunday looks like the wetter day of the weekend right now...as a slow moving low pressure system stalls in eastern South Dakota.
Sunday & Monday look like the best chances for several hours of rain.
Rainfall totals could easily be over 2" by then in many locations. Keep in mind spring & summer "convective" rainfall is usually scattered...and rainfall totals can vary greatly a mile down the road.
Today's new U.S. Drought Monitor shows little change in drought in Minnesota from last week. Southeast Minnesota...and a sliver of far northern Minnesota are still "drought free" with near average soil moisture.
There are still sizeable chunks of western Minnesota that are in moderate to severe drought.
The rains the next few days look well placed to potentially erase some more drought areas in Minnesota.
If 4"+ totals verify by next Tuesday in western Minnesota, that would go a long way toward wiping out drought.
Weather fingers & toes crossed.
Paul Huttner(0 Comments)
"Goldilocks" Forecast Thursday
It just doesn't get any better than this. Not too warm...not too cold. Just right.
In my 30+ years of "weather feedback"...Wednesday was what most Minnesotans think of as "perfect weather."
Our pristine blue spring sky, decorative white clouds and budding green leaves seem long overdue this year.
In this Updraft we celebrate a repeat performance Thursday, then turn our eyes to a wetter weather pattern starting Friday. That's some good news for parts of Minnesota and Wisconsin that have been fighting wildfires in this week's warm dry air mass.
Spectacular Thursday...then "May Monsoon" kicks in:
Get out and enjoy Thursday. Thursday starts sunny...then high clouds filter in as the day wears on. Another day near 80F in May is a bonus this spring.
Our weather pattern goes back to wet mode starting Friday.
A slow-moving low sets up in the eastern Dakotas and will linger through the weekend...and into early next week.
This means waves of occasional showers & T-Storms across Minnesota from Friday through next Tuesday.
Drought Buster? Some of the storms will produce locally heavy downpours through this weekend into next week.
NWS Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts (QPF) cranks out some 3"+ rainfall totals over a big swath of Minnesota and the Upper Midwest by next Tuesday.
The rainfall could further help alleviate what's left of drought in Minnesota in the next week.
Severe stays south?
I have my doubts about this right now...but NOAA's SPC is keeping most of the severe stuf south of Minnesota this weekend.
If the low tracks a little further north...I think we may see some strong to borderline severe storms this weekend in Minnesota.
As the old professor would often remind us, weather is seldom normal.
Some regions of Minnesota experienced record snowfall earlier in May and two weeks later, Mother Nature delivers the heat.
Here's how the Minnesota State Climate Office detailed Tuesday's heat burst.
>A taste of summer air surged into Minnesota on May 14th, sending the mercury soaring into the 80's and 90's across a good part of the state. A few locations even cracking 100 degrees. Notable exceptions were locations near ice covered lakes in northern Minnesota and near Lake Superior. At 2pm May 14th, the air temperature was 102 degrees at St. James and 44 degrees at Grand Marais.
The National Weather Service Cooperative Observer at Amboy also had a preliminary reading of 102 degrees.
Extremely dry air was in place as well, with desert-like relative humidity readings in the single digits at St. James. At 2pm while it was 102 degrees at St. James, the dew point temperature was only 28 degrees, creating a relative humidity of seven percent.
An amazing spread in maximum temperatures so far in May for Rochester: On May 3rd, Rochester set a record for the lowest maximum temperature of 33. Less than two weeks later they reach a record high of 97 on May 14th.
The National Weather Service in Chanhassen put together a nice meteorological explanation of the record heat on Tuesday
NOAA's IR satellite image validated the colder cloud tops of the showers as they moved into southwest Minnesota.
These showers are expected to diminish as they travel east this morning.
There remains quite the disparity in moisture this spring from northwest to southeast in Minnesota. Check out this map from the Minnesota from the State Climate Office on precipitation since April 1, 2013.
Showers and thundershowers are in the forecast from Thursday night through Monday. With any luck, the farmers will receive welcome moisture and your outdoor event dodges the rain. That's probably too much to expect.
Rain on the weekend. We'll deal with it one day at a time.
Posted at 5:22 PM on May 14, 2013
by Bill Endersen
A breezy push of hot, dry air from the south coupled with a strong mid-May sun pushed afternoon temperatures into record territory.
The temperature of 98F reached in the Twin Cities by 5 p.m. is not only a new record high for this date, but also the hottest ever measured at the official thermometer so early in the year.
Southern Minnesota got blasted by the hottest temperatures. Fairmont and Albert Lea were among those cities that reached the century mark. St. James reported 102 earlier in the afternoon.
A heat advisory continues until 8 p.m. from the Twin Cities to south central Minnesota including Redwood Falls, Mankato and Albert Lea.
And it was dry. When Albert Lea touched 100 degrees at 4 p.m., it also reported a dew point of just 27. Combine those two and you get a desert-like relative humidity of just 7 percent.
Another change is coming in the form of a north-south cold front crossing Minnesota toward Wisconsin. And the wind is stronger on the back side of the front than ahead of it. This map of weather station data as of 5:30 p.m. shows the sharp wind shift that locates the front and also the stronger winds from the northwest behind it:
Thunderstorms have been igniting over the southeast corner of the state and are racing eastward into Wisconsin. They show up nicely on satellite imagery:
Tuesday will be a much different day with cooler, pleasant high temperatures in the 70s
Look for lots of wet weather with periods of showers and thunderstorms from Thursday night right through the weekend. An inch or two -- or maybe three -- of rain could be on tap.
Bill Endersen(1 Comments)
After starting the month of May with record snowfall, we now are looking the first shot of hot air for much of southern and central Minnesota.
An area of showers and isolated thunderstorms was moving across eastern North Dakota and northwest Minnesota this morning. The debris clouds from the dissipating storms will slow the temperature climb somewhat for northern Minnesota.
Screen capture from 617 a.m. CDT:
With the long daylight hours and the warmth of a May sun, the mercury will surge to the lower and middle 90s on increasing southwest winds. A rogue thermometer in south central Minnesota may reach the upper 90s:
A closer look at regional high temperatures today shows the expansive area of very warm afternoon temperatures. Take it easy in the heat of the day.
This table depicts the computation of heat index values provided by the National Weather Service:
Please be cautious if you are participating in any activity that puts you in the midday sunshine. You will also be exposed to potential for sunburn.
The heat burst will be short-lived as a cool front slides through Minnesota tonight. Highs on Wednesday will be more comfortable.
Bouts of showers and thunderstorms are in store from Thursday night through the weekend. While the rain may be untimely for your planned events, it will be welcomed by the farmers.
Perhaps this afternoon is a good time to dust off the air conditioning unit!
Craig Edwards(0 Comments)
I'm beginning to think we need our own weather reality show in Minnesota.
Dear (weather) Diary:
May 3rd:18" snowfall sets all time May snowfall record for Minnesota.
May 11th: A wall of ice from Lake Mille Lacs invades shore damaging boat houses and condos.
Sunday: Frost on Mother's Day morning.
Tuesday: 90 degree heat surge triggers Fire Weather Watches and Red Flag Warnings.
Cue the locusts.
In this Updraft we try and keep up with the rapid weather changes in Minnesota.
Red Flag Warning:
Near as I can tell, the term "Red Flag Warning" originated out west when ranchers or the postmaster would hang a red flag if fire danger was high. Okay...I may be of a bit there but you get the idea. I don't know if the Pony Express still rides the plains of western Minnesota, but I do know that the combination of low humidity and gusty winds means high fire danger Tuesday.
NWS has more.
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
314 PM CDT MON MAY 13 2013
...RED FLAG WARNING FOR SOUTHERN AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY EVENING...
HOT AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL ARRIVE ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REACH THE MIDDLE 80S TO MIDDLE 90S. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE FORECAST ALONG WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR 20 PERCENT. THIS CAN RESULT IN DANGEROUS WILDFIRE CONDITIONS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA.
* WINDS...SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...SHIFTING
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 20 PERCENT.
* IMPACTS...WILDFIRES COULD BECOME FAST MOVING IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS.
Extreme Warm Front:
The infamous "thermal ridge" ...the axis of warmest air will slide right over southern Minnesota at peak temperature time Tuesday afternoon. That should mean plenty fo temps in the 90s Tuesday....with some mid 90s possible.
The record high for MSP is 95 Tuesday. We'll make a run... but I think 92F or 93F is the likely high at many metro locations Tuesday PM.
The rest of the week we should enjoy temps in the upper 70s to near 80F.
Ice out progress:
Ice is going out in more lakes in central Minnesota. Here the latest from the MN DNR.
"May you live in interesting times."
That old saying is thought to be a Chinese curse. You have to wonder if somebody uttered it regarding Minnesota's weather a few months back.
Our late winter attack is the gift that just keeps on giving.
An "Ice-Tsunami" in Lake Mille Lacs in May? At this rate the NWS is going to need a whole new category of severe weather warnings.
"Damaging Lake Ice Invasion Warning" in effect today?
Still it could have been much worse, and it was along the southern shores of Dauphin Lake west of Winnipeg, Manitoba where a 27 foot wall of ice crushed 20 lake homes. Details below.
Today we look at ice...and fire as a hot front blows in tomorrow with the 1st 90s of the season in Minnesota.
Can severe weather be far behind?
Mille Lacs Ice Invasion:
It's worth another look.
This is the most dramatic ice invasion anyone in these parts can remember on MIlle Lacs.
What just happened?
Saturday's sustained winds and gusts to over 30 mph exerted tremendous force on the ice on Mille Lacs. As the giant ice sheet moved ashore, the pressure shoved the fractured ice ashore, and the unstoppable glacial mass moved easily over relatively flat shoreline consuming everything in its path.
Sunday's NASA MODIS Terra shot shows how the strong NW winds pushed the ice on Red & Lake of the Woods southeast, with open water on the northwest shores.
Dauphin Lake Manitoba: Major damage
The ice avalanche was much worse west of Winnipeg Manitoba.
As many as 20 homes & cabins were damaged or destroyed there...literally crushed or ripped from foundations as an immense 27 foot high wall of ice grinded ashore Friday night. Details from the Winnipeg Free Press.
A local state of emergency has been declared in a western Manitoba municipality after homes in Ochre Beach were destroyed and seriously damaged by a wave of lake ice.
Area officials told CBC News the wind pushed built-up ice off Dauphin Lake on Friday evening and caused it to pile up in the community, located on the lake's southern shore.
The piles of ice, which were more than nine metres tall in some cases, destroyed at least six homes and cottages, according to the Rural Municipality of Ochre River.
Another 14 homes suffered extensive damage, with some structures knocked off their foundations.
Clayton Watts, Ochre River's deputy reeve, said it's a miracle no one was hurt.
He told CBC News one minute people were watching hockey in their living rooms, the next they heard something that sounded like a freight train near their homes.
"It happened so quick," said Watts. "And you can't predict it -- not like water that slowly comes up."
Watts said there are several cabins that were completely flattened by the wall of ice that came at them.
"The ice is over top of them, they've been crushed, there's nothing left," he said.
"There are other cabins that have been knocked right off their footings," he continued. "There's ice right over top of some of the cabins, coming over the roof on the other side."
According to Environment Canada winds were registered at about 80 km/h in the area Friday night.
Hot Front Ahead: Instant July Tuesday
From heat to AC in 36 hours?
Welcome to "Extreme Minnesota."
A "Fire Weather Watch" Tuesday means any fires that start could rapidly spead...fanned by the tinder dry air mass and high winds.
URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
511 AM CDT MON MAY 13 2013
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
MINNESOTA TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY EVENING...
HOT AND BREEZY WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL ARRIVE ON TUESDAY... WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO REACH THE MIDDLE 80S TO MIDDLE 90S. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS FROM 15 TO 25 MPH ARE FORECAST ALONG WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES NEAR 20 PERCENT. THIS MAY RESULT IN DANGEROUS WILDFIRE CONDITIONS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA.
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE...
LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...
FOLEY...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE...CENTER CITY...MADISON...BENSON...
BLAINE...ST. PAUL...STILLWATER...GRANITE FALLS...OLIVIA...
REDWOOD FALLS...NEW ULM...ST. PETER...LE SUEUR...FARIBAULT...
ST. JAMES...MANKATO...WASECA...OWATONNA...FAIRMONT...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA
511 AM CDT MON MAY 13 2013
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING FOR WIND AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
* WINDS...SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH... WITH GUSTS UP TO
* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AS LOW AS 20 PERCENT.
* IMPACTS...WILDFIRES COULD BECOME FAST MOVING IN A SHORT PERIOD
OF TIME DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS.
1-Day Heat Wave:
Temps will soar into the lower 90s Tuesday afternoon. A fresh northwest breeze provides free AC as cool into the upper 70s the rest of this week. That's my kind of cool front!
Stormy next weekend?
The next slow moving low pressure system crawls through Minnesota next weekend (perfect timing) with scattered (soaking?) rain and thunder...and maybe our 1st severe weather of the season.
Right now SPC keeps most of the severe risk south of Minnesota this weekend, but that may change this week.
This week I predicted "ice drifts" would come ashore on Mille Lacs with high winds Saturday.
I had no idea it would be this bad.
Sustained winds near 20 mph, with gusts to near 40 mph shoved an avalanche of ice from Lake Mille Lacs onshore Saturday.
Take a look at the incredible video at Izatys as the unstoppable "ice invasion" rolls ashore...and busts right through doors and into townhomes.
Here is a shot from a boathouse near Izatys that was swarmed... inundated, and damaged by a wall of ice that pushed ashore.
I have seen many things in 30 years of forecasting weather in Minnesota. I have never seen anything like this.
Maybe NWS will need to come up with a new type of "Damaging Lake Ice Invasion Warning" for future outbreaks.
Thankfully winds Sunday should be under 10mph and I don't expect a repeat performance.
But Monday winds will shift into the south and could gust over 20 mph at times. Persons on the north shore of Mille Lacs should be alert for possible "onshore ice floes" Monday.
Paul Huttner(14 Comments)