Posted at 8:08 AM on January 5, 2012
by MPR News Staff
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
By ANNE D'INNOCENZIO, AP Retail Writer
NEW YORK (AP) -- Many retailers are reporting solid sales gains for December, capping a decent holiday season, but shoppers bent on discounts exacted a high price.
Merchants had to mark down coats and other gifts to get shoppers to buy in a challenging economy. That resulted in a string of retailers, including Target Corp. The Children's Place Retail Stores Inc. and Destination Maternity, reducing their earnings outlooks.
The heavy discounting is also raising concern about what it will take to get shoppers to spend again in coming months.
As retailers reported their results Thursday, Limited Brands Inc., Macy's Inc. and Nordstrom Inc. posted strong revenue gains that beat analysts' estimates. Among the notable laggards was Target Corp., which cut its earnings outlook after a slim sales gain that was below expectations.
The revenue figures are based on revenue at stores open at least a year. That is considered a key indicator of a retailer's health because it excludes results from stores recently opened or closed.
"Sales were decent, but not great," said Ken Perkins, president of RetailMetrics, "It was a highly promotional environment. There were clear winners and losers in the holiday season. It just tells you how difficult it was to drive traffic against a backdrop of a soft economy."
December's results offer an important benchmark for retailers and economists. During the holiday shopping season, merchants can make up to 40 percent of their annual revenue. The period that runs from November through December also gives valuable insights into what it takes to get Americans to spend in the weak economy.
Clearly, it took a lot of "50 percent off" signs to win over shoppers. For the official start of the holiday shopping season, stores opened as early as Thanksgiving Day, plying shoppers with discounts that resulted in record sales.
But shoppers took a longer-than-usual breather after that. Some stores had to discount more than they had planned in the final days before Christmas to attract shoppers. Post-Christmas bargains were even better. Express stores, for example, promoted an "End of Season" sale, with merchandise prices reduced by up to 70 percent.
Costco Wholesale Corp.'s revenue at stores open at least a year rose 7 percent in December, narrowly missing Wall Street's expectations. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters predicted that the figure would climb 7.6 percent.
Target, posted a 1.6 percent gain in December as consumers waited until the last minute to shop and electronics sales were weak. The company lowered its fourth-quarter guidance, and its stock tumbled in premarket trading.
Among department stores, Macy's posted a 6.2 percent increase in December, beating Wall Street's estimate of 5 percent. For November and December combined, revenue at stores opened for a year rose 5.7 percent. The department store chain raised its earnings outlook.
"Our ongoing success reflects our exceptionally talented organization, which has implemented our key strategies at a very high level in spite of weak macroeconomic conditions," Terry J. Lundgren, chairman, president and CEO of Macy's, said in a statement.
Limited, the parent of Victoria's Secret and Bath and Body Works, said Thursday that revenue at stores open at least a year rose 7 percent in December. The results beat expectations and the company raised its fourth-quarter guidance. Analysts expected a smaller 5.7 percent rise, according to Thomson Reuters.
Nordstrom had a 8.7 percent increase in revenue at stores opened at least a year. That was above the 5.1 percent forecast.
Analysts expected a smaller 5.7 percent rise, according to Thomson Reuters.
The Children's Place Retail Stores Inc. lowered its earnings guidance for its fiscal fourth quarter on Thursday, saying that higher costs and unseasonably warm weather hurt its performance as it sharply marked down prices to move winter clothing.
(Copyright 2012 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)
Posted at 2:47 PM on April 22, 2011
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
We posted Thursday on how the recession is at least partly to blame for the drop in Minnesota births the past couple years.
That story was grounded in some cool data recently published by the state demographer's office.
But the demographer's report also opens a window on some surprising social change underway in Minnesota. The 20-year baby boom of births in Minnesota from foreign born mothers appears to have peaked.
Here are two key charts. The first shows that mothers born outside the U.S. have accounted for a growing portion of all births in Minnesota.
This second shows the change in total births by mothers from other countries during the recession. You'll see a significant drop -- about 10 percent -- in the number of births in Minnesota by women who were born in Mexico.
Overall, births to women born outside the U.S. dropped 3.9 percent between 2007 and 2009, "almost identical to the 4 percent decline for native-born women," the demographer's study notes.
"This is a sharp change from the trend that prevailed in the 1990s and most of the 2000s, a period which saw a rapid rise in the number and proportion of births to foreign-born women."
So what's going on? The report speculates that families from Mexico have stopped moving to Minnesota or have begun to leave as economic opportunity dried up in the recession. "Another possibility is that Mexican women, like others in Minnesota, are
postponing births in the face of economic uncertainty."
No matter where you stand on the immigration policy debate, the birth data pose a concern for Minnesota's economy.
Minnesota's non-partisan Legislative Auditor found the overall economic impact of immigrants to Minnesota has been positive.
Beyond the economic impact, their children have helped sustain small school systems that otherwise might not have survived. That's true especially in southern Minnesota. Latino students make up a third of the student body in towns like Sleepy Eye and Butterfield -- 40 percent in the St. James schools.
Now, the initial data coming from the recession years suggests a shift. Minnesota, struggling to grow jobs in the recovery, may not be the magnet for immigrants that we've come to expect the past two decades.
We're already looking at an aging, slow growth workforce. What happens if Minnesota isn't a draw for immigrants and others going forward?
Businesses might have a harder time finding workers, and there could be less demand for goods and services in the state. The Great Recession could be doing more damage to Minnesota's future than we realize.
____________________________________
Posted at 10:00 AM on April 21, 2011
by Paul Tosto
(1 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
The Great Recession has reduced jobs, savings and economic stability in Minnesota. It may have also cost us a chunk of our future workforce.
That was a message we heard from Gina Lund, a Minnesotan in MPR's Public Insight Network, who told us recently she and her husband had decided "not to have a second child because we cannot afford it, even with a promotion, since our student loans are also coming due at the same time."
She spoke to the kind of broad, demographic change that the recession might deliver to our state. Fascinating new research shows thousands of Minnesota families made the same decision.
"For us, it was a very difficult decision, because we initially felt like we owed it to our daughter to have another child," Lund wrote us. " However, we have seen friends lose their jobs and homes in this economy, and have seen what that has done to their children, and could not do that to our own."
After a big climb during the 2000s, Minnesota births fell about 4 percent from 2007 to 2009 and "evidence suggests at least part of the recent decrease may be related to the slumping economy," the state demographer's office wrote in a report published a few weeks ago. "It appears some Minnesotans have chosen to postpone or forgo having children because of financial uncertainty. "
The report notes that in the good economic times before the recession births in Minnesota were rising and widespread. Between 2007 and 2009, however, the birth drop was "concentrated among groups most vulnerable to unemployment and financial uncertainty: the young and the less educated."
Then as the economy began to recover in late 2009, births numbers were higher, "suggesting the recession effect may be leveling off."
The state demographer's data show a surprising drop in the numbers of foreign-born women having children in Minnesota. We'll get at that in a separate post Friday.
For now, the overall trends are intriguing.
Here's a look from the demographer's office at the run up in births from 1980-2006, including the jump in good economic times.
Here's what's happened in the Great Recession, which began in December 2007 and officially ended in June 2009.
Similar trends can be seen nationally. This chart's from the Pew Research Center.
For the nation, it could be simply a footnote on the recession. In Minnesota, though, the trends may be more worrisome because the state's workforce is already projected to age rapidly and grow slowly over the next two decades.
Lund, who lives in the Twin Cities area and works for a construction equipment manufacturing company, gave us some insight into how the economy influenced her decision.
We are very good at budgeting and we ran the numbers, both as a two-earner family with childcare, and with my husband or myself staying home and getting a part-time job in the evenings, and no matter how we looked at it, our cash flow would have been negative, which for the short-term would have been OK because we have worked hard to have about 3 months of bill payments saved up, but if anything serious were to happen (furnace breaks down, major car repairs, loss of job) we could have been at risk of losing everything.We both are in fairly stable jobs, but we have both faced pay cuts, while the costs of food, fuel, and childcare continue to go up.
We also saw friends who had to pawn their wedding rings to put food on the table, so for us, the risk was not worth it.
"We decided that we were comfortable with our one child," she added, "and feel that we can give her a good, happy life."
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Posted at 3:15 PM on April 19, 2011
by Paul Tosto
(2 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
There's no doubt many parents are helping shoulder the financial burdens of their young adult children in the recession. We posted in 2009 and 2010 about recent college grads moving home because they couldn't afford to live on their own.
But what happens when parents must take on the debts of their young adult children? We started thinking about that after hearing from Vicki Brady.
She and her husband took over the student loan payments of their 24 year old son as he struggled to stay current on more than $100,000 in school debt.
He landed a job after college but it doesn't pay enough for basic living expenses and the loans.
Brady and her husband stepped in to help. To afford it, however, they've had to stop contributing to their retirement accounts.
The Cloquet woman says the new obligation may also make it nearly impossible for them to cosign college loans for their daughter in a couple years.
Brady, part of MPR's Public Insight Network, says her son worked all through college to pay his bills, "so he's not a slacker, just overwhelmed." He's moving up in his company but "there is no way he will make enough money any time soon to take over the payment on his student loan."
Student loan debt has risen dramatically here and across the country.
Last week, the New York Times reported, "Student loan debt outpaced credit card debt for the first time last year and is likely to top a trillion dollars this year as more students go to college and a growing share borrow money to do so."
In Minnesota, student borrowing grew faster than tuition or inflation over the past decade, state Office of Higher Education data show.
Among students graduating from Minnesota public universities, 77 percent had student loans, the average amount borrowed was $22,000, and the monthly payment on a 10-year payment schedule was $253, the OHE says.
Defaults are low on student loans, probably because the consequences are so scary. It can kill your credit rating You also become ineligible for more federal student aid if you ever want to go back to school, the U.S. Department of Education notes.
While most of the focus has been the burden on the student, Brady's story reminds us the cascading effects of this kind of debt.
According to the Times, it's become a kind of anti-dowry, forcing young people to wait longer to buy a house, get married and have children.
But it's also reaching into family finances, triggering longer term problems.
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Posted at 1:16 PM on April 14, 2011
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
We got pulled off economy reporting for a couple weeks to help with flood coverage. Now that the immediate flood danger has passed, we're back to the day job!
So we'll start back asking questions. What's May looking like for your household economy? Does the recession feel like it's over in your home?
Post something below or use our handy form.
Feels like a strange time in the economy. We've been reaching out to Minnesotans in MPR's Public Insight Network and hearing some stories of better times. We were really encouraged by Tayler Anderson's story a few weeks ago.
Anderson, a Minnesota native we'd been keeping tabs on, found work in her field nearly two years after graduating from college, though the work was in Portland, Ore.
Closer to home, we're still getting stories of young people struggling.
June will mark the official two year anniversary of the economic recovery. State data released today showed Minnesota's unemployment rate slipping to 6.6 percent, which is far better than the national rate. And yet job growth in Minnesota the past year has been slower than in the nation.
A state labor analyst today said at the current rate of job creation, it'll take four and a half years to gain back the roughly 140,000 jobs Minnesota lost in the recession. Yeesh.
We'll take the responses and put them together in a future post and it'll give us all a better look at what's really happening with Minnesota's economy.
Posted at 1:25 PM on January 28, 2011
by Paul Tosto
(1 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Chris Farrell always make me think in new, practical ways about the economy. Today he shared a New York Times post about debt and parents that should have many of us wringing our hands and asking: How do you talk frankly with your elderly parents about their finances and solvency?
Talk about awkward.
Your parents are supposed to be the well spring of wisdom on all things financial. They had the money, they taught you how important it was to save, work hard and invest. Why would you even need to talk to them about their finances into their 70s and 80s?
Turns out that's pretty naive.
The Times piece features a story of a woman who thought her 86-year-old father was financially secure only to discover he'd run up a $15,000 credit card debt.
It offers links to reports showing a jump in the numbers of senior citizens filing for bankruptcy and that seniors are spending 43 percent to 53 percent of their monthly income paying credit card debt.
We've written some on MinnEcon about how to ask for help in this recession -- something many of our friends and neighbors have had to deal with for the first time.
We've also tried to explore the question of navigating that awkward moment when your friends realize your broke or unemployed.
But your parents? How do you have that discussion? MinnEcon's all about using the expertise of our audience to try and help us all better understand the economy.
If anyone's done it or tried, please post something below or contact us directly at MinnEcon.
Posted at 3:00 PM on January 14, 2011
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Housing & mortgages, Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
Back in September, I agreed to help edit and manage MPR's Minnesota Today site until a permanent editor could be found.
It ended up consuming more time than I expected and some things fell through the cracks, including the monthly shout out to MinnEcon readers and Minnesotans in MPR's Public Insight Network seeking stories about life in this economy.
Well, we're back. As of this week, I have both eyes back on MinnEcon.
In coming week's we'll be making some cool changes to the site that will make it a lot easier for you to contribute and share -- not just comment but ask and answer questions, jump onto online forums and find just about everything you need to understand and talk about Minnesota's economy.
The best way to re-start is to resume our regular shout-out: So tell us what the economy looks like for your household in February.
Feeling better about things yet or does it still feel like recession? Are you in saving mode to pay down debts or you feeling like you can spend again on non-essentials? Your stories and insights will make us all smarter about where things are headed across Minnesota.
One of the new questions we included last fall was: Does the recession feel like it's over in your home?
We got a bunch of good responses. A lot of folks are still hurting, though I was surprised to find some Minnesotans who felt only nicked by the Great Recession.
Click on the map icons below to read how some of your neighbors answered: "Does the recession feel like it's over in your home?"
And then add your voice.
Let's start sharing our stories again.
Posted at 5:00 PM on December 6, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
What's next month look like for you?
We're now at the three year anniversary of the recession beginning, a year and a half since the recovery was supposed to have begun.
So we want to know: Are you feeling it?
Back in late August, we got lots of responses that convinced us that our love of leverage had come to an end, that people were shifting back to savings and away from spending and that the change might be permanent.
Later, we added the question: Does the recession feel like it's over in your home?
We got some indications that maybe economic conditions were starting to ease, at least for those Minnesotans who had jobs.
That seems to be the tipping point right now. If you have work, things are looking better. If you don't, hope can be hard to come by.
We learned last week that it will likely be two-plus more years before Minnesota completely restores the number of jobs it lost in the recession.
Take your economic pulse and help our reporting on the economy. Let us know what you're seeing and if January looks better than you stand right now.
Post something below or take five minutes and use our form.
Posted at 3:28 PM on November 30, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(5 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Not sure if this is a sign of the economic times we're living in or a reaction to the growing amount of free TV stuff to be found online, or both. But it's intriguing that more than 10,000 Twin Cities homes recently gave up on their pay TV subscriptions.
The down tick from 1,487,892 subscribers to 1,477,576 between the first and second quarters of 2010 amounts to less than a 1 percent decrease. But ours was one of the few top markets to see a decline.
Here's a chart from the Wall Street Journal blog:
The journal writes, "For the first time since the dawn of cable TV, the number of U.S. households paying for TV subscriptions is falling, marking a potential turning point in the TV business."
I've never paid for TV service. I'm too cheap and don't need the battle with the kids over watching Cartoon Network. So I'm in no position to understand why people are cutting the pay TV cord. But it seems like there's a shift under way.
Throughout the Great Recession, sources in MPR's Public Insight Network have told us repeatedly they are moving away from spending and using any extra money to pay down debt or save. Even as the economy improves for many, we're still getting the message from Minnesotans: we're not buying.
National data show the personal savings rate of Americans continues to climb.
Here's a chart by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis showing personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income since 1970 (click on the chart for a larger view).
You can see savings took a dive in the 2000s but has been rebounding out of the recession. We're squirreling our money away.
SNL Kagan, the company that did the research that spawned the Journal post, recently wrote:
SNL Kagan estimates U.S. cable operators lost 741,000 basic video customers in third-quarter 2010, marking the single largest quarterly dip for cable since SNL Kagan began compiling data for the segment in 1980.If you've walked away from subscriber TV during the Great Recession, drop us a line and tell us why.
Posted at 12:30 PM on September 20, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(1 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
I made a pretty good case last year that the early 1980s recession was worse than the current downturn. But as of today I can no longer complain that my recession was longer.
The official word came this morning -- this Great Recession lasted 18 months, from December 2007 to June 2009. The '81-'82 recession and '73-'75 recession held the prior record for post-WW II recessions at 16 months.
I'm still not ready to give up the idea that things were tougher in the early '80s. Why?
Unemployment was worse. The U.S. unemployment rate topped 9 percent for 18 months. The unemployment rate topped 9 percent in May 2009 and needs to stay that high through November to match the bad old '80s. It's been holding at 9.6 percent in July and August.
Here's a U.S. unemployment graphic from the St. Louis Fed. There's no doubt unemployment is bad in this downturn, but we'll see how it ends up looking compared to the bad old days that started in the late '70s.
Mortgage rates. Inflation was brutal way back then and we all paid a price.
If you're a potential homeowner in 2010, your interest rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage averaged 4.43 percent in August.
We're not sure what that rate will average this month. But we're pretty confident it will come in better than September 1981 -- when you would have paid a rate of 18.16 percent on a mortgage.
Economic activity? Well, this one's a little tougher. Here's a chart of quarterly, seasonally adjusted changes in GDP, inflation adjusted, from the first quarter 1979 to second quarter 2010.
OK, that's a pretty dramatic nose dive in the value of goods and services produced in this country during this recession. But look at those crazy drops in the early 1980s.
I'm going to hold out until December. That's when we'll know the November jobless data. If the unemployment rate is still tracking above 9 percent, it'll be worse (or at least a tie for worst).
Take a look at the data from the 80s and now and share your insights. Which recession is worse?
Posted at 10:21 AM on September 8, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(2 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
I've been trying for weeks to start a discussion about how to navigate awkward conversations over money and jobs in this recession.
I'm not having much luck.
That makes sense. Talking about money or jobs in good times is tough enough and can be excruciating in times like these, especially in a place like Minnesota, where... we ... just ... don't ... discuss these things.
The problem is the advice that's out there is pretty lame: be nice, do this, don't do that.
We really learn through story telling here at MinnEcon and like to think of our site as a digital campfire. So sit down and share a story.
You know your buddy's unemployed. You're out for dinner and you know he really can't afford it. But he doesn't want anyone feeling sorry for him. Make a big deal about trying to pay and you may make him feel worse. How'd you get through that?
Maybe you lost your home to foreclosure or a short sale. Friends and relatives don't know what to say. How do you make it so you can talk about it?
Tell us one story about an awkward money conversation with friends or family and how you worked through it.
Share your story and you might be able to help someone else figure out what to say. The stories we share make us all smarter.
If you've had to navigate recession etiquette, tell us how you did it.
Posted at 1:30 PM on September 9, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Add category, Jobs & unemployment, MinnEcon Indicator, Saving & spending
Consumer spending's taken a dive in the Great Recession. No jobs means no buying beyond essentials. We've heard that for months from Minnesotans in MPR's Public Insight Network.
Things seem a little better lately, though. Minnesota's jobless rate is holding its own at 6.8 percent and hopefully will drop a bit more when new data arrive next week.
So is that changing the outlook on spending and savings? Not really.
We asked network sources a few weeks ago to take their economic pulse. Things looking better? Spending more? Putting off any big purchases?
The responses we got back tell us many people are still snake-bit when it comes to spending. Many of us still aren't feeling a recovery and those who are aren't ready to write big checks yet for anything that isn't absolutely necessary.
"I am not in a position to save anything," said Betsey Porter of Bloomington. "I have to pay for my (car registration) tabs which went from $35/yr to $219/yr with the purchase of a new used car last year. YIKES!"
Check out the map below to read some of what we heard. The colors indicate how folks summed up their current outlook in mid-August. We got one bleak and one bright. "Holding steady" and "looking better" held the day but enough "worrisome" responses for us to know that the recession is still weighing on our friends and neighbors.
Tell us about your household here and we'll add your responses to the map.
James Allen of Alexandria was among several parents who told us college bills would make it tough to save more this fall.
"I expect my financial situation to worsen," he told us. "I will have two children in college and I will also be going back to school, which means less earning power on my part."
One result: "We are putting off home improvements, especially carpet, shingles and replacing the deck. We have really cut back on non-essential purchases, have been for the better part of a year."
Tom Jorgens of Crookston was among the most optimistic of Minnesotans who shared a story with us.
"I see growing signs of a recovery. Business is increasing again," he wrote. He saw himself able to increase his savings and investments.
National data show the personal savings rate of Americans continues to climb.
Here's a chart by the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis showing personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income since 1970 (click on the chart for a larger view).
You can see savings took a dive in the 2000s but has been rebounding out of the recession.
The personal savings rate dipped to 5.9 percent in July, compared with 6.2 percent in June.
Still, it's light years better than the 1.9 percent recorded in November 2007 -- a month before the recession officially hit.
Here's another St. Louis Fed chart showing household debt payments as a percentage of disposable income. That debt burden continues to plummet. (Click on the chart for a larger view.)
We're hoping that when Minnesota's August jobless data is released next Thursday it shows unemployment falling. Recent news of a jump in job vacancies here is also a positive sign.
Even as a jobs recovery starts to reach more people, though, don't expect our love of leverage to return.
"At this point I'm just trying to pay down some debt and get a little ahead. Anything beyond that is being put off," said Paul Shryer of Eveleth, who said he was holding steady in August and expected about the same this month.
"I will save a bit more," he added, "mostly because I will (be) a bit closer to the surface."
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What's your household economic outlook? Post below or drop us a line directly.
Posted at 12:30 PM on August 25, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(1 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
We were intrigued this morning by new data from the credit reporting company TransUnion showing U.S. credit card balances at their lowest levels in eight years and delinquencies continuing to decline.
It listed our neighbors as having the nation's lowest average credit card debt in the second quarter of 2010 -- Iowa at $3,792 and North Dakota at $4,097 -- but didn't mention Minnesota or Wisconsin.
David Blumberg of TransUnion just sent us that data. Here are the facts:
DEBT
Minnesota has the 11th lowest credit card debt in the nation at $4,586. That's down 10 percent from the second quarter of 2009.
Wisconsin has the fifth lowest credit card debt in the nation at $4,160, down 12 percent since the second quarter of 2009.
DELINQUENCY
Minnesota has a 90-day credit card delinquency rate of 0.7 percent, eighth lowest in the nation and down 27 percent from last year (the fourth largest decline in the country)
Wisconsin has a 90-day credit card delinquency rate of 0.7 percent (an additional decimal place puts the Badger State eleventh lowest in the nation), with a 16 percent decline from last year.
Nationally, credit card balances averaged $4,951 in the second quarter of 2010, the first period since the first quarter of 2002 that average credit card debt fell below $5,000.
We've been convinced since last fall that a permanent shift toward savings and away from spending and debt is underway.
Minnesotans weren't the worst in the country when it came to leverage, but it certainly seems like the lessons of our grandparents are sinking in.
Here's the most recent Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis chart showing household debt payments as a percentage of disposable income. That debt burden continues to plummet, even during this "recovery." (Click on the chart for a larger view.)
The tricky question: Is all this responsibility good for the economy?
In the short term, at least, saving money and paying down consumer debt means people aren't spending. If people aren't spending, businesses won't be hiring.
If businesses don't hire...well, you get the picture.
Tell us what your household's doing re: debt, savings and credit cards.
Post something below or contact us directly. We'll put up any responses we get in a future MinnEcon entry.
Posted at 12:50 PM on July 29, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
We looked at data last week showing consumer credit scores drifting lower in the recession. We're trying to crank up the conversation about the scores and what people have experienced.
Bonnie Creason was the first to help.
A source in MPR's Public Insight Network, told us last year her score fell for reasons she didn't understand.
"Nothing with me has changed and I actually make significantly more than I did a year ago. I'm baffled and angry that my score has dropped 40-100 points," she told us then, adding that she'd been calling the reporting agencies to find out why.
We caught up with her in emails this week to find out what happened. The good news: The Minneapolis woman told us her score bounced back. But she says she still doesn't know what happened and couldn't get a straight answer from the reporting agencies.
She told us:
Yes, within a year my credit rating mysteriously returned to it's previous rating. I can't really offer any insight on that either. Is this frustrating or what!The good offers that came in were things like a Firestone card that offered discounted services, 6 mo free financing on $250 or more purchases, no fees and 5% cash back on all purchases...Citibank offered me a 0% balance transfer, which was not available before.
So you see, I pretty much have no idea what happened or why. But in the end, it paid off to be a good customer.
Your credit score is important because it directly effects what kind of credit you can get (credit cards, mortgages, home equity loans) and how much you'll pay. Consumer advocates and the scoring company say the best way to keep your credit score healthy is to pay your bills on time, pay off debt rather than moving it between cards and apply for new cards only when you need them.
Staying current on bills, of course, is tough when you are out of a job. The Great Recession has put lots of people out of work.
Here's FICO's chart showing scores and the percentage of Americans in each category
![]()
Looking back, Creason says the reporting agencies were no help in trying to understand why her score fell and why it came back. "The good thing is I had no detrimental information on my credit history, which is why this was all a mystery to me."
I would just recommend to others to a) ask for what they want, and talk to a manager if the person on the line can't help; and b) don't be afraid to tell them you're taking your business elsewhere. It's pretty much the only thing they'll listen to and the only power we have as consumers. I feel it pays to vocalize discontent and suggest everyone else do it too.I find it disheartening that the good customers suffer because of the bad customers. There should be more done to reward our responsible behavior, instead of using us to bail out the others. This isn't insurance, credit should not work this way.
She threw in one final good bit of advice. Get yourfree credit report every year. "One never knows when you'll need it," she said, "and you need it for everything nowadays."
More voices will help on this issue. Please drop a line and tell us your story about credit scores and life. Post something below or contact us directly.
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FICO has a pretty easy to read page on scores, how to improve them and how to fix errors.
What determines your credit score? Here's a primer from FICO and the Consumer Federation of America.
1. Your payment history - about 35% of a FICO score
Have you paid your credit accounts on time? Late payments, bankruptcies, and other negative items can hurt your credit score. But a solid record of on-time payments helps your score.
2. How much you owe - about 30% of a FICO score
FICO scores look at the amounts you owe on all your accounts, the number of accounts with balances, and how much of your available credit you are using. The more you owe compared to your credit limit, the lower your score will be.
3. Length of your credit history - about 15% of a FICO score
A longer credit history will increase your score. However, you can get a high score with a short credit history if the rest of your credit report shows responsible credit management.
4. New credit - about 10% of a FICO score
If you have recently applied for or opened new credit accounts, your credit score will weigh this fact against the rest of your credit history. FICO scores distinguish between a search for a single loan and a search for many new credit lines, in part by the length of time over which inquiries occur. If you need a loan, do your rate shopping within a focused period of time, such as 30 days, to avoid lowering your FICO score.
5. Other factors - about 10% of a FICO score
Several minor factors also can influence your score. For example, having a mix of credit types on your credit report - credit cards, installment loans such as a mortgage or auto loan, and personal lines of credit - is normal for people with longer credit histories and can add slightly to their scores.
Posted at 12:40 PM on July 21, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
The Great Recession's done a lot of damage to a lot of formerly credit worthy people. With no job and no home equity, it's going to be tough to get credit.
FICO -- the Minnesota-based company that created the score that basically determines our credit worthiness -- reported recently that consumers scores have been drifting lower in the recession.
We wanted to try to get beyond that fact and open a broader discussion about the scores and what you've experienced.
Tell us a real-world story about trying to get credit and trying to understand your FICO score.
We'll share some of those stories in upcoming posts. But we need to hear from you.
Most of the stuff we've heard about credit scores revolves around the confusion of trying to find your score compounded by the frustration of trying to figure out why the number was falling.
Bonnie Creason of Minneapolis, a source in MPR's Public Insight Network, told us last year her score fell for reasons she didn't understand.
"Nothing with me has changed and I actually make significantly more than I did a year ago. I'm baffled and angry that my score has dropped 40-100 points," she told us, adding that she'd been calling the reporting agencies to find out why. We'll be following up with her and will post any updates.
Here's FICO's chart showing scores and the percentage of Americans in each category
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We didn't really know what to make of it but found a great analysis at Creditbloggers.com
John Ulzheimer, president of consumer education for Credit.com wrote the score changes are the most significant in nearly two decades with more people scoring below 650 than ever before.
1. There are two reasons why scores would have migrated toward the lower end of the scoring scale; negative information hitting a credit report or a run up of credit card debt. This means that more and more consumers are feeling the hit because of credit card defaults, mortgage defaults and repossessions. And those who have lost their jobs are depending more heavily on credit cards to make ends meet. This is bad news because it's clearly not sustainable.2. The news is actually worse for those who now score below 650 than those who score below 600. The percentage of people who score below 600 shouldn't be a focal point because those folks aren't even close to being approved for loans in today's credit world. 650 is a more realistic focal point and the percentage of people who now score below that score mark is 35%, which means that more than one-third of the U.S population is not credit-worthy for anything other than a subprime credit card or a subprime loan. This is a big deal.
3. What this means is fewer people will apply for new loans because they either won't be able to afford the payments, won't get approved or won't want to pay higher rates.
4. It also means more people will pay more for homeowner's and auto insurance because insurance companies generally use credit scores to help them set premiums.
5. More bad news: Scores this low (<650) are generally not actionable, meaning they take a very long time to improve because the negative info that's causing the lower score stays on file for 7 years. So, if we're expecting these 35% who have FICO <650 to participate in any sort of large scale economic recovery - good luck.
One of the more worrisome aspects is whether people in credit trouble are spending money to find or fix their credit history.
Two good resources are the Federal Trade Commission's web page on consumer credit and credit scoring and its page on how to obtain your free credit report.
Annualcreditreport.com is the only official place to obtain a free credit report. The other place, freecreditreport.com does the funny singing guy ads but may also try to sell you stuff.
I almost made the same mistake.
So help make us all a little smarter. Share your credit score story and what you've learned.
These guys sing about credit reports too, but they're authorized by the Federal Trade Commission!
Posted at 8:47 PM on July 16, 2010
by Michael Caputo
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
On MPR's website for discussion of issues, Insight Now, I admitted how lousy I am at recycling. It just seems to be a low priority for me.
Not that this is completely unusual. Hennepin County is looking at mandatory measures to improve recycling rates there. Other counties are worse (check out the last pages of the 2008 SCORE report). Minnesotans apparently recycle cans and bottles at a 35 percent rate, far below the 80 percent goal set by the state's Pollution Control Agency.So we asked the community at Insight Now just how people ought to be encouraged to be better recyclers. By government intervention? Neighborly peer pressure? I figured many would talk about the need to stir one's environmental conscience.
Instead commenters said that we seem to have maxed out on what environmental peer pressure can do. Instead, we need to look at making the economic arguments stronger.
Mary Warner of Little Falls wrote that businesses have to be more involved in recycling:
"...(A)nd that's only going to happen if the economics of the situation work. It's either got to save them big bucks or make them big bucks."
But when the recycling free market flounders, as it did in 2008 then business has far less incentive to get in the game.
Someone else in the discussion thread aimed more at the consumer, saying that if you recycle but don't buy recycled goods, you are only doing half of your part. But some goods made from recycled products are more expensive. And then you are appealing to something more than what makes sense as a shopper.
The thought here must be, the more you buy, the more demand you create. And that will bring down prices.
Demand also seems to be the economic argument made by the Recycle More Minnesota program. This time, however, the organization wants you to add more to the recycling stream to boost employment. The program, a collaboration between the Recycling Association of Minnesota and the state Pollution Control Agency, says 20,000 jobs are supported by recycling.
You would think that might get a laggard like me to sort those bottles, cans and newspapers more.
Insight Now just posted a number of other perspectives on how to increase recycling in Minnesota. Have a look and join the conversation.
Posted at 11:36 AM on May 26, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(1 Comments)
Filed under: MinnEcon Indicator, Saving & spending
Maybe it's the weather. The sunshine and warmer temps around Minnesota always make us a little more hopeful no matter our economic circumstances.
Or maybe some of us are finally starting to feel the recovery.
Some recent, relatively upbeat economic signs in Minnesota -- including a downtick in the unemployment rate are matching up with what we're hearing from sources in MPR's Public Insight Network
We asked them to give us their personal economic forecast for June. Will you be saving or spending? What non-essentials will you buy? (You can add your voice here.)
The couple dozen responses we've received so far have been more upbeat than when we asked these kinds of questions last fall.
"Things are improving, drastically. April and May have been the best months I've seen in two years," said Jason Rysavy, owner / founder of Catalyst Studios, an interactive ad agency based in Minneapolis.
Rysavy's given us perspectives before on life as a small business owner in the recession. So we paid attention when he told us things were looking better.
"Work is looking up so we're making a few major purchases that we've been holding off on for a couple years. Business picked up dramatically which allows us to have a bit more flexibility with cash."
It's also prompted him to spend some spend some money on his home, including new living furniture -- music to the ears of retailers.
Tim Eiler, a consultant from St. Bonifacius, also sees his economic situation improving in June. But he's still wary of the economic and political problems in Europe and Asia and how that will affect the U.S.
So he's still in saving mode. "Putting off deciding whether to send daughter to private school. Also putting off purchase of motorcycle."
Cinda Yager expects June to be a better month. But that doesn't mean she's not worried. She'll start a temp job as an administrative assistant. Growth in temporary jobs are often a good early sign of economic recovery.
Still, she's not planning to buy only essentials next month and is putting off buying shoes, clothes and a new humidifier.
Will she able to kick into savings mode? Not yet.
"I have not been saving money since I've been living off savings," she told us. "I expect that to turn around by the end of the year (I hope).
*************************************************
How's June looking for you? Tell us what you're seeing in your own economic forecast.
We'll pull together responses and highlight them in upcoming MinnEcon posts. You can also share some thoughts below.
Posted at 1:50 PM on May 10, 2010
by Chris Farrell
(1 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
From chief economics correspondent Chris FarrellNarayana Kocherlakota, the newly appointed head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, gave a fascinating talk at the Economic Club of Minnesota on May 10th. The topic: Future bank bailouts. It's worth reading.
At first blush his overall perspective seems depressing.
The Congress of the United States is currently considering legislation to restructure financial regulation. However, no matter how well-written or how well-intentioned the legislation may be, no law can completely eliminate the kinds of collective investor and regulator mistakes that lead to financial crises. These mistakes have taken place periodically for centuries. They will certainly do so again. And once these crises happen, there are strong economic forces that lead policymakers--for the best of reasons--to bail out financial firms. In other words, no legislation can completely eliminate bailouts. Any new financial regulatory structure must keep this reality in mind.
But as Kocherlakota quickly adds, this is a cause for despair. It's simply realistic.
Booms and busts are in the nature of a capitalist business cycle. There is nothing smooth about innovation. The speed of financial transactions is quicksilver. We're flooded with information, as well as gossip, rumor, data, analysis, judgment, knowledge, and noise. The global economy keeps getting larger. The human population was about 1.5 billion in 1900 and it is now numbers 7 billion. The world is an increasingly crowded and complex place. Simply put, the number of people who need financial products and financial services has grown exponentially, especially now that the wealth that was largely confined to a handful of advanced industrial nations is now spreading throughout emerging markets.
The late Peter Bernstein, the dean of finance economists, once wrote:
In any case, the animal spirits of enterprise, risk-taking, and innovation will always breed booms rather than sleepy and stable environments. Without a punchbowl to enjoy, there will be no innovation, no technological change, no rise in living standards, no dreams of a brighter future--which include a home of one's own.
Or, Orson Welles, playing Harry Lime in the movie The Third Man, put it:
In Italy for thirty years under the Borgias they had warfare, terror, murder, bloodshed--but they produced Michelangelo, Leonardo da Vinci, and the Renaissance. In Switzerland they had brotherly love, 500 years of democracy and peace, and what did that produce? The cuckoo clock.
Okay, back to Kocherlakota. His solution is tap into a long economic literature of using taxes to pay for an "externality," in this case the risk of big financial bets gone bad.
My theme today is that, although bailouts are inevitable, their magnitude can be limited by taxes on financial institutions. I arrive at this conclusion about the usefulness of taxes by thinking through an analogy that I'll develop at some length. I will argue that, knowing bailouts are inevitable, financial institutions fail to internalize all the risks that their investment decisions impose on society. Economists would say that bailouts thereby create a risk "externality." There is nearly a century of economic thought about how to deal with externalities of various sorts--and the usual answer is through taxation. I will suggest that the logic that argues for taxation to deal with other externalities is exactly applicable in this case as well.
It's definitely intriguing. Its using taxes not as punishment for profligacy or revenge for bad decisions, but to have the money when it's needed.
Posted at 11:35 AM on April 20, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
We know we're not supposed to talk about money, politics or religion with friends. The subjects can create some awkward and unpleasant moments if you and your pals aren't on the same page.
When it comes to money, though, the recession may be forcing our hand.
You know your buddy's unemployed. You're out for dinner and you know he really can't afford it. But he doesn't want anyone feeling sorry for him. Make a big deal about trying to pay and you may make him feel worse.
So how's it done? How do you navigate that tricky terrain?
A few weeks ago, we asked "Who buys the beers in the recession?" We got a few good responses. But I think people saw the "beers" headline and didn't look deeper into what we were asking.
So here's another chance to weigh in. Tell us about an awkward money conversation with friends and how you work through it.
We'll highlight the responses in an upcoming post. We'll also be tapping MPR's Public Insight Network for stories.
Mark Pringle, a bookkeeper from Chilton, WI, told us he and his friends do the math and split the tab evenly when they go out.
His advice: "Avoid money conversations by minding your own business. If you can't afford to do your part, don't go out.
"A better alternative if you are pinched is to cook something at home. I frequently have friends over for Sunday breakfast buffet because it's cheap and everybody likes breakfast. For less than the cost of one plate you get more real conversation and comfort."
Like many folks in Minnesota and the Upper Midwest, "I was raised with the idea that one does not discuss personal money matters with friends," says Kathleen Monico, a semi-retired pharmacist from Park Rapids.
"If someone does bring it up I try to be understanding, but not offer much in advice, nor make comparisons to my own situation. If it is a very, very close friend who needs help, I may offer, but only if they ask and only if I can afford to help."
Going out with friends, it's assumed that each will pay their own way unless someone's invited to a celebration, like a birthday, she adds. "Or we take turns if it is just one other person. This has not changed much in my circles."
Share your story and you might be able to help someone else figure out what to say. Post something below or tell us here.
Posted at 11:18 AM on April 16, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, MinnEcon Indicator, Saving & spending
From economist Louis Johnston, St. John's University | College of St. BenedictOn Monday, the group that makes the official call on recessions and expansions said that while things were looking up, it would be "premature" to date the end of this downturn.
There's no doubt data are sending mixed signals.
Industrial production, Gross Domestic Product (the chief measure of U.S. output) and similar data tell us that the economy is starting to grow. Industrial production has increased every month since June 2009. GDP grew in the 3rd and 4th quarters of 2009.
On the other hand...
Household after-tax income has been flat, leading some analysts to worry that household consumption will slow down in the coming months. Employment data tell us that firms are boosting output through increased productivity of their current workers -- not through new hiring.
Add to all of this the fact that recessions affect different areas of the country in different ways and at varying times and you can see why it's hard to pick an end-of-recession date.
Minnesota, fortunately, looks to be past the trough, though the unemployment data released on Thursday indicate that employment is not yet growing.
Officially, a recession is a period in which the economy grows at a rate significantly below normal. It can last from a few months to more than a year. Nationally, the economy last peaked in December 2007.
Experts at the National Bureau of Economic Research want to make sure they get the recession's end-date right. They do not want to go back and revise it if new data show their first choice was wrong.
What ultimately matters, though, is not the exact date the recession ended. What matters is whether households and businesses believe that their economic prospects are looking up, and they begin to consume, invest, and hire.
Johnston teaches economics at St. John's University and the College of St. Benedict and is a regular voice on MPR News.
Bonus info: Here's a chart showing annual changes in U.S. economic growth during recessions and expansions. (Click on the chart for a larger view.)
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Posted at 4:00 PM on April 12, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Here's a way to have a little fun -- and maybe get an answer to that personal finance question you've been dying to ask.
Our friends at the PBS show Nightly Business Report have been inviting viewers to send in brief videos with a personal finance question.
Now they're extending that invitation to MinnEcon readers.
Interested? Here's what to do.
1.) Shoot a brief video of yourself -- alone or with friends and family -- asking a personal finance question. It can be about anything from student loans to mortgages, car leases to interest rates.
2.) Post the video on line. YouTube, Facebook or Vimeo would be great.
3.) Click here and tell us where to find the video.
We'll take it from there.
We'll send the videos to Nightly Business Report. They'll choose some questions and seek expert answers. The ones that are answered will appear on MinnEcon and on NBR's Riding Out the Storm site.
Check out the NBR Widget we hope will feature MinnEcon questions and answers.
Of course, we can't promise they'll all get answered. But be creative and give it a try! You may get a response and make us all a little smarter about our money.
By the way, Chris Farrell of Minnesota Public Radio News and Marketplace is one of the folks answering questions. Here's his answer to the question: "Are Student Loans Smart?"
Need more info? Contact me directly.
Posted at 11:57 AM on April 9, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Here's the good news: If you worked in 2006 but didn't earn enough that you were required to file a tax return, the IRS may have money for you. Nearly 19,000 Minnesotans may be in that boat and owed a total of $16 million.
The bad news? You're out of luck if you don't try to get it by Thursday.
April 15 is more than just a deadline for your 2009 returns. It's your last chance to file to get money owed you from 2006. According to the IRS:
Some people may not have filed because they had too little income to require filing a tax return even though they had taxes withheld from their wages or made quarterly estimated payments. In cases where a return was not filed, the law provides most taxpayers with a three-year window of opportunity for claiming a refund. If no return is filed to claim the refund within three years, the money becomes property of the U.S. Treasury.The IRS estimates a median refund of $552 awaits 18,900 Minnesotans, part of the $1.3 billion the IRS says it has unclaimed from people for 2006.
Besides a refund for taxes paid, the IRS also notes most cell phone users qualify for a one-time telephone excise tax refund from the 2006 return:
This special payment applies to long-distance excise taxes paid on phone service billed from March 2003 through July 2006. The government offers a standard refund amount of $30 to $60...Beyond that, low income people who were employed in 2006 might not have claimed the Earned Income Tax Credit
So how do you know if you left money on the tax table in 2006?
Unfortunately, there's no big list you can check like the "undeliverable funds" list the IRS does in the fall.
You'll need to review your W2 and other forms to see if you had tax withheld that you didn't claim because you didn't file a return, or figure out if you qualified for the Earned Income Tax Credit but didn't file a claim says regional IRS spokeswoman Carrie Resch.
Here's a link to the 2006 1040 form you'll need to fill out. It may be a pain but in the Great Recession it's hard to walk away from $500. Time's running out.
Worth noting: We learned about the unclaimed refund deadline by following the Twitter feed of Carrie Resch, the regional spokeswoman for the IRS for Minnesota and the Dakotas.
It's a great place to find IRS info and you don't need to be a reporter to follow it.
Posted at 11:12 AM on March 26, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Housing & mortgages, Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
1.) That second wave of mortgage and foreclosures we've been worried about for months is close to hitting.
We're through the worst of the mortgage crisis. But that doesn't mean we're done. "Exhibit A" may be this map from Minnesota Housing Finance Agency illustrating non-prime adjustable rate mortgages still to reset:
Thanks to the Minnesota Home Ownership Center for pointing it out to us.
We're particularly interested in those dark blotches in Crow Wing and Cass counties. We're planning a deeper look at what that's about.
Are those the really nice lake homes built when the economy was great and may be in danger of foreclosure when the loan resets and the monthly payments are recast?
If you know something about housing and home loans in that region, tell us what you're seeing.
2.) We really need to pay attention to the talks on a new nurses contract.
It's really flying under the radar at this point, but the formal negotiations have begun on a new contract between 12,000 nurses and six hospital systems in the Twin Cities. The current deal ends May 31.
I can't imagine a nurses strike given the lousy economy and the flux in the nation's health care system. But it worries me.
The Minnesota Nurses Association notes: "The last time there was a large-scale RN strike in Minnesota was summer 1984, when 6,000 nurses walked off the job for 35 days. It remains the largest RN strike in U.S. history."
So that strike happened about a year and a half after the early '80s recession bottomed out in November 1982.
Experts tell us the economy has already bottomed out in the recession and while we don't have an exact date, the economic timing of the '84 strike and a potential 2010 strike is eerily similar.
One source in MPR's Public Insight Network pointed out to me earlier this week that we may see a generation gap form in the current talks between older nurses who see pension benefits as a huge contract issue and younger nurses who don't believe they'll ever see much of a pension anyway and won't strike over it.
If you have any thoughts on this or just want to talk about the nurse contract talks generally, drop me a line.
3.) Six word recession? Grace under pressure.
More than 200 of you shared your recession experiences in (mostly) six words. And they were great. Thank you.
I'll be reaching out to many of you in the coming weeks to see if you'll share a bit more of your story. That's what MinnEcon's all about.
If you haven't sent in your story, take 2 minutes and sum up your recession.
Posted at 11:39 AM on March 19, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
We've talked a bunch about awkward money conversations with family in this recession. But what about your friends?
You know your buddy's unemployed. You're out for some beers and you know he really can't afford them. He's broke. But he doesn't want anyone feeling sorry for him. If you make a big deal about trying to pay you may make him feel worse.
If you've been there during the recession, share a story with some advice.
We'd also love to hear from Minnesotans who are jobless or otherwise short on cash. If you could honestly level with your friends about going out and spending money, what would you tell them?
We're thinking a bit about this today as the University of Minnesota men's basketball team plays in the NCAA tournament.
It's a great time of year if you love sports and going out. But we know from the most recent state jobless data there's still a lot of pain out there.
Minnesotans in MPR's Public Insight Network have shared great stories and advice about asking colleges, mortgage companies and other institutions for help.
So tell us how you navigate that ground with your friends.
It doesn't have to be about beer and food. Share any story of talking to your friends about money or job challenges. How do you help or ask for help? How do you work it out in a way that doesn't damage the friendship?
Post something below or contact us directly. We'll share some of your stories and advice in future MinnEcon posts and maybe on the radio.
Posted at 12:00 PM on March 18, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
MinnEcon is all about sharing our experiences in this economy, so I thought I'd share one about something I highlighted a few weeks ago that's now biting me.
In February, I posted: For some, stimulus delivers a tax shock. I detailed the experience of Ken Vail, a Blooming Prairie man who after years of receiving modest tax refunds or paying small amounts was floored to discover he owed $1,700 after finishing his 2009 federal taxes.
Frustrated, Vail tracked back the problem to last year's federal stimulus. The bill tweaked the tax tables so employers withheld less and people got more take home pay up front.
It was basically a cash advance to help stimulate the economy to be settled up at tax time with the "Making Work Pay" credit ($400 per person, $800 for those filing jointly). But millions of taxpayers unknowingly got more money up front than they were entitled.
Maybe you see where this is headed.
Yes, Ms. MinnEcon, who does our family taxes, told me last night that we will owe several hundred dollars on our 2009 taxes. Tracking back the problem, she was surprised to find how little her employer withheld in 2009. It had to be an error.
Nope. It was the stimulus bill.
The Treasury Department figures more than 15 million people are in a similar boat.
Why? The changes to the withholding tables didn't take into account situations like single taxpayers with more than one job or married couples where both spouses work (hello).
So if you got the maximum "cash advance" from each job, you likely got more than you were supposed to and you may owe money.
Here's the fix: Go to your employer and get more withheld. This will be an issue for 2010 taxes.
Ms. MinnEcon and I typically take more withholding than required and get a refund at tax time. I'm not sure if we did anything to stimulate the economy with the cash advance we didn't realize we had. But now that we'll be paying, we're in hunker-down mode.
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Are you doing your 2009 taxes and dealing with issues tied to the Making Work Pay credit? Or did you have this figured out way in advance?
Post below or contact me directly and share your story.
Posted at 11:55 AM on March 11, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Housing & mortgages, Saving & spending
Telling strangers you need help isn't easy. We talked about that in a recent post on leveling with your kid's college about your financial woes.
The stakes are higher, though, when your struggles put your home at risk. Waiting to ask for help is a big mistake many people continue to make in this recession.
Minnesotans who've never asked before for help from the government or their bank or any institution are being hit especially hard -- people like Kristine Holmgren.
Holmgren's been struggling since October 2008 when she lost her job working for a non-profit. With her unemployment benefits running out, she called her lender a few weeks ago to see if she was eligible for any kind of help.
What she heard shocked her: There was little they could do at this point because her unemployment was running out.
"He told me had I called as soon as I was unemployed, I would have been eligible for a complete modification of my loan. I could have reduced the entire loan," said Holmgren a source in MPR's Public Insight Network from St. Paul.
The mortgage company told her she had to have nine months of unemployment ahead of her to be eligible for a complete modification. "They asked why didn't you call us right away and I said I didn't know. The only reason I called at all is I wasn't sure how I can make it work."
Holmgren wanted us to tell her story, hoping other Minnesotans don't try to tough it out without seeking help.
This phase of the housing crisis is hitting "homeowners that have never had to seek help before. They don't know where to turn," said Ed Nelson with the Minnesota Home Ownership Center, a non-profit group that's been busy trying to help people keep their homes.
"We're eternal optimists, especially in Minnesota. We think, 'I will resolve this problem before it gets too far. I'll find work. I'll be able to find a second job to make the payment.'"
Most homeowners, he added, wait until they've fallen behind or unemployment runs out, or they've exhausted every penny and there's nothing left to do. We tell homeowners to seek help sooner rather than later. If they wait until they're almost out of unemployment benefits, most banks won't renegotiate."
Holmgren said she was offered, and took, a six month loan modification.
"It's a payment deferral agreement. I'm paying 70 percent of my mortgage payment. It's going to help me a lot but it's going to be for six months. At the end, the lender will review my loan to see if other aid can be offered."
She hasn't missed a payment but says she was told the deferral plan will still hurt her credit score. The mortgage company still reports her as late and she'll be charged a $50 late fee each month. That will be reported on her credit score and the deferred amount and fees will be added to her mortgage balance.
"I thought about it for a couple of weeks. I've never not paid my mortgage on time. I'm saving $60 a month and $60 a month will pay for all my utilities except my Xcel bill."
An ordained minister, Holmgren believes she'll be able to keep her home. She has grown children who are supportive and able to help. She's taken in renters and that covers the mortgage. "My challenge is to come up with an income."
Looking back, she says in February or March 2009, she got a call from her lender saying she might qualify for a modification. "I said 'I don't think so, I'm unemployed.' This person said you don't know. I said it wouldn't work because I'm not working. I stayed on the line for 20 seconds and hung up."
Nearly 62 years old, she says she and other friends who've lost their jobs are "just hunkering down for a new lifestyle" in the recession.
"I have a lot more than most people and I'm thankful. But it's so stressful. I really do believe that on the other side of this is a new whole pile of wisdom on what it means to be a human being."
Help for Homeowners:
The Minnesota Home Ownership Center has lots of resources and help for people struggling to keep their homes.
Making Home Affordable is a site with links to the federal aid that's available.
Posted at 11:00 AM on February 22, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(2 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
We wrote a bunch of stuff a few months ago on the federal overhaul of credit card rules. Today, those changes take hold.
We've been looking around this morning for the best summary and found a good one at the Federal Reserve site.
Basically, the companies have to detail when they plan to raise rates or fees with a 45 day heads-ups before they make any changes. There also new rules on fees and costs.
From the Fed site: "No interest rate increases for the first year. Your credit card company cannot increase your rate for the first 12 months after you open an account."
Exceptions include if there's an introductory rate it must be in place for at least six months but "after that your rate can revert to the 'go-to' rate the company disclosed when you got the card."
We tapped into a lot of frustration when the changes were announced and the credit card companies started jacking up rates and altering terms before the new rules took effect. You can read some of those responses on the map below.
We're still looking for stories of credit card terms and changes. We're also interested in whether anyone thinks the law ultimately is a good thing or not for consumers and how it might change how you use credit cards.
Post something below.
You can also use this handy form or contact me directly.
Posted at 10:00 AM on February 24, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Education, Saving & spending
Telling strangers you need help isn't easy. Telling your son's college you need more financial aid than the feds say you need can be unnerving. But in this recession, you need to ask.
"We have that conversation every year with our son's college," Sandy Christensen told us recently, "and every year they come through for us."
Her family income's taken a hit the past few years and they've had to use up much of their savings. But Christensen says her son's school, Washington University in St. Louis, has worked with them to boost the annual aid package so he can afford to stay.
We wrote last year about how some colleges were providing more aid to students after learning of a parent who recently lost a job or suffered some hardship that hit after the aid package was put together. Those needs have only worsened with the recession.
So what do you do? Christensen, a source in MPR's Public Insight Network from Burnsville, offered a road map. "When we first began the college search, we were already strapped for money," she says.
Two pieces of good advice that we were given: 1.) If you don't have money, apply to the large, expensive, private schools, as they are the ones with money to give; 2.) Don't spend money traveling to visit schools unless your child has been accepted at them, otherwise you are wasting money.Alex applied to Iowa State, University of Pennsylvania, Northwestern, Vanderbilt and Washington University in St. Louis.
We had toured Northwestern his junior year and our tour guide had told us that if you can get accepted they can find a way to get you paid for. However, when we visited a second time and met with the financial aid office, we didn't get the same story. The person who met with us was filling in from another office and really wasn't interested in refining our package.
At Vanderbilt, we told the financial aid person that we didn't have the dollars to make it work. She responded that they really didn't need our son. Nice.
At Wash U, we happened to end up with the director of financial services, who chatted with us and learned more about us, then looked up Alex's application and info on his computer, then said that he would be happy to put together a better package for us that we could afford, including a Wash-U sponsored loan package for us. We waited anxiously for a week or two until the revised offer arrived, and it was very generous.
Alex really wanted to go to Northwestern, so times were tough briefly and he struggled with financial reality and then finally came to terms with going to Wash U instead. He was VERY happy with this decision well before finishing his freshman year, thank goodness, and is still having an amazing college experience.
What made the difference? Christensen believes it was who they met with in the financial aid office at each school.
"It also matters that you are direct, honest, and sincere," she added. "I remember telling the director truthfully that we had put all of our time and resources into raising a good kid rather than into making lots of money."
Most of are conditioned to believe that when we fill out the federal student aid form and it spits out a calculation of expected family contribution, that's it.
Bill Witbrodt, Washington University's director of student financial services (and the person who met with Sandy Christensen's family about financial aid), says it needs to be the start of the process.
"It's kind of intimidating to ask for (more) financial aid," says Witbrodt, who notes Washington added $3 million, roughly five percent, to the student aid budget. Undergrad tuition and fees run nearly $40,000 and he says about 60 percent receive aid.
For many families, he says, it's the first time they've ever had to ask for help. Some withdraw without asking what's possible. "We just don't want a student disappearing off the radar screen."
It helps, of course, to have a kid that a college wants. "Obviously, if you are begging for money, you need to be 'selling' them a good product," says Christensen, noting Alex was active in youth government and sports, was an Eagle Scout and had solid grades.
He's a junior now, "and our circumstances have gotten worse," she adds. "My husband lost his job a year and a half or so ago, then he took a lower-paying one. Each year when the new financial package arrives, we just email them with any circumstances that are not reflected in our taxes/FAFSA. They usually have improved the offer accordingly."
BONUS INFO:
The National Association of Student Financial Aid Administrators has a terrific page laying out the extra financial aid help from the federal stimulus bill.
The Minnesota Office of Higher Education also has a Web site devoted to paying for college.
The higher ed office recently updated its page on what to do it you're a college student and your family's income has been reduced.
Posted at 3:00 PM on February 17, 2010
by Paul Tosto
(2 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
After years of receiving modest tax refunds or paying small amounts, Ken Vail was floored recently when he finished his 2009 federal taxes and found he owed some $1,700.
Tracking back the problem, he found a surprising culprit -- last year's federal stimulus.
The bill tweaked the tax tables so employers withheld less and people got more take home pay up front. It was basically a cash advance to help stimulate the economy to be settled up at tax time with the "Making Work Pay" credit.
But millions of taxpayers unknowingly got more money up front than they were entitled to receive and, like Vail, are about to discover the Making Work Pay credit doesn't cover the cash advance. (The credit's worth up to $400 for single filers and $800 for those filing jointly.)
Here's why. According to a U.S Treasury audit, the changes to the withholding tables didn't take into consideration situations like single taxpayers with more than one job or married couples where both spouses work.
So if you got the maximum "cash advance" from each job, you likely got more than you were supposed to and you may owe money.
Are you affected? Here's an easy-to-read page, put together by a Pennsylvania congressman, with many of the likely scenarios.
The easy way to fix all this would have been to go to your employer and request more withholding. But how many of us knew to do that?
The Treasury audit in November estimated, "15.4 million taxpayers could unexpectedly owe taxes for Tax Year 2009 as a result of the Making Work Pay Credit."
Vail, a Blooming Prairie man who's part of MPR's Public Insight Network, told us his employer took about two-thirds less in withholding. It didn't raise any red flags until he did his taxes.
"I feel like I've been duped," he wrote in a letter to his congressional representatives. "At this point I do not know how I'm going to be able to pay this."
He told us:
The MWP credit is reduced (to $300 for us) if you received stimulus credit last year which both my wife and I did because she was on Social Security disability and I am a disabled veteran.The other complicating factor was the Social Security payments my wife received last year. In previous years that was her only income and the benefit was not taxed but she started back to work and that bumped our income which in turn required us to pay taxes on half the disability income. That represented $685 of our tax bill.
IF we could take the entire $800 MWP credit and subtract the $685 taxes on the SS income we still would owe nearly $500. Had the normal amount of taxes been taken out throughout the year we would have owed very little. I still feel that the withholding reduction was a bad idea and should have been optional.
I've been talking to some of my other co-workers and finding that I'm not alone. One employee only had $45 taken out last year (she did claim more exemptions); a retiree who works part-time and receives social security (as does her husband) owes $5000; one person's tax preparer said they have seen many more owing money this year.
Normally, about 75 to 80 percent of taxpayers receive a refund each year and the average refund is more than $2000, said Carrie Resch, spokeswoman for the IRS in Minnesota and the Dakotas.
"We are getting some questions here and there on the (Making Work Pay) topic, but not a huge volume by any means," she said after checking with the local walk-in IRS help center in Minneapolis.
"The vast majority of workers had enough taxes taken out of the paychecks during 2009 and can still expect a refund. But every situation is different, of course, so if taxpayers in some circumstances (those where both spouses work, people with more than one job, dependents, etc.) didn't adjust their withholding last year, they may find themselves owing tax instead."
There is some relief for individuals who owe and are assessed a penalty, she noted. The penalty can be waived if it is related to the MWP credit.
Vail figures that relief would be worth only about $40 in his case. At any rate, he says, "I've now adjusted my withholding so that we won't get caught like this again."
We'd love to hear from Minnesotans about the Making Work Pay credit and its effect on your 2009 taxes. This will also be an issue for 2010 taxes.
Post below or contact me directly.
BONUS INFO: Resch says the Minneapolis Internal Revenue Service will open its offices at 250 Marquette Ave. on Saturday, Feb. 20. fom 9 a.m. until 2 p.m.
Staff will be there to help answer tax questions. Those with incomes of $49,000 or less can get free tax preparation and electronic filing help.
Posted at 9:00 AM on December 18, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Education, Jobs & unemployment, MinnEcon Indicator, Saving & spending
With so many breadwinners unemployed in this recession, it's easy to dismiss the struggles of teens and young adults who are trying to find work.
Laurie Stern of Chaska reminded me recently there's a deeper issue here. These days it's often not about teens earning "fun money" during the summer or over winter holidays. That cash is a vital piece of household income.
"Part-time jobs are a major portion of our children's savings for their college years," said Stern, part of MPR's Public Insight Network.
"Without the summer income, we will struggle to make sure they have money for books and miscellaneous spending during the year; needless to say, they will not be able to help with the tuition costs."
There's no doubt the the recession's been particularly rough on the economy's youngest workers.
"The entry level labor market is getting more crowded as experienced workers are hit by layoffs, older workers delay retirement and brand-new college graduates seek employment outside their fields of study," the state labor department wrote in its May teen summer jobs outlook report.
Federal stimulus money eased some of this year's problem. State officials said the money helped employ more than 6,000 Minnesota teens and young adults over the summer.
Still, the Federal Reserve of Minneapolis found the recession accelerating the trend of teens simply leaving the labor force.
When the Fed checked in on applicants for STEP-UP, a popular Minneapolis summer program, it found many teens having a difficult time getting a job. Demand for STEP-UP is expected to be huge next summer. This year, it received 3,200 applications for 1,300 jobs.
Stern said her son, a college sophomore has been working at a local grocery store since he turned 16.
During high school he struggled to keep up with school/activities because they wanted him to work more hours than he would have liked. Last summer when he came home after freshman year he was lucky to have a job that gave him some hours, but he didn't make as much as he would have liked over the summer. They would not let him work recently over Thanksgiving break and we are still waiting to see if he will be able to work Christmas break. They want to hire him back and need the extra help, but can't due to a hiring freeze. He has been unable to even find a work study job at school. He's applied to many but all the positions have so many applying, sometimes close to 100 for 1 position, and he has yet to find a work study job. He is hopeful for second semester.
She also has a daughter who's a senior and looking for a job. "She has dropped off several applications at local fast food, tanning, theatre, etc. and has not yet received a call."
Stern said she and her husband have been seeking part time work to supplement the family income. "We have cut our expenses drastically and would not need very much to keep us in the black; however, that elusive part-time job is not to be found."
1/13 UPDATE: Stern dropped us a note to say her son got a work-study job at the University of Minnesota for spring semester.
"He will be working 12 hours a week in the map library; which is great because it is right in line with his geography major. He is also looking into internships for the summer but finding that most are unpaid, so he will need another job in addition to whatever internship he may find. The rest of us continue to look. "
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Do you know a teen or young adult who's found work or is trying to find work? Post below or contact me directly and tell me about the experience.
Posted at 8:47 AM on December 8, 2009
by Michael Caputo
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Greater Minnesota, MinnEcon maps, Saving & spending
The state's $1.2 billion budget deficit likely means cuts are coming, and that has county, city and other municipal officials worried about how much of the state's loss they will be forced to absorb.
Last year, when state government cut aid to municipalities, Aitkin County let workers go in the sheriff's department and in the health and human services division, according to Gord Prickett, chairman of the county's planning commission. Waseca County Commissioner Rick Morris said his county escaped 2009 without layoffs by not filling vacancies.
"It looks like we'll have to add other alternatives to our list of options," said Morris.
He and Prickett are sources in MPR's Public Insight Network who responded to questions about the effects of the state budget deficit on government programs and services.
An MPR analysis of job numbers gave a more nuanced picture of what's happening. State Department of Employment and Economic Development (DEED) job figures from 2001 to 2009 show the local municipal workforce fell by 2,200 jobs or about 1 percent. Meantime, state government jobs increased 10,100 or 11.5 percent.
At first blush, the numbers suggest the state workers have been less affected by budget cuts than those employed by local government. But there are mitigating factors to consider, said Steve Hine, labor market analyst at DEED. State numbers include figures from the University of Minnesota and the Minnesota State Colleges and University system. In 2009, about 59,100 out of the 97,900 state jobs were in higher education. And higher education jobs rose by 15 percent from 2001 to 2009. The rest of the state workforce grew at 6.4 percent.
On the local level, Hine says 6,000 jobs were lost in the health and human services sector due, in large measure, to reclassification of jobs at the Hennepin County Medical Center. That's because in late 2006 the hospital went from county-owned to a county subsidiary run by a non profit. The job numbers were taken out of the local government numbers, but the jobs were not lost.
"You can dig into these numbers and see deeper reasons for jumps and dips," Hine said.
Even so, government officials in the Public Insight Network said they will have to look beyond job cuts and consider raising revenue if the state pulls back on local government assistance to balance its budget.
In Aitkin County, Prickett says, the planning and zoning department already has raised permit fees "two and three times," to cover department expenses.
I looked at revenue data from the state's office of Management and Budget and, after adjusting for inflation, found that county, city and townships saw a 14 percent cut in state aid from 2001 to 2008. During the same time period, they increased property taxes 11 percent and other taxes and fees 13.5 percent.
But it's also interesting to note that during the same time period, state aid to local school districts rose 33 percent, when inflation is factored in. Meanwhile property tax revenue raised by local schools dropped 17 percent.
Finally, some counties have to delay or scrap projects to save money. Brent Olson, a Big Stone County commissioner, says they'll scrutinize economic development and road projects, "simply because those are the sort of things that can be delayed."
To see the full range of comments on this topic, click on the map icons below to read what public employees and officials in Minnesota said about budget cuts... then share your story.
Posted at 4:00 PM on December 7, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
The value of the U.S. dollar's been falling against the Canadian dollar the past couple months -- and that might be just the thing Minnesota manufacturers need.
Chris Farrell, chief economics correspondent for MPR News, said today he's keeping close watch on Thursday's release of international trade data.
A weaker dollar makes U.S. goods more attractive to buyers from other countries, which is good if you're trying to export. Canada is the largest U.S. trading partner and especially important to Minnesota.
"The expectation is that it (trade balance) will show a decent number," Farrell said on MPR's Morning Edition, where he share his insights on the Minnesota and national economies each Monday.
Click on the play button below to listen.
Looking at data from Creighton University's rising Minnesota economic index, "increased orders seem to be one of the factors that's driving it," he said, noting the recent drop in the value of the US dollar compared to the Canadian dollar."The expectation is that we'll see some improvement in manufacturing. We'll see some improvement in orders, taking advantage of the low value of the currency....and that is really to be an additional boost to the Minnesota economy," Farrell said. "Hopefully, it will start showing up in manufacturing numbers."
Minnesota's manufacturing sector has been hit hard in the recession and is down more than 40,000 jobs from a year ago.
Farrell's also watching a key index on retail chain store sales due Tuesday as an indicator of how consumers are treating retailers like Target and Best Buy. The initial Black Friday start of the holiday shopping season "wasn't as bad as it could have been," said Farrell. "But it wasn't great."
Listen to Farrell's take and post below or contact me directly if you have anything to add.
Posted at 1:00 PM on November 30, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Chris Farrell, MPR's excellent chief economics correspondent, shares his insights on the Minnesota and national economies each Monday on MPR's Morning Edition show. I've been posting links to the interviews on Twitter the past few weeks but, starting today, I'll also feature them on MinnEcon.
Click on the play button below and listen to his thoughts this morning.
"The bottom line is the American consumer went out, they were smart, if there was a real deal they took it. But they didn't open their wallets and spend a whole lot of money."
Today's "Cyber Monday" online shopping push should also help, though consumers are being warned to watch out for scams.
Farrell's keeping an eye on the November national unemployment rate, which will be released Friday.
In Minnesota, he's keeping watch on the December 17 release of the state's November unemployment rate, particularly the demand for temporary labor, which made up a big piece of the October job growth.
Farrell says he keeps expecting manufacturing employment to improve but that hasn't happened so far. Still, with inventories low, the holiday shopping season could trigger demand for orders, which should help manufacturers ultimately.
Posted at 9:18 PM on November 16, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
What's with the Federal Reserve? It's going all consumer protection on us lately.
Last week they laid down new protections on some overdraft fees. On Monday, they proposed rules restricting fees and expiration dates on gift cards. The plan would stop many "non-use" and service fees on the cards.
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Companies could charge fees on a card inactive for a year or more (if the conditions were made clear to consumers upfront) but couldn't charge more than one fee per month. Expiration dates would have to be set at least five years after the card was issued.
Gift cards have become the present this decade because they're convenient, easy to buy and send -- and we're able to avoid that really awkward moment of disappointment when people get you something you hate!
In its 2009 holiday shopping survey, the consulting firm Deloitte LLP found:
Gift cards hold their first-place position for the sixth year in a row, with 64 percent of consumers planning to buy them as presents. While the number of gift cards they plan to purchase remains nearly flat (5.4 from 5.3 last year), consumers' planned spending per card is $35, which is up from $28 last year and nearly back to the pre-recession average of $36 in 2007.
Minnesota in 2007 stopped businesses from selling a gift card carrying an expiration date or a service fee of any kind, including for "non-use."
By the way, the Fed was directed by Congress to take action on gift card charges as part of the Credit Card Accountability Responsibility and Disclosure Act of 2009.
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Will you spend the $35 per card average Deloitte's predicting? What kind of spending plans do you have for the holiday season? Click here and share your story.
Click on the map icons below to read what sources in MPR's Public Insight Network have been telling us about their spending and saving in this economy. Share your story.
Posted at 9:00 PM on November 17, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Two ends of Minnesota's retail spectrum are drawing our attention this week: Target and Peapods.
Target, the giant Minneapolis-based retailer, turned in a solid third quarter but acknowledged being cautious about the holiday season.
Peapods, the locally owned St. Paul toy store, will host an event on Thursday intended to get people to buy local. It'll include the Metro Independent Business Alliance and the group MN2020, which will release its study on the economic impact of buying local.
I don't have anything smart to say about Target. But the Thursday event has me wondering how local merchants and the buy-local effort will do this year in the recession.
That'll depend on you. How important is it for you to buy local from a small business? What are the pros and cons? Contact me directly and let me know if it makes a difference who owns the store where you shop.
I'll post responses and we'll get a conversation going.
Earlier this year we highlighted an effort led by Northfield fourth- and fifth-graders to get people to buy from the downtown stores after learning a couple were closing. The result was the "Northfield First" pledge.
"We had over 400 people sign the pledge," Michelle Martin, the Northfield teacher whose discussion with her kids about the economy helped spark the "Northfield First" effort, told us recently.
"Some merchants told me there was a lot of buzz about it, whether or not it translated to more sales would be impossible for me to say," said Martin, a source in MPR's Public Insight Network. "It definitely shifted the understanding of my students and many of their families."
Drop a line and let us know your take. If shopping local is not a big deal for you, tell us why. Peapods and Target could benefit from the perspective.
Posted at 8:00 AM on November 16, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
The Federal Reserve's move to make it harder for banks to to charge ATM, debit card overdraft fees has been widely applauded by consumer groups. Even the American Bankers Association didn't really balk.
But the Fed decision's got me wondering how it will really play out.
Starting in July, financial institutions won't be able to automatically enroll people in ATM or debt-card overdrafts services. Consumers will have to opt in to the service, one where banks often charge $10, $20 or more for ATM or debit-card overdrafts (check overdrafts aren't part of the new rule).
So instead of being automatically enrolled, you get information and if you don't opt in to the service you can't be charged overdraft fees on ATM and one-time debit card transactions.
Sounds good. The downside, of course, is that the bank will simply deny the transaction, potentially leaving you without cash when you need it.
Marshall MacKay, chief executive of the Independent Community Bankers of Minnesota, also notes that processing costs tied to the overdrafts will still need to be covered.
So in effect the new ruling implies that any expense incurred by processing those exception items should be paid not by the person who incurs the expense (overdraft), but by all the customers including the vast majority who do not use the service. There is not a business around that does not ultimately pass it's expenses on to its customers. so it seems very unfair to the majority of bank customers to pay for the poor record keeping of a few.
Overdrafts are a multi-billion dollar money maker for banks. The FDIC in a report last year found automated overdraft usage fees assessed by banks ranged from $10 to $38.
Consumers Union and other groups say there are cheaper options for bank customers, including linked accounts, where money can be moved from savings to checking to cover an overdraft.
But, practically, what will consumers do? Will they seek out the cheaper alternatives? Will they keep the costly overdraft protection on ATM and debit-card transactions? Or will they just roll the dice?
Contact me directly and let me know what you'd do. What's your experience with overdraft services? What better options are there (besides not overdrawing your account)? What does your bank charge?
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Click on the map icons below to read what sources in MPR's Public Insight Network have been telling us about their spending and saving in this economy. Share your story.
Posted at 4:00 PM on November 5, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Health care, Saving & spending
Man, it used to be easy. Health Plan A or Health Plan B. The differences weren't hard to understand. Most of the time you just picked the same plan and that was fine.
If you're in the middle of navigating your employer health care options for 2010 you're likely longing for the old days. We asked Minnesotans in MPR's Public Insight Network to tell us about their options for 2010 and what else we should know about buying health care.
We got an earful back. Some folks love their choices. Others are trying some novel combinations. Some are rolling the dice -- going uninsured. (Add your voice.)
Click on the map icons to read the stories.
Nationally more than four in 10 employers surveyed plan to boost deductibles, copayments and out-of-pocket maximums in2010 due to the economic crisis, according to the consulting firm Watson Wyatt.
While they're adding incentives to stay healthy, employers are also pressing consumer directed health plans to control costs. These plans typically offer lower-premiums and a health savings account but with very high deductibles.
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Al Heebsh, a Network source and chemist from New Brighton, says his employer is "making a concerted effort to get people to choose a consumer directed plan rather than a more traditional plan. They increased premiums a little for the traditional plan while decreasing the premiums for the consumer directed plan significantly..."
He's not sure yet which one he'll choose. "The consumer directed plan is more complicated, almost as if they are trying to confuse you into using less health care. I would rather have the traditional plan."
Sometimes having everyone on the same plan isn't the cheapest.
"My employer is now offering coverage for "Employee + Children" rather than just Employee OR Family coverage," Amanda Kelly, a Network source from Hanover told us.
"This means that we can save money by having my husband go it alone on one of the plans offered at his company and myself and the kids will be on my company's insurance plan. The employee + children option is MUCH cheaper than family coverage."
The New York Times and Kiplinger's recently put together some good advice to help in the decision making.
If you've been put out of work, the U.S. Labor Department has some surprisingly readable information on your rights and options re: health coverage.
That assumes, of course, you can afford it.
Pamela Nelson said the best health plan option available to her family is the equivalent of buying a new car every year.
"Here's the 'least expensive' option for our family of four, since we do not qualify for MN Care or Medicare and do not work for employers who offer health insurance benefits: $600/month for a $10,000 deductible (catastrophic) plan...," says Nelson, a Shoreview consultant .
We would basically pay $17,000/year before their 80/20 coverage would even kick in. Lower deductible plans cost considerably more up front/monthly. Both of us are independent consultants underemployed currently and do not qualify for unemployment. Paying for health insurance is just not even a remote possibility right now...
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Got a health care plan for 2010? Like your options? Post below or click here and tell us.
Posted at 4:00 PM on November 2, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: MinnEcon maps, Saving & spending
We like to think when we do business with a company, there's a give-and-take relationship mutually beneficial to both. But when it comes to credit cards, consumers are not feeling the love.
Sources in MPR's Public Insight Network told us recently about their credit cards terms, how the companies are changing them and the pros and cons of life on credit. We also asked them to tell us the highest and lowest interest rates they were paying on a card.
We tapped into a lot of frustration. We all live with "terms subject to change." But even folks who pay off their balances each month were ticked to be told by their credit card company that rates were going up and credit lines dropping. Of the 50-plus responses we got, nearly every one said their card terms were changing -- and not for the better.
Click on the map icons below to read stories of how people are dealing with credit and credit card issues and what happened when some called to complain.
Click the little box on the upper right hand corner of the map to see it in full screen.
My MPR colleague Mike Caputo got at these issues in a recent MinnEcon post.
What's coming down the pike for credit card lenders are new regulations by the federal government as part of the Credit Card Reform Act. The measure passed by Congress last spring is designed to curb fee increases and curb abusive billing practices. The measures were set to take affect next February, but Congress is working on legislation to accelerate the timetable to December 1. That was a response to what congressional leaders saw as an attempt by credit card lenders to raise fees and interest rates in advance of the law taking affect. Now Sen. Chris Dodd is calling for congressional action to freeze credit card rates until the new law takes affect.
Many of our Network sources were blindsided by the changes and their cascading effects.
"Almost all of my cards have increased their APR by a minimum of 2%. They have also reduced the level of credit available to just above my balance on the card," Sandy Unger of Eagan told us.
Leonard Cone of Burnsville told us he got a notice of a big rate increase coming on one card. He called the company. "I was told that due to adverse business conditions that they need to raise their rates.
That has reduced my credit ability, increased my debt ratios and thereby reduced my credit scores. I am trying to pay down debt as quickly as possible and refraining from using my cards wherever possible.
I pointed out that their problems had nothing to do with me and that I would pay the entire account balance and asked to cancel my card. A 'supervisor' came on the line and apologized and offered to continue at the old rate. "
Mark Yatckoske of St. Louis Park told us he reduced his credit card use as much as he can and is trying mostly to use cash. "All my credit cards jacked rates on existing balances even though I have been meeting the terms....If they want to raise rates on future purchases, they have that right, but a deal is a deal."
11/3 UPDATE: Check out Caputo's credit card Q&A on All Things Considered.
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Credit card company changed the terms of the deal on you? Share your story here or post below and help keep the conversation going.
We'd also love to hear from people who are in banking. Post below or contact me directly.
Posted at 11:00 AM on October 30, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, MinnEcon maps, Saving & spending
In October 2008, in the depths of recession, we asked people in MPR's Public Insight Network to take their economic pulse -- tell us what the month ahead looked like, what spending they were putting off and just generally how things were going in their personal economies.
We caught up with some of those folks this month to see how things have changed. The recession's had a profound effect in good ways and bad. Some paid down debt, bought homes and kept their fiscal balance. Others struggled. One lost her business.
Click on the map icons below to read stories of how things have gone for some Minnesotans and the things they sacrificed in the past year.
Click the little box on the upper right hand corner of the map to see it in full screen.
The odd thing is, Minnesota's economy didn't look all that horrible a year ago. Yes, the nation was in recession but I was surprised to look back and find state unemployment was "only" 6 percent.
Nancy Vyskocil, a Network source from Bemidji, said she was holding steady financially these days.
I don't shop as much as I use to. I don't go to stores as much and think about things more than it did in the past before I make a purchase. We have pulled back from buying a more expensive home and looked at streamlining our life and expenses some.She also told us she runs a public charity and "struggled with not being able to give raises to employees who were doing a great job. We held the line on wages, including my own and other expenses of the organization. It was really hard during budget time and sometimes you just don't want to be the boss. "
"Took a gamble to start again in a different country."
That's how Austin Miller summed up the past year. He'd been living in Minneapolis working as a financial analyst when he decided, "to quit my secure corporate job, move to Europe, and attend grad school, hoping to make a career change in the next few years. I went from having steady bi-weekly cash flows to forcing myself into a position that will ultimately require me to go into debt."
Raya Newbold, a Network source from Pine River, told us she had to shut down down her organic clothing business.
For the first half of the year made it on selling off the assets, then by summer sales dried up and so did our cash flow. We maxed our credit out hoping the next sale was around the corner- it was but the merchandise was shipped, but never paid for.
In September we hunkered down and spent a grand total of $7.95 all month. My husband was able to find a job in Oct for a quarter of his normal wages... so at least we are making mortgage now. We are now on a cash basis only and that is just enough to pay house and utilities. It's a good thing my mom helps us with clothing and food.
Despite the tough economic times, she's says it's been good in some ways for her and her family. "I don't need to be a consumer to be happy," she says. "With all the time I am not spending shopping I can make things/repair things instead. My boys are finally learning ... how great life is when you spend it doing rather then buying.
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What's your economic year been like? Post below and tell us what you've seen and experienced, or use this form.
Posted at 5:55 AM on October 29, 2009
by Michael Caputo
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Dale Petrie always thought his card company wouldn't mess with his terms or interest rate as long as he paid his bill on time.
"I thought it would be based on behavior," said the 38-year-old St. Paul man. "You don't expect an arbitrary change of 75 percent."
Instead, interest on his cards jumped from 12 percent to 19 percent over the last few months.On one card, an American Express, a $33,000 line of credit was reduced in May to $3,800. And that's a problem for Petrie because he's been out of work for the last nine months. The accountant lost his job when the business he worked for shut down. He's needed to carry balances on credit cards to make ends meet.
"I've got to use what I've got to use," he said. "What am I going to do, not pay the mortgage, not pay the bills?"
Petrie said the standard line from credit card companies has been that these changes have come because of "changing business conditions." Others in MPR's Public Insight Network who have seen the rise in credit card rates or a cut in credit lines have said they were told the move was due to "business decisions" or "due to the cost of doing business."
What's coming down the pike for credit card lenders are new regulations by the federal government as part of the Credit Card Reform Act. The measure passed by Congress last spring is designed to curb fee increases and curb abusive billing practices. The measures were set to take affect next February, but Congress is working on legislation to accelerate the timetable to December 1.
That was a response to what congressional leaders saw as an attempt by credit card lenders to raise fees and interest rates in advance of the law taking affect. Now Sen. Chris Dodd is calling for congressional action to freeze credit card rates until the new law takes affect.
A study just released by the Pew Charitable Trusts says that median advertised interest rates on bank credit cards have risen between 13 and 23 percent from December 2008 to July 2009. That's not taking into consideration that last few months. Also, none of the bank issued cards would meet requirements under the Credit Card Refom Act.
Petrie says he has no choice but to accept the increased rates. Others, however, are cancelling the cards. But some of those folks, like Stacie Peacock of Minneapolis, say there have been ramifications for shutting down the credit card account.
"Every time I closed an account or a balance was reduced, my credit rating dropped. My credit score went from 725 to 630 during this process. It has since begun to climb and is now up to 676. I was denied a mileage perk credit card because of this. I was also denied a decrease in my Credit Union Home Equity Loan because my score had dropped below 700."
This is the reality of the situation for consumers, says Michael Corbin, an attorney who specializes in bankruptcy, foreclosure and credit counseling. Closing an account diminishes your available credit, which is a criteria used by credit rating agencies when determining credit score.
"The only way out of it you either have to pay it all off or they have to file a bankruptcy," said Corbin. "It really is a perverse, backward system."
Fair Isaac Co. or FICO, based in Minneapolis, wrote in an August newsletter that their FICO score is based not on a consumer's available credit amount, but instead on a ratio of credit owed to the credit available. FICO says that method lessens the drop in a credit score if a credit line is cut or a card is canceled.
Andrea Eaton, a financial planner with Cornerstone Wealth Advisors of Edina, says that if rate increases are onerous, she would close the account even if it means a "slight decrease on my credit score."
Of course, there were those who weren't in a precarious financial position who talked about increases in their credit card rates. For them, this was more a source of confusion, even anger.
"(Twenty seven) years of credit buildup and 27 years of a 'relationship' just squashed in the mindless rush to make one more dollar before the Feds bring order to Dodge City," said David Grams of Appleton, who canceled his credit card after an increase. "Just makes me sick."
Posted at 12:15 PM on October 28, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Saving and spending are big issues for us at MinnEcon. The responses we've received from MPR's Public Insight Network have been consistent for months: People reluctant to spend on big ticket items, channeling spare cash into paying down debt.
The lingering question: How long will it last? Will Minnesotans and other Americans who leveraged up during the early part of the decade and paid for it in the past year return to their old ways as the economy recovers? Polls, data and anecdotal evidence continue to suggest no.
"Consumers have indeed learned from their mistakes and have already adopted significant financial behavioral changes," a new survey by insurance giant MetLife finds.
Click on the graphic and you'll see data from the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
showing a dramatic drop in household debt relative to income in this recession. It's revealing that in the tech-bust downturn at the start of the decade, debt continued to rise. Not so, now.
Of course, lots of people haven't learned. One in five surveyed by MetLife said they are more disciplined and conservative in their finances. You could put an "only" in front of that and wonder if anything's really changed.
But 20 percent seems like a big shift. People who are taking action are building up rainy day funds and cutting debt, MetLife finds.
We caught up with some of our Network sources who shared their personal economic forecasts in October last year and asked how things were going now.
Abigail Karels, a Network source from Minneapolis, told us cable TV and lunches out were among the spending she gave up in the past year and doesn't miss. Looking forward, she plans to continue saving for a new car and putting money away for retirement.
Ellie Graves of Minneapolis told us last October she was focused on paying down debt. This month she said she's held true to that.
I vowed to pay off a lot of debt and I've been very steady at paying things off. Because stores are holding such great sales, I've spent some as well, but I've reduced my overall debt by 70% and really plan to pay off my credit cards and remain debt free.
Nicolas Bosquez of Champlin told us last October he was still spending. "We are currently updating our home and we really haven't changed our lives in any way and don't plan to."
He told us recently he's succeeding at the rarest of feats in this recession -- saving and spending. "Even while buying items to update our home we have been able to pay off a large portion of our debt," he said. "Our savings is growing even though we are spending more money ..."
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Are you trying to live differently in this economy? Are you changing your spending and saving? Got any tips? Drop me a line or post below.
Check out the map below to read what others in our network are saying about spending and saving, then share your own story.
Posted at 3:19 PM on August 17, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending, Small business
Here's a post from my colleague Mike Caputo:
When economic times are good, people tend to function on auto-pilot. Who needs deep introspection when salaries are rising and profits are rolling in?
But hard economic times can force people to re-engage, and ask tough questions about what they do for a living, and how they do it.
"This recession has caused me to step back and rethink my business," says Public Insight Network member Kevin Stirtz. He runs a customer loyalty consulting business. The recession is forcing Stirtz and others to ask core questions about their business strategy and personal commitments.
I've asked the questions: What do I really love to do? What do I do very well? What do my customers want most? " he says. "Where these answers intersect is where I am pointing my business. The recession has caused me to ask the questions. But the answers are based on the lifestyle design I want, NOT the current economic climate.
Others have to reconsider how they bring their creative side to their venture.
"I've been stunned into new activity," says Georgia Gould-Lyle, a freelance publicist from Golden Valley. The recession has made her scrappier and more willing to try something off the wall as a way to attract potential clients.
In contrast, Minneapolis graphic designer Lori Gleason says she has had to pull back on the more creative aspects of her work.
"The nature of my work is highly customized and many clients cannot afford this right now," Gleason says.
I am "streamlining" all of my products (logo design, printed materials and web design) to offer small packages that clients can afford. It's quite a challenge and is not very satisfying creatively right now. I must learn to "shut down" the creative process of generating ideas to stay within time constraints that are practical. But necessity is the mother of invention and I plan to develop a leaner but smarter business over the next few months.
Getting back to basics is a major theme of these economic times. So much so that, in September, Minnesota Public Radio will host a forum with small business owners, freelancers and entrepreneurs to explore how the economic climate has challenged their fundamental values.
Would you like to participate? Start by sharing your story about the challenging economic times and your values.
Posted at 3:12 PM on August 19, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
A post from MPR Public Insight Editor Andrew Haeg on the consequences of easy credit.
On Thursday, Congress will enact new legislation that protects consumers from a range of common lending practices, such as raising rates with little or no notice. In advance, credit card rates are going up, and so are bankruptcy filings.
For Paul Sander, the two were closely connected. In December 2008, he filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy after years of struggling against a rising tide of credit card debt and interest payments.
When his car broke down, Sander got a new one -- and a new loan on top of the old one. He used credit cards to pay for basic things like food and medicine for the kids. He took money from his 401k to fill in the holes. Credit card companies seemed to smell trouble. They eagerly pursued him, and he willingly took on yet more debt.
Sander's experience is emblematic of a debt-soaked era that's only now coming to terms with the consequences of easy credit. Bankruptcy filings are on track to hit 1.4 million this year. Filings are already up more than a third over last year. In Minnesota, they've jumped from around 14,000 to more than 19,000 (Minnesota ranks a middling 28th in the number of bankruptcy filings per capita, but 18th in the number of Chapter 7 bankruptcies).
"Chapter 7 wasn't that bad," Sander says. At least not as bad as he'd thought it would be. He didn't have a lot of land, nor was he filing for divorce, so it was pretty straightforward. You might expect Sander to be bitter. But the way he sees it, at least in the U.S. you can file for bankruptcy instead of having your house and property repossessed by the government. "We are really blessed to live in a country where there are laws in place for this kind of financial trouble," he says.
Yet he's less sanguine about the credit card companies. His last post-bankruptcy meeting ended at 11:10 a.m. on Saturday morning. Not more than five minutes later the phone rang. Another credit card offer. And since then, "We've been getting calls left and right," Sander says. This time he's learned his lesson.
But have the credit card companies? Some big credit card issuers like Bank of America and Citibank are increasing the number of credit card solicitations, after cutting way back on them over the last few years. If Paul Sander is at all typical, they may find a less than receptive audience.
Posted at 2:51 PM on August 25, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Greater Minnesota, Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
Public Insight Editor Andrew Haeg files a post on the trip that has been this summer vacation season.
Just like everyone, we here at MinnEcon are loathe to admit that the summer's coming to a close. But, when State Fair chatter ramps up you can no longer deny it.
So we thought it a good time to see how the state's vacation economy has been faring over the summer. The prediction back in April from Explore Minnesota Tourism and from MinnEcon's (now vacationing) Paul Tosto was that area businesses could benefit as more Minnesotans stuck around and took resort or canoe trips in their home state.
We just got a note from Public Insight Network member Belle Scott of Minneapolis telling us business is booming at her daughter's resort on the Canadian border, and that she'd just returned from Door County where things were likewise bustling.
Scott's anecdotal take is rosier than the emerging picture of the state's summer tourism economy, which is mixed at best. "You show me one area of the state that's doing well and I'll show you one that's not," says John Edman, director of Explore Minnesota Tourism.
Results of their formal member survey are due out mid-next week. Edman says he's hearing that campsites, festivals and county fairs are doing well this year. "You're seeing a lot of people discover things in their own backyards and neighborhoods," he says. What's not doing well are big resorts, Twin Cities hotels and facilities that depend on conventions or big groups. He's heard many reports of families making rare last-minute resort reservations, and even talk of widespread haggling (e.g. "Come on, you can do better than that!"), which he says almost never happens.
In general, Edman says cheap, simple and close-to-home are the themes of this summer. One of the beneficiaries of this confluence of trends is Public Insight Network source Sue Ahrendt, who (along with her husband) runs Tuscarora Canoe, a Boundary Waters-area outfitter based in Grand Marais. She's also behind a new project called Becoming a Boundary Waters Family, which is designed to bring more young families to the Boundary Waters. She's not sure whether to credit the strong summer to that initiative, to the recession encouraging more families to take cheaper, simpler vacations, or to the increasing awareness of "nature-deficit disorder" as highlighted in the popular book "Last Child in the Woods." All Ahrendt knows is that she's never seen so many young families paddling into the wilderness.
Ahrendt charges a family of four anywhere from $300 to $800 for a three-day canoe trip (depending on how much gear they need). It's easier and cheaper than heading to Lake Wallenpaupack or enduring 1,500 miles of squabbling, DVDs and road games to get to Disney World.
That, at least, is the notion that gets families excited when Ahrendt pitches at sports shows. But, Ahrendt says, something even better happens in the woods. One family of four emerged after a rain-soaked, buggy weekend spent mainly in their tent. Ahrendt feared they'd had a rough time of it. The kids went off and got some ice cream and, when they came back, looked up at their father and said, "Daddy, we never knew you could laugh so hard."
We'd love to hear your stories about how the summer vacation went. Did you haggle? Were crowds bigger or smaller than normal? Did you discover something new in your own backyard?
Posted at 10:58 AM on October 19, 2009
by Michael Caputo
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending, Twin Cities metro
We've hit the bottom of the spending decline, say hopeful Minnesota retailers. But even the most upbeat merchants know it'll be a slow road back.
The worst recession in decades is driving people to save and not spend. The latest Federal Reserve data show big drops in consumer debt during the summer and over the past year. It's unclear if it's a permanent shift. But it will still be hard this holiday season to convince consumers to spend like the recession's over.
That includes Anne Holmboe, a source in MPR's Public Insight Network, who told us recently, "Our current goal is to get our debt paid off by the end of the year so we can start to save again next year."
Holmboe, lives in Minneapolis with her husband and feels as though they are just getting by. Holmboe works as a nanny, but has taken a part-time job to supplement her income. Her husband has done the same. The extra money is going for one thing: Paying off the credit card bills.
Greg Boettner of Scandia says he's stopped impulse buying and researches everything now online before buying. He, too, has paid down a considerable credit card debt.
Losses in the stock market ate into Boettner's retirement savings. So the 59-year-old is working on one thing -- preparing for retirement.
"My new motto is to save first and spend only when I have to, only on items I need," Boettner, a network source, said.
This more frugal approach is the reality facing retailers, says Bruce "Buzz" Anderson, president of the Minnesota Retailers Association.
"Both you and I have never gone through a downturn this steep," Anderson says. "And so people are still really hanging on to their dollars right now. For how long? We just don't know that."
Minnesota retailers, he adds, are seeing consumers "break loose a little bit" and spend some money. And stores are getting aggressive to lure shoppers in with sales and with marketing.
Anderson also thinks people like Holmboe and Boettner -- the ones who are saving and paying down on debt -- will be good for retailers in the long run. The eventual gain in financial security will eventually translate into a desire to spend again.
"It's just going to have to take some time," he said.
Posted at 1:54 PM on March 24, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Greater Minnesota, Saving & spending
Teacher Michelle Martin started talking to her fourth- and fifth-graders at Prairie Creek Community School in Northfield, MN, about the tough economy. That talk has turned quickly to action.
When the kids learned two local stores in Northfield were closing, "they became very concerned about the local economy. When another student's mother lost her job at a downtown store and they learned that Tiny's (our beloved hot dog joint) was struggling, they decided they had to do something"
That something was the "Northfield First"pledge. Martin, part of our Public Insight Network, told us:
"They've created a pledge they've called which people sign if they will look in "stores unique to Northfield" before they buy things elsewhere. They made posters for local stores and organized a rally on our town square. So far, over 150 people have signed the pledge."
Northfield is an interesting place -- small town Minnesota that's home to Carleton College and St. Olaf College. It's long had a vibrant, local downtown and the colleges have kept it somewhat insulated from recessionary swings over the years.
Besides the important economic lesson -- the kids see how economic decisions affect a community's health -- the Northfield First effort appears to be changing behavior. Martin on Monday wrote us:
"A parent from another class came to me just today to share a conversation she had overheard at Kids on Division (a local kids' clothing store.) The store employee was chatting with another customer and shared that things had been more busy recently. She then shared that about seven people had come in and commented that the Northfield First project was what prompted them to shop locally and think about where they were buying things."
Tell us a story about what's happening in your local economy.
Posted at 1:53 PM on March 24, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
We always think we'll never move back to our parents' house. Graduate from school, find work, support ourselves and live independently. That's how it's supposed to work.
Of course, it never works perfectly for everyone. That's true especially in this economy.
We've been asking people in our Public Insight Network for months now about how their households are faring. Every few weeks, we hear from an adult who lost his job and contemplates moving home. We've heard from parents, too, about making room for their young adult children.
Mary Piontek of Stillwater told us this week her daughter and son, both college graduates, are home. The story's complicated, too, because Mary says she'll be losing her job by the end of the year as her company moves work overseas. She writes:
Our 24-year-old son who provided computer support for a small company lost his job two weeks ago. Our 22-year-old daugher works part time at a tanning salon making $7/hr....she completed her degree in marketing communications at UWRF but cannot find a job. The few openings she finds want 3-5 years of experience... After years of conservative living and aggressive savings, my husband hoped to retire at 56 ... now he is planning on working longer.
A recent AARP survey reveals the struggles some have in this economy.
Most adults 18 and older told AARP that it was still unlikely they'd need to move in with a family or friend. But among those who said it was possible, a third of those blamed an income drop and about 20 percent said it would be due to a change in their jobs or health.
There are upsides. Having extra time with your kids or parents that you didn't expect or that wouldn't have happened without the lousy economy can be a good thing. But it's also hard at any age to see your kids struggle.
Are you in a similar situation? Drop me a line or post below and tell us. It may lead to a story on Minnesota Public Radio News.
Posted at 1:52 PM on March 25, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
We're told that if we don't start spending and stop saving soon, we'll make the economy even worse. But is anyone really buying that (pun intended)?
Talk to your friends and neighbors these days and you'll likely find them putting off big purchases. That was the refrain from about 100 Minnesotans in our Public Insight Network who responded the past few weeks to our query on their personal economic forecast. (You can fill one out, too).
The citizen voices that help shape our coverage at Minnesota Public Radio News offered up a detailed picture of things they aren't buying. That includes vacations, new cars and furniture. A few other that struck me:
"Putting plans to move out of the state to be with long-time boyfriend on hold. Before the economic downturn it seemed reasonable to move before finding a job, but now it seems irresponsible to both of us for me to move before I have a job nailed down." -- Jessica Bailey, Minneapolis
"Travel. Even our 30th wedding anniversary next month will be much lower key than planned." -- Jim McLean, Duluth
"My car doesn't really have a reverse gear. I'm selective in my parking."-- David Schlenk, Brooklyn Park
"All I can buy is food with NO extras at all. No entertainment, eating out, NOTHING." -- Curt Lee, St. Cloud
Their perspectives match up with what the Minneapolis Fed is seeing across the upper Midwest. Minnesota state economist Tom Stinson described it as the paradox of thrift when he delivered his bummer of a forecast earlier this month, "What's good for individuals is not necessarily good for the national economy."
There are definitely signs the economy may be bottoming out, but the upturn part may still be a ways away. You can help us understand the Minnesota economy but telling us your economic forecast.
Posted at 1:50 PM on March 26, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Education, Saving & spending
So you've been saving for years for your kid's education. Then the economy tanks and suddenly the college dough you'd put in a stock fund is worth half what you planned. You try to tap your home equity line of credit but find you don't have that much equity anymore. Then you lose your job.
You may have been fine last fall when your child applied to all those schools. Now it's college acceptance season and things aren't fine anymore. What do you do?
Tell the college. By and large, this has proven true. Only one college (Earlham), however, has increased its financial aid offer after learning of our unemployment. This now makes Earlham the most likely place he will go."
One of our Public Insight Network members told us this week that one of the schools his son applied to upped the financial aid package after hearing that dad lost his job.
Paul Landskroener, a lawyer, was laid off in December. He told us:Colleges were very eager last fall to write to say that we shouldn't worry about the dismal financial news, that they were committed to meeting financial need via financial aid.
Family income plays a big role in how colleges typically calculate financial aid. If they based the package on income you don't have anymore, some will reconsider.If a parent or student becomes unemployed their need for financial aid changes and financial aid offices can use "professional judgment" to accommodate for recent changes to a families ability to pay for college. That can make them eligible for more financial aid, says Holly Chitty with the National Association of Student Financial Aid Administrators.
Changes in employment are a standard appeal to colleges to adjust aid packages, says Steve Bjork, a Public Insight Network member who's director of college counseling at St. Thomas Academy in Mendota Heights and former admissions director at Hamline University. He said:Students can appeal to financial aid offices with changes in family income (job change, loss of of job, etc), additional dependents, extraordinary medical expenses, etc. Families submit documentation via the college's process and the schools evaluate to determine if additional aid can be awarded. Given that a lot of the country's job loss was after January 1 -- colleges are expecting more appeals.
Landskorener says his family also hopes to use the enhanced college tax credit in the federal stimulus package.
Is the economy changing how colleges court new students or the choices those students and families must make? Drop us a line or keep the conversation going below.
Posted at 1:49 PM on March 30, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Kids going to camp is one of those classic rites of summer. But could it be one of the casualties of the recession?
One of our Public Insight Network folks told us recently that he just got laid off and described his economic outlook as worrisome. Among the spending decisions he was putting off: "Summer plans, camps, etc for the kids. If I'm out of work, it doesn't make sense to spend money on something I could do myself."
Summer camp is often considered recession proof. Nationally, there's evidence that camps are meeting enrollment goals for this summer despite the crappy economy. But we haven't seen this kind of recession in nearly 30 years.
When Minnesota Parent magazine asked its readers recently if the economy would take a bite out of summer camp, most of those responding said they'd find a way to keep camp in the family budget.
The American Camping Association is concerned enough that they've written talking points about summer camps in a recession. The obvious message: It's OK to spend money on camp!
I'd love to hear from people who've made decisions this year about summer camp for their kids or from people who run camps -- how's the market? Drop me a line or post a thought below.
Posted at 1:44 PM on April 6, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Saving, spending and the right thing to do. That's a continuing theme here at MinnEcon. We're being told constantly, it seems, how it's our duty to spend to help the economy. Now comes more evidence that the nation is not in a spending mood.
A recent survey by ING shows 7 of 10 people who expect to get a tax refund this year say they'll be saving it, not spending it.
Of course, the survey comes from ING, which has been marketing itself as the place to put your savings. But the results do match up with what we're hearing from folks in our Public Insight Network. They don't want to spend. They want to pay off debt and save.
In normal economic circumstances, we'd be applauding this. But the idea of people saving their cash suddenly has economic leaders wringing their hands.
Are you in spending or saving mode these days? What will you do with that refund? You can help us at MPR News report on the economy by taking your own economic pulse.
Posted at 1:42 PM on April 7, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Economic stimulus, Saving & spending
It won't be a ton a money but you should see a little more cash rolling into your paycheck in the next few weeks -- part of the federal stimulus package known as the Making Work Pay Tax Credit. The vital question for the nation?Are you going to spend it?
For this year and next, the stimulus law provides a refundable tax credit of up to $400 for working individuals and up to $800 for married taxpayers filing joint returns. For people who get a paycheck, the credit will credit will show up as changes to your withholding.
Taxpayers who don't have taxes withheld by an employer can claim the credit on their 2009 tax return.
The IRS has a page with all the info on the credit.
Of course, everyone wants you to spend that money once it starts trickling in. But people are inclined to hold on to their dough right now, which makes everyone from car makers to barristas worry.
Citizens from our Public Insight Network are telling us regularly that they are pulling back on purchases, are saving what they can and otherwise wary about extending themselves with any kind of spending.
You can add your voice and help MPR News get a better perspective on what's what happening by taking your own economic pulse.
Posted at 3:58 PM on October 5, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Education, Saving & spending
James Park, 68, says he stopped working at age 27 and has lived cheaply ever since. Really cheaply. He says he hasn't owed a car since 1968 and spent only $7,907 to live in 2007 and $6,598 in 2008.
I can't verify those numbers and I'm in the process of asking him more questions.
But since this blog is largely about Minnesotans sharing their economy stories, I wanted to know more about someone who advocates life at the low end of consumption.
It's not an idle thought in this economy. MPR a few weeks ago hosted a discussion with "No Impact Man" Colin Beavan, a guy who tried to live a year in New York City with zero environmental impact. Voluntarily or not, most of us are doing with less or without in this recession.
Park, a source in MPR's Public Insight Network, teaches a free class on "voluntary poverty" through the Twin Cities Experimental College. Despite the catchy name, he says it's more about simplifying (the course title used to be about surviving on Social Security income, his revenue source). He writes:
The EXCO class on voluntary poverty grew out of my own life-style choices: Since I have been able to live well on almost no money, I think others can learn from some of my methods. The audience for this class is basically the people in their 20s and 30s.
People who have attended this kind of seminar in the past have shared some interesting ideas for how to earn income and how to save money on everything.
The seminar does not have a specific agenda. People just share whatever comes to mind from their own experiences.
Park says he' no expert on all aspects of living cheaply. "But I think that we can all share some useful tips for earning money and spending it more wisely." Here's his essay on using only $20-$25 worth of electricity a month.
Saving and spending have been major topics on this blog. I've speculated that in this recession we're seeing permanent shifts toward saving and away from spending. We'll see. There was a recent boost in consumer spending, though much of that was due to the the government's "Cash for Clunkers" program.
Says Park:
Whether people will return to their old patterns of spending once their income returns to previous levels is hard to predict.
I think there might be some people who are ready to down-size permanently. And others will decide never to join the main economy.
Park isn't quite sure when the next "Voluntary Poverty" class will start. That will happen when enough people sign up. An existential philosopher, he adds that his most popular classes are on "authenticity and love."
Regarding the "poverty" class, he says,
The next time it is offered, it will probably be on a week-day afternoon. This is a good time for people who have no jobs to go to.
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Are you trying to live dramatically differently in this economy? Are you reversing your spending and saving? Got any tips? Drop me a line or post below or click here.
Check out the map below to read what others in our network are saying about spending and saving, then share your own story.
Posted at 10:11 PM on April 13, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Education, Saving & spending
We started asking people last week to tell us a story about the economy around them, just as a new way to look at and report on the economy.
We're getting some pretty interesting stories already and we'll be sharing them daily here. First up, Dave Schaenzer from Minneapolis sent us a story headlined: "Canada College Cost 30% discount."
As someone with five years to go before sending a kid to college (and wishing I had eight years), I was instantly interested. Schaenzer wrote:
My daughter has been accepted into college in Canada for next year. The exchange rate is about $1.25 Canadian for each $1 US. This means college cost for tuition and housing is 25% cheaper. She was offered $2.5K scholarship. So we expect to save about $5K by going to Canada instead of UW Madison or the UM Twin Cities.
I'm not sure I've seen that reported anywhere. But it turns out that the government of Canada is making it easy to explore this option. If anyone has a similar story or is contemplating send their kids to college in Canada, please tell us. I'm hoping Schaenzer will tell us a little more about the decision.
Tell us how you're doing. What's the economy like in their part of Minnesota. Click here and tell us. The plan is to build a portrait of Minnesota's economy based on the stories of (I hope) thousands of other Minnesotans. We plan to take those insights and map them here at MinnEcon.
Posted at 10:09 PM on April 13, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
In this economy, we are all saving as much as we can, paying down debt and becoming more frugal. That's a theme we hear regularly as we talk about the economy in Minnesota. As economic watchers wait and worry about Tuesday's retail sales report, here's more evidence that Americans are rethinking the way they do business.
According to an Associated Press-GfK poll:
38 percent of those expecting a tax refund say they intend to spend some of it, but mostly on basic needs.
54 percent getting a refund say they planned to pay off credit card, utility, housing and other bills, up from 35 percent a year ago, according to an AP story on the poll.
Citizens from our Public Insight Network are telling us regularly that they are pulling back on purchases, are saving what they can and otherwise wary about extending themselves with any kind of spending.
In most circumstances this is a good thing. But experts keep telling us that we'll mess up the economy even more if we don't start spending our dough. What's the right thing to do?
You can add your voice and help MPR News get a better perspective on what's what happening by taking your own economic pulse.
Posted at 10:08 PM on April 14, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Not only are we not buying stuff, we are not driving.
Retail sales took a step back in March, slipping 1.1 percent from February after a couple months of gains. The market had expected a slight increase.
Overall, the data released today showed a nearly 11 percent drop in sales from last year.
Maybe most surprising is how steeply gasoline sales have fallen. According to the Commerce Department, gasoline stations sales were down 34 percent from March 2008 and motor vehicle and parts dealers sales were down 23.5 percent from last year.
One month is not a crisis and the fact that that the prior two months showed gains remains a good sign. But it certainly seems like more evidence of a shift -- Americans and Minnesotans are spending less and saving more.
A few months ago we took a look at gasoline consumption in Minnesota and found big drops in monthly gasoline use in 2008 compared to 2007. It looked initially like it was simply a reaction to the high price of gasoline but it became clear it was it was more than price, that maybe it was a shift.
As we've said before, in most circumstances this is a good thing. But experts keep telling us that we'll mess up the economy even more if we don't start spending our dough. What's the right thing to do?
You can add your voice and help MPR News get a better perspective on what's what happening by taking your own economic pulse.
Posted at 10:05 PM on April 15, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Down to about 25 hours in Minnesota to get your 2008 taxes in the mail, unless you're in one of the counties affected by Red River flooding, in which case you have another 30 days and 25 hours.
Not sure what to say about taxes. I did find some interesting rankings of Minnesota's tax burden at the Minnesota Revenue Department. In 2006, the most recent data available, here's how Minnesota ranked among states:
21st in total state and local taxes as a percent of personal income
8th in total state taxes as a percent of personal income
Why the difference? The revenue department explains it's because Minnesota raised 77 percent of its state and local revenue at the state level, compared to the national average of 59 percent.
If you look at the trends in that data, Minnesota was 8th in 2000 and down to 21st in 2006. I don't know if that has more to do with a jump in personal income or a drop in taxes. Anyone with any thoughts on that? Please post something below.
Besides taxes, we'll also get a good look Wednesday at regional economic conditions when the Federal Reserve releases its latest Beige Book report. These are round-ups of economic conditions from each of the Federal Reserve Banks. Check out last month's report from the Minneapolis Fed.
I like the Beige Book because it's not just numbers. It relies also on anecdotes and interviews, which appeals to the reporter in me.
Share a story with us about the economy around you. We'll share them and map them on this site.
Posted at 10:04 PM on April 15, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Too long. Too complicated. Too much money. Those are the comments we typically hear today, April 15.
So tell us what was different this year about doing your taxes. If you could wave the magic wand and make it easier, what would you do? Post below or click here and tell MPR News
Or if you just have a good insight to share about the economy around you, click here and shoot it to us.
Posted at 10:02 PM on April 15, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Can't retire now.
It's an uneasy refrain we've heard from many in our Public Insight Network since the markets took a dive last fall: Minnesotans conceding they simply can't afford to leave the job market and, in some cases, retirees who've told us they now need to find work.
One of our network folks, a retired veterinarian, told us last fall he expected his stock portfolio to provide him "splurge" money and savings, then noted wryly, "Our generous Uncle Dow Jones has inexplicably quit sending us checks in the mail."
Those uneasy feelings come through clearly in a new national survey that shows the public's retirement confidence at record lows in the country. The Employment Benefit Research Institute data show:
13 percent of workers say they're very confident about having enough money to retire comfortably, the lowest level since the survey began in 1993 and down from a peak of 27 percent two years ago.
28 percent of workers say they've changed their expected retirement age over the past year, with most saying it's because of their financial security.
If there's an upside, it's that people appear to be getting the message about saving money. They survey found 75 percent of workers saying they or their spouses have save money for retirement.
If you see anything else interesting in the survey, please post below.
What's the economy like around you? Send us your stories. We'll share them and map them on this site.
Posted at 10:00 PM on April 15, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
My MPR News colleague Mike Caputo spent the last couple weeks asking people in our Public Insight Network about having to sell the things they love in this economy to pay the bills. He got back some great, heartfelt stories.
Mike was on All Things Considered talking about it this afternoon. You can hear it here. It'll give you a great sense of the challenges many Minnesotans face and the decisions they have to make.
He talked to Jonathan Stimes of Burnsville, who lost his job as a radio sales executive six months ago and needed money to pay the mortgage. Mike writes that Stimes turned to some gold coins given to him as a gift from his father for working on the family farm years ago.
"I was not prepared for the sense and the feeling of my dad saying, 'I'm here for you still,'" Stimes said, choking up. "He was an exemplary father and I'm appreciating him more and more each day. There is still a few more coins down there that my mom says I can come and get, if I want. I'll do everything humanly possible to keep those."
Mike also found folks who were happy for the chance to unload stuff they no longer needed. Collectively, it offers a look at Minnesota's economy from a different vantage point.
We're trying to a lot more at MPR News to tell the story of Minnesota's economy through your stories.
You can help. Tell us a story about what the economy is like around you these days. We'll map them here at MinnEcon. Check out some of the responses we've mapped so far:
Posted at 9:52 PM on April 20, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Greater Minnesota, Saving & spending
Tourism is a big deal to Minnesota's economy and summer is an especially crucial time. So we were intrigued by a recent note from Steve Piragis, an outfitter in Ely on the edge of the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness and someone who keeps us posted regularly on the economy of northern Minnesota.
Steve, part of our Public Insight Network, told us:
In a poor economy Ely and the Boundary Waters Wilderness seem to be popular vacation choices. Reservations for canoe trips and spending on wilderness related gear is up this year once again.
Is it because the canoe trip is a relatively inexpensive vacation choice or is it the back to nature experience that people crave in troubled times? For whatever reason it appears that the northwoods will have a very good summer economy once again reflecting what has happened in other recessions.
That may be a good sign for Minnesota, especially since tourism and travel in Minnesota sustains nearly 250,000 jobs and last summer the season was so-so at best.
I'd be interested in hearing from others in Minnesota's tourism and travel business if they're seeing seeing the same thing as Steve.
Below are some recent responses from Minnesotans telling us what they're spending or not spending on these days. You can help by telling us your own leisure spending plans this summer.
Posted at 9:50 PM on April 21, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Education, Saving & spending
Posted at 10:23 PM on April 22, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
My colleagues Mike Caputo and Julia Schrenkler did a nice job Tuesday reporting on the growing use of business barter in this economy and nurturing a discussion.
One of our Public Insight Network sources, Allison Schmitt of St. Paul, also wanted us to know about a local person-to-person service exchange program called Hour Dollars that's based in St. Paul and been around for 10-plus years.
She told us she'd had her kitchen cabinets installed for free in exchange for yard work, kitchen help, computer tutoring and other services. She writes:
I got involved with Hour Dollars about nine or 10 years ago after seeing an article for it in the East Side Review. I attended an orientation, at which I got acquainted with the coordinator at the time as well as a few other members. I also attended a member picnic and "showcase" events where I met other members. This made it easier to contact other members for services - but yes, it is still a little awkward to call and ask help of someone you've never met!
Participation was completely free until about four or five years ago, when the board instituted an optional membership fee. (I think it was $12, not $20, upon further reflection.) The fee provided funding for mailing out the Hour Dollars newsletter and member directory. The board has since upgraded the website to provide these materials online, as well.
One of the things I like best about Hour Dollars is its egalitarian nature. All services are traded on an equal basis. One hour of lawn mowing is equivalent to one hour of legal advice, for example.
Allison adds that she's not affiliated with the management or ownership of Hour Dollars, just happy with her experience.
If anyone else has tried barter or service exchange this way, post below or click here and share a story.
And not to throw a damper on the idea but, remember, there are tax implications!
Posted at 10:21 PM on April 22, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
The recession is changing how we spend and where we work. In some cases, it's also reshaping the roles of spouses and families.
Susan Haugen of Edina opened a window on that in a recent post she sent us -- intriguingly headlined: "The spousal balance of fortune."
Haugen, a source in our Public Insight Network, wrote:
My husband was laid off 4 weeks ago -- he worked at an engineering firm and the lack of work led to a lack of employees. It was nice that the firm tried to reduce everyone's hours before they resorted to layoffs.
On the other side of the coin, my job is getting much bigger. I work for a company who had to form a Bank Holding Company in order to qualify for TARP funds. There is an incredible amount of regulation over Bank Holding Companies, so we are busier than ever. (This seems ironic somehow.)
I am paid hourly, so this downturn is affecting me positively. As my hours increase we are very glad that Mr Mom is home to pick up the slack.
It's an interesting twist. The recession creating problems and opportunities in the same family. So what are the trade offs? Here are some of Haugen's pros and cons:
pro - if both spouses have jobs and one spouse's job gets more intense it takes a toll on the family. more stress but also more outsourcing (takeout, convenience foods, lunches and dinners out, lawn mowing service, internet shipping charges). I have noticed lately how easy it is to outsource anything that you don't want to try to learn (securely hooking up your wireless internet for instance).
pro - we are trying to be a little more careful with discretionary spending. I think that shopping has become such a past time and that marketing is so sophisticated that sometimes it's too easy to spend on things you don't need. I try to stick to the list when I go to Target and I'm happier for it when I get home.
Tosto notes: This is right in line with the overwhelming sentiment we hear from Public Insight Network sources that people may be fundamentally changing their spending habits. Back to Haugen.
pro - one spouse can spend more time with the kids (who would otherwise be in daycare). This is hypothetical because we haven't actually taken them out of school yet. We think it's good for them and the at home spouse wants to catch up on projects
con - more expensive health insurance and the annoying paperwork that comes with changing your benefits again.
con - the imbalance created when one spouse thinks she's working really hard and expects the at-home spouse to be really productive when he's home all day.
We've been caught up in a lot of numbers in our reporting on the recession but Haugen's post really offers some great insight on how an economic slide often compels people to change habits and adapt.
Got a story about how the economy is affecting your household structure? Tell us. And check out the map below to read what other people are telling us about money issues.
Posted at 10:19 PM on April 23, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Most of us are not spending cash these days unless we have to. So Ron Hall of St. Paul, one of our Public Insight Network sources, caught our attention recently when he told us despite tight times, he was spending money for the greater, local good. He wrote:
We have the ability to stimulate the economy, so we do so in ways that make sense to us. We eat out at a reasonable restaurant near by, so they stay open.
I saw that a woman has opened a tailor shop on the skyway, and I can tell it could close soon if she doesn't do well. I'm going to take her a half dozen pants for hemming, even though I've always felt that $10 or $14 dollars for that service is too much. It's not if it helps keep her open.
We tip very well there and anywhere else we eat. We go to yard sales all the time, but we're talking about buying things we don't need at certain sales and just taking them to a thrift shop. We aren't going out for entertainment, so we are willing to spend money we wouldn't have on things that keep us home.
In all, this economy hasn't been so hard on us, and we're willing to spend our money in such a way that it circulates among those most likely to spend it.
Hall's perspective runs counter to much of the sentiment we've heard. But we are seeing it -- most recently in a buy-local effort led by kids in Northfield, Minn.
If you've been doing the same thing -- spending money purposely to help the local small business owner -- please post below or drop us a story.
Also check out on the map below what other people are telling us about money issues.
Posted at 10:12 PM on April 28, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Those Capitol One commercials are funny. But, really, how does it help me that I can slap a picture of my cat on my credit card?
How about if I could set my own credit limit that couldn't be exceeded? Then the credit card companies wouldn't be able to charge me over the limit fees.
That's one of the intriguing provisions in a bill moving now through Congress. It could potentially cost the industry hundreds of millions of dollars according to the Congressional Budget Office.
So, if you could establish your own credit card limit, what would you do? Double it? Triple it? Cut it in half? Leave it where it is? How would it change your personal spending habits?
And remember, if you went this route and you were, say, trying to buy a plane ticket out of Turkmenistan when you hit your credit limit, you may have a problem.
Tell MPR News your ideal credit card limit. Post something below or click here and share a story about over-the-limit fees.
And check out the map below to see stories about spending and saving sent in from our Public Insight Network.
Posted at 10:03 PM on April 30, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
Nice discussion last night at a Minnesota Public Radio News forum with St. John's University economist Louis Johnston, our economics correspondent Chris Farrell and a citizen audience, nicely moderated by Jeff Horwich of In the Loop.
Bottom line: economy is improving but still vulnerable.
The Federal Reserve Board's Open Market Committee feels the same way, noting the national economy continued to contract in March, "though the pace of contraction appears to be somewhat slower."
One of the interesting questions in last night's discussion: Will this recession permanently change American saving and spending patterns? It's one of our favorite topics here at MinnEcon.
Listen in, then add a story about what the economy is like around you.
And check out the map below to see stories about spending and saving sent in from our Public Insight Network.
Posted at 9:59 PM on May 4, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Credit cards and consumer protections are the topics this morning on Minnesota Public Radio News. The Midmorning program features a discussion on a bill that passed the U.S. House that would end practices that some claim are unfair to consumers.
The banking industry says it could end up hurting access to consumer credit.
In February we asked people in our Public Insight Network to tell us what kinds of changes they'd seen in their credit card rates and card limits. We got a bunch of great responses with Minnesotans telling us how their rates had been jacked up suddenly.
Got a credit or any other story about the economy to share? Tell us here. We'll take your response and put it with others on our Economic Lookouts mapping project.
Posted at 9:53 PM on May 6, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Education, Saving & spending
We've seen college enrollment rise in Minnesota during the recession and that's good. It likely means people who've seen their jobs cut are trying to retrain.
But the enrollment bump doesn't mean it's cheap to go to school in Minnesota.
Despite attempts by some schools to ease the cost burden in tough times, tuition and fees at community colleges in Minnesota and Wisconsin are among the highest of any state in the nation. Tuition hikes at Minnesota public colleges are running a lot faster than income growth in this decade.
I was reminded of this by a recent note from Laura Janvrin, a source in our Public Insight Network from Stewartville, Minn., a small town south of Rochester.
Janvrin, in her mid-20's, is a cashier at a local thrift store in Stewartville. She described her current outlook as worrisome and told us she couldn't predict how the next month would turn out for her financially.
My money goes toward a credit card bill and a vet bill...finances may improve, but there are too many things that may suck the money right back out of our hands...
My extra money generally goes toward saving up for grad school -- something I have already had to put on hold three separate occasions because of the economic situation.
There's evidence nationally many young people are in similar straits. A recent survey found young adults struggling with debt were putting off school, putting off starting families and adding more debt.
One in five said they or someone close to them had left college or delayed college because of their economic situation. That jumped to 35 percent among those who described their economic situation as poor.
The Minnesota Office of Higher Education recently published some tips on what to do if you're a college student who's struggling or whose family is struggling in this economy.
It's worth checking in with your college financial aid office to see if they'll provide more aid in circumstances where a family member has lost a job. That won't help Janvrin, who like others may have to wait until the economy recovers.
Know someone who's trying to plan for college or stay in college in this economy? Drop a line and share a story.
Below are some recent responses from our audience on money issues. Send us a story and we'll add it to the map.
Posted at 9:42 PM on May 11, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
We're always on the lookout for unusual economic indicators. So Jeane Nelson of Monticello got me thinking when she wrote in to tell us that she and her husband were planning to get rid of their trash pickup, in part, to save money in this economy.
Made sense to me. My in-laws, bless them, are in their late 70s/early 80s. With frugal natures born in the Great Depression, they produce so little garbage they can easily pass a bag to a visiting child to throw in their pail.
But could it be a trend in this economy? Do we dispose of less garbage in a recession?
Nelson, who's part of our Public Insight Network, wrote that she and husband are down to a trash bag a week, a quarter of what they'd been throwing out. Part of the drop was because they're empty-nesters again. Nelson, 53, added:
We've decided we can save $30 monthly by canceling our garbage service. We noticed we can recycle almost everything we have been putting in the garbage, and can throw one bag of garbage a week away at my husband's place of employment. Sorry, garbage man.
I haven't taken notice of any other people's recycling habits. But I believe people in my age group are keenly aware of what we are doing to the environment and are very happy it is getting the presidents attention.
We should compost, but don't. Yet! We talked about maybe starting a neighborhood compost pile, but would need to educate ourselves better on that...Our garbage now is mostly things that go "bad" in the fridge, or things like egg shells, veggie scraps, also wrappings, like bread bags.
Composting is a great idea. MPR News Reporter Stephanie Hemphill did a terrific story in February on food composting efforts in Minnesota.
I'm trying to scrounge up some household waste data in Minnesota to see if there are any trends here tied to the recession. I'll definitely post on it once I get data.
But, coincidentally, National Public Radio did a piece a couple weeks ago with facts and perspective showing, yes, the amount of stuff we throw out drops dramatically in bad economic times.
Some of it has to do with us buying a lot less stuff because it's a recession and we don't have the money to buy stuff. Some of it has to do with making due with the stuff we have. Overall, we are throwing away a lot less stuff than in the go-go economy days.
Never thought I'd write this but: I'd love to hear from folks about their garbage use!
Post something below or click here and share a story.
Tell me if you're cutting back to save money or help the environment or both. If you're looking for tips to cut your waste, check out this site from the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency.
Below, check out some recent posts we've mapped of Minnesotans talking about money issues.
Posted at 9:38 PM on May 13, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Minnesotans in our Public Insight Network were more than willing to sound off when we asked about their credit cards. Most felt like the companies were kicking them in the shins on rates and credit lines.
But that was a couple months ago and, really, would anything change?
Maybe.
The grumbling over cards and rates is shifting from kitchen tables to Senate desks. A bill rolled out a couple weeks ago that looked mostly like grandstanding is picking up steam in the Senate. The American Bankers Association is sounding the alarm that the bill could end up hurting consumers and small businesses.
We'd love to hear from folks -- bankers, consumers, anyone -- about what's going on with credit cards and whether you think Congress needs to step in.
Post below or send us a story about your credit card. Check out other responses on our map below.
Many of them were like Abigail Duly of New London, Minn. She wrote:
I just received this in the mail yesterday... I will go from a 9.9% to a 17.35% by May. Give me a break! I have been with the company for 8 years, and apparently, they aren't making enough money off of me. It makes me angry that, if I do as my mother always told me to do: pay it off and keep balances low, I am still being "punished." I have good credit... What I don't have is a credit card that practices common sense...
Also, check out a recent conversation on MPR's Midmorning program about the issue.
Got a credit or any other story about the economy to share? Tell us here. We'll take your response and put it with others on our Economic Lookouts mapping project.
Posted at 9:35 PM on May 14, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
My dad lost his job for several weeks when I was little. I found this out years later. Didn't strike me then that anything was wrong. Dad was just home. My parents didn't talk about the financial hit they faced.
Hiding hardship these days is nearly impossible for some families in this economy. At some point you have have to say something to the kids.
Suzanne Stiff of St. Francis, Minn., got me thinking about that when she told us her economic outlook. It wasn't great, with worries about her husband losing his construction job and her family unable to make it only on her paycheck. Any extra money in June will go to replace clothes the kids outgrew last summer and on driver training for her three teens.
We sacrifice for our kids. We don't want them to worry. But at what point do you level with them about hard times? Stiff, a source in our Public Insight Network who's also dealt with the strain of two kids with cancer, put it this way:
We have always been honest with our kids about our financial situation. But let's face it; the stress in our house is overwhelming at times. They know when things are tight when the cupboards are bare. Still, we have tried to provide a "normal" life for our kids and to keep the stress of wondering how we will pay for groceries and household bills on the shoulders of us, the parents.
This was easier when the kids were younger. A five dollar toy or a trip to Como Zoo was a great reward our kiddos back then. Now they are teenagers and they desire cell phones, ipods, video games and laptop computers just like their friends. They want to open the fridge and see their favorite drinks and snacks - and they want to share them with the neighborhood!
Interestingly, their acceptance of our financial reality differs with age. Our 19 year-old who has taken a semester off from community college to save money and our 18 year-old college bound son, worry about the world they are heading into. They "get it" when I tell them what we can pay for and when. They want jobs of their own but are also competing with a huge applicant pool which includes retirees who have returned to the workforce.
On the other hand, our 14 and 12 year-old are in the "it's all about me" years and are so easily influenced by peer pressure. When I told our daughter we could not afford a cell phone for her personal use, she whined, "But everyone has one!" When I firmly told her it was not in our budget she said, "It's not MY fault we're poor!"
On the positive side, one of my kids commented to me about how we seem to have more home cooked meals when we are short on money. This month we are planning our huge family garden. Our 10 year-old has even staked out a plot all for himself.
Sometimes I think if we have an attitude of "we're all in this together" it makes it easier to get through the tough times.
The professional advice mirrors Stiff's approach. The American Academy of Pediatrics says parents need to keep calm and keep the communication open. Kids depend on adults to help them feel secure and they pick up quickly on your anxiety.
Choose words carefully. Hyperbole, even when you're trying to break the tension -- "Hey kids, we're probably heading for debtor's prison!" -- can make the situation worse.
The National Association of School Psychologists has tips for students on how to manage the stress at home and school.
There are few decent columns online with advice along these lines. But none better than what Stiff sent.
What are you telling your kids about the economy? Have you had to call on your kids to sacrifice because of the recession? Share a story with MPR News.
Posted at 9:34 PM on May 14, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
I posted a story recently from a Public Insight Network source who told us she and her husband were planning to get rid of their trash pickup, in part, to save money in this economy.
The question surfaced: Do we chuck less garbage in a recession? At that point, I was armed only with a recent National Public Radio story showing the amount of stuff we throw out drops dramatically in bad economic times.
Got a little Minnesota data now, courtesy of the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency. The most recent report uses 2007 data but still useful. Says:
During the robust years of 1994 to 1998, Minnesota saw a 4.62 percent increase in MSW (municipal solid waste) generation and a 3.4 percent increase in per capita generation.
In 1999, those rates began to slow during a downturn in the economy. In 2006, MSW generation growth slowed to an all-time low--increasing just 0.3 percent. In 2007, MSW generation growth is up slightly by just 0.8 percent. Per capita generation of MSW remained roughly the same (1.166 tons in 2006 and 1.167 tons in 2007).
It's hard to scientifically prove that waste generation strongly correlates to the economy, but over the last few years waste generation per capita has leveled out to basically a 0% increase, adds Colleen Hetzell with the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency. Overall, though, Minnesota's still producing more waste.
"I wouldn't advise getting rid of your trash service entirely because there are items that are generated that can't be avoided, " Hetzell adds. "In that case, after you have exhausted your options to reduce, reuse, recycle, and compost, you would need to properly dispose of the items in the trash.
Tell me if you're cutting back to save money or help the environment or both. If you're looking for tips to cut your waste, check out this site from the Minnesota PCA.
Posted at 9:30 PM on May 27, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, MinnEcon Indicator, Saving & spending
Employment, personal income, consumer confidence. Those are our common gauges of economic health. But how about child support cases?
You might not have thought of that one. My MPR colleague Sasha Aslanian produced a story recently showing how the tough economy has sent the number of child support cases skyrocketing in Minnesota.
It's an issue folks from our Public Insight Network have raised: We've heard from a divorced parent, struggling in this economy, trying to come up with the money for child support. We've also heard from a parent trying to get an ex-spouse to pay it.
Rural Minnesota papers in Chisago and Wadena counties are reporting similar trends. Nationally, a recent poll of divorce lawyers found a jump in the number of requests to modify child support arrangements.
What do you do if you're a divorced parent and the money is not there? Share some thoughts below or click here and tell us a story.
I'm also using this post to kick off our search for unusual or offbeat Minnesota economic trends. What are you seeing on the economy that's a little different that's telling you things are improving or worsening?
Click here, shoot us a note and tell us what you're seeing, then type "MinnEcon Indicator" in the headline box and send it.
Posted at 12:50 AM on June 1, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Save or spend? It's one of our favorite issues here at MinnEcon. I believe this recession is shifting American saving and spending patterns permanently away from consumption and toward savings.
The latest evidence? Numbers released today from the Commerce Department.
Highlights:
Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income was 5.7 percent in April, compared with 4.5 percent in March.
Disposable income rose 1.1 percent in April over March, thanks largely to the federal bailout, which lowered current taxes and increased government social benefit payments, the department said.
Personal consumption spending slipped 0.1 percent.
The excellent economic blog Calculated Risk today notes personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income was the highest in 14 years (see graph below).
So after two-plus decades of hearing about how U.S. citizens spend too much and save too little compared to other nations, is the worst recession in more than 25 years compelling Americans to change their savings and spending habits? I think so.
We've seen evidence in surveys earlier this year. And citizens from our Public Insight Network have been telling us through the winter and spring they were pulling back on purchases, are saving what they can and otherwise wary about extending themselves with any kind of spending.
I understand that consumer spending is crucial to the economy, but I think it's a good thing for us as Americans. Our rising debt drove our consumption and, as we're witnessing, that's unsustainable.
Yeah, it's possible this is a short term change and that we'll be back to our spending/consumption/debt days when the economy recovers completely. I also know experts keep telling us that we'll mess up the economy even more if we don't start spending our dough.
What's the right thing to do? I don't expect people to stop buying stuff. But who can argue that's it would be a bad thing for the pendulum to swing back toward lower debt-to-income ratios and greater personal thrift?
You can add your voice and help MPR News get a better perspective on what's what happening by taking your own economic pulse.
Below are some recent responses from our audience on money issues. Send us a story and we'll add it to the map.
Posted at 12:49 AM on June 1, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Education, Saving & spending
Is higher education the next financial bubble ready to burst?
Tuition and fees at community colleges in Minnesota and Wisconsin are among the highest of any state in the nation. And tuition hikes at Minnesota public colleges are running a lot faster than income growth in this decade.
There are lots of different explanations for this. But let's not go there right now. The reality is that despite attempts by some schools to ease the cost burden in tough times, schools are boosting tuition at a clip faster than family incomes are rising.
At some point something's gotta give.
My MPR News colleague Bob Collins today posted a link to a compelling opinion piece that noted: "Consumers who have questioned whether it is worth spending $1,000 a square foot for a home are now asking whether it is worth spending $1,000 a week to send their kids to college."
Minnesota's supply of high school graduates, growing since the early 1990s, is expected to peak this month and then decline through 2015. So at the same time the region's colleges face a shrinking supply of freshmen, they will be adding to a tuition burden that's among the highest in the country, during the deepest recession in more than 25 years.
That doesn't sound sustainable.
There's no doubt the financial payoff of a college degree remains strong. But at what point to Americans start seriously looking for alternatives to the traditional U.S. college education?
How about Canada, where the exchange rate is favorable and the government is making it easy these days to explore college options?
So is college worth the money? Do you see the time coming when the traditional Minnesota college education won't be worth its cost? What alternatives are out there? I'd love to hear from folks.
If you know someone who's trying to plan for college or stay in college in this economy, drop a line and share a story.
Posted at 12:43 AM on June 8, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: MinnEcon Indicator, Saving & spending
Religious leaders have a great vantage point on this economy. They witness the daily joys and struggles of their congregation and do their best to help people through. They may also worry about their own jobs as they minister to others.
We've kept tabs the past few months on a few ministers in our Public Insight Network. We asked them recently for some updates on what they're seeing. Several wrote back, including Evelyn Weston, a minister in southwest Minnesota. In February she told us:
Things don't seem as bad in rural MN as we hear about in metro areas. I think everyone is waiting for the recession to hit our area, but we're really not feeling the affects yet -- just the anxiety about what may come.
The economy remains pretty resilient in the state's southwest corner, which has the lowest unemployment in the state. But Evelyn told us last week the worry is out there.
Parishioners definitely are concerned about the economy...One family owns a business that makes super-insulated building materials. Business had been very good, but now the workers hours have been cut to 4-days/week. Lots of interest in getting estimates for building projects, but banks aren't approving construction loans.
There also is concern about what will happen with farming. As usual, weather factors in; it's too dry. But costs of inputs were high last fall, fuel costs are rising again, yield and price may be low. Another farm crisis is a possibility. That could have a devastating effect on many rural churches.
We're responding by keeping our ears to the ground for people who may need financial help. But there is a lot of pride about those kinds of things in rural areas, so we may not hear about it.
Zach Wilson, minister at a suburban Twin Cities church, told us in December that while financial giving to the church was ahead of budget,
Volunteering has actually suffered more than finances. While people in my congregation are not losing their jobs they are working longer hours and have less energy to give both to the internal ministry of the church and the outward social justice ministries of the church. When we have emphasized gathering food for the food shelves or providing presents for families in need the congregation has responded more strongly than ever.
Asked about anything that's surprised him in the months since the winter, Wilson last week wrote:
The trend toward living away from family has surprised me. People will always do what they have to do but the fact that they actually have to make the drastic choice to live apart from their families for financial reasons illustrates how severe the economic downturn is for some.
That's a compelling trend. MPR's Annie Baxter did a story a few weeks ago on the hardship of a spouse or partner leaving town to find work.
Wilson notes his personal financial anxiety centers on how the birth of his second child will affect the family finances.
"My wife and I are both pastors with decent incomes but there is no daycare for the hours we keep and I'm not sure the family help we currently rely upon will be able to fill in the gaping wholes in our childcare schedule -- and one of us quitting our jobs is not really a viable financial option. We'll just have to take it as it comes."
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We're on the lookout for interesting or offbeat Minnesota economic trends. What are you seeing on the economy that's a little different that's telling you things are improving or worsening?
Click here, shoot us a note and tell us what you're seeing, then type "MinnEcon Indicator" in the headline box and send it.
Also, check some of the responses below we've received recently from Public Insight Network members on money issues.
Posted at 12:41 AM on June 10, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: MinnEcon Indicator, Saving & spending
Minnesota's economy may be on the skids, but, hey, we're looking good if we want to buy a car.
Minnesota, Connecticut, Wisconsin, Iowa and Massachusetts topped the list of states with the highest average credit score for new vehicle loans in the first three months of 2009, according to Experian Automotive, part of the Experian credit scoring company,
Minnesota, North Dakota and Wisconsin were among the top five for highest scores on used vehicle loan.
Whether anyone can afford cars is another issue. Nationally, the survey notes that the lousy economy and tougher lending criteria are driving up auto loans for used cars, which accounted for more than two-thirds of the loans made in the first quarter of the year.
Drop us a line and let us know if you're spending money (or planning to) on a new or used car and what the experience has been like. Below you can find what others in our Public Insight Network have told us recently about how they're spending money, or not.
Posted at 12:35 AM on June 11, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
We've all reached into the kids' piggy bank on occasion for some quick change. But in this economy are people having to seriously tap their children's accounts?
Minnesota Public Radio News wants to examine whether adults are reducing contributions or tapping their kids' savings to meet expenses.
We've heard from folks in our Public Insight Network who've told us the value of their kids' college fund has fallen with the stock market and they aren't sure how to build it back up in time.
We started wondering if people are having to cut back on the contributions to those college funds or maybe even draw down a savings account set aside for their kids just to pay bills.
Please click here and help us understand the practical issues of cutting contributions or tapping funds meant for your children.
Also, check out the map below for some recent responses on money issues from the network.
Posted at 12:32 AM on June 15, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
I posted earlier today on whether some people in this recession are tapping food shelves despite being relatively well-off.
Michael Gmitter, pastor and director of a northeast Minneapolis food shelf and a source in our Public Insight Network, tells us he's seeing people with full time jobs who own homes, cars and cabins seeking free food from his food shelf. Some are "shrewd/creative, etc. to keep what they have and or get what they want."
I followed up to get some more detail on what he's seeing. Gmitter says:
Until recently (the last 6-12 months), we did not have to be concerned about our client's income. The majority of our client's live in subsidized housing or no housing at all.
We discover the information people leave on our voice mail does not always match when they fill out our intake form. One week a client will say they have 2 adults and 2 children in their household... another week... they have 4 adults and their intake form may say 1 adult and 1 child... (yes, we do updates).
There are times a family will register under one name. The same week or a short time later, a family member from the family will register under a different name. We find this when we compare information we have in our files.
There are many examples and experiences concerning people in need or not in need. We have done our best to not become a policy over people organization. We try to give every person the benefit of the doubt... however, when they give themselves away... we must take action. I feel personally accountable to get as much food, to as many people in need... as often as I can.
I asked how he knows that some clients have more wealth than expected:
When people come to our food outreach... they tell us their stories. Many feel free to tell us they have cabins, boats, etc. Just last week, one man told me he bought a home in North Branch. He went on to ask if his cousin could get food for him next week because he would be working on his cabin the following weekend.
Again, this startles me. The food shelf is supposed to be the last resort, right? But at a small food shelf in northeast Minneapolis, we find some people who are, as Gmitter put it, "experiencing hardship because they seem unwilling to prioritize their needs over their wants."
It made me think of a question our friends at Marketplace radio recently asked their national audience: Will your ethics survive the recession?
There's no doubt most of Gmitter's food shelf clients need the food and aren't gaming the system.
Still, is the depth of this recession starting to make us act in ways we would not normally act?
If anyone's got any experience with seeing this kind of behavior, please drop a line or click here and share a story about it.
Posted at 12:31 AM on June 15, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
UPDATE: You can listen to Pawlenty's 2pm press conference here or join an online discussion at MPR's political blog.
We'll get the list on Tuesday of all the cuts Gov. Tim Pawlenty plans to make to Minnesota's two-year budget, my Minnesota Public Radio News colleagues are reporting tonight.
It won't be fun. According to our MPR report:
Pawlenty has said his cuts will include aid to local governments, health and human services programs and higher education. Pawlenty declined to offer specifics after his speech on Saturday, but said there wouldn't be any major surprises.
"There isn't any real mystery as to what's boxed off because the federal government won't allow us to touch it," said Pawlenty. "And we've committed to try to only defer, and not permanently reduce, school payments, and that leaves the other categories."
You can help us report the news on Tuesday. The list is expected mid-afternoon. It should be posted either at the state finance department web site or linked from the governor's Web page.
Check it out and if you see anything that will affect you directly, click here and tell us. Or post something below. It'll really help us in the newsroom understand the impact quickly and will make the coverage better.
The Minnesota Budget Project, a research effort of the Minnesota Council of Nonprofits that analyzes Minnesota spending and budgeting, has a good quick summary of expected areas to be cut. Read it here.
Higher education and health and human services are likely to take some of the biggest hits as Pawlenty uses his "unallotment" power to close a projected two-year, $2.7 billion budget.
Posted at 12:29 AM on June 16, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Here's the short version of Gov. Pawlenty's plan to close a $2.7 billion budget gap over the next two years. Here's the longer version.
MPR's done a ton of stuff already this afternoon. Here are some highlights:
MPR's Bob Collins blogs on the kinds of jobs and people who might be most affected by the cuts.
Polinaut, MPR's terrific political blog, has lots of good stuff and reaction, including live blogging during Pawlenty's press conferenc
MPR's news story with a quick look at the numbers
Twitter has lots of traffic from news and commentary sites on the Pawlenty cuts and their potential effects. If you're searching, use #mncuts.
I've already received some really good responses from our Public Insight Network on the cuts and their potential. I'll post on them tonight and/or Wednesday morning.
You can really help us report in depth by looking through the big list and letting us know if you see anything that will affect you directly.
If you some insight on the cuts, click here and tell us. Or post something below.
Posted at 12:18 AM on June 22, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
I posed the question recently: Are you reaching into the kids' savings to pay bills? Now, I've scrounged up some reasonably reliable data -- a recent national survey by financial services giant ING showing:
34 percent have reduced the contributions they make to their children's savings
18 percent of parents who have savings set aside for their children have taken money from their children's savings to cover bills or pay off debt.
So, yeah, many of us are tapping those funds or pulling back on what we hoped to save for the kids.
Check out a recent Minnesota Public Radio story on the struggle of saving for college in this economy (featuring several of our Public Insight sources) and a Gather conversation along those same lines.
We got some good responses from our Network on the issue. Here's a sampling of what people around Minnesota told us:
We have reduced our contributions to our own adult savings accounts but not to the kids' accounts. The kids have no way of making up the difference but we adults can always reduce our spending. --Cynthia Jacobson, Maple Plain
I've avoided even starting a family, partly because I lack the economic security to raise any potential children through to adulthood. -- Joe Schaedler, Minneapolis
I'm a married parent of 2 kids. After mortgage balance, our own college loans and car loans, our family net worth is well under zero. So "savings" is sort of a dubious term. As a family we keep a single pot, and hopefully we can provide a small nest egg of liquid cash for the kids in another 10 years when they're getting ready for college, but we'll likely still be paying our own college loans then. -- Paul Bramscher, Circle Pines
Advice-wise, the experts all say starting early on the kids' savings is the smartest move. Liz Wiczer of St. Paul told us her son just turned one:
Any money he receives as a gift goes directly into his savings account, held in his name by us. Every month we are able to save money (usually 10 out of 12 months), we put 10% of the total saved amount into his account. We haven't designated a particular purpose for the money yet, but it will most likely go towards college expenses, setting up a home of his own, a down payment on a first house, a wedding, or other similar one-time large expense.
I'm still interested in hearing from people on the issue. If you have a story to tell about managing -- or needing -- your kids' savings tell it here.
And check out an earlier post asking if college is still worth the money?
Posted at 12:05 AM on June 25, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
I've defied all my mother's efforts over the years to civilize me. I still roll my eyes like a grumpy teen whenever etiquette comes up as a topic (don't ask me about fork placement or present buying. My birthday card to you will arrive several days after your birthday.)
So it wasn't a real shock that I pretty much failed a CBS News quiz on "recession etiquette."
It did, however, get me thinking about how we navigate those uncomfortable conversations about job loss ("Hey, Steve, How's the unemployment going!?), coming up short in paying for college or telling your pals you won't be able to take that ski trip with them this year.
How hard is that?
We've talked on MinnEcon about having the recession conversation with your kids. But what about our discussions with colleagues and casual friends?
Do we all end up pretending in those conversations that we're all doing OK? Do we admit to people outside our family that things aren't going great? What do you say when you're on the receiving end of that comment?
I'd love to hear how people deal with all this. Post something below or click here and tell us a story about how you succeeded -- or failed -- in your recession etiquette. We'll post the best ones we get. Be nice!
Posted at 12:04 AM on June 26, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
"None of my family knows my situation right now..."
That sentence from Annie Baxter's MPR piece today chilled me. The woman her husband, and four daughters are homeless and struggling but keeping it secret from their families.
Yesterday, I half-jokingly talked about recession etiquette. But it's a serious question here. How do you ask for help when you're that far down? Do we end up pretending in our conversations that we're all doing OK? Do we admit to people that getting laid off didn't just make life difficult, it put me and my family on the street?
Leslie Frost, a Public Insight Network source who runs a small family shelter in Minneapolis gave us a look recently at the hardships she witnesses daily and the increasing numbers seeking help. (Frost was featured in Baxter's piece.)
Frost told us the shelter was getting 300 calls a month now compared to about 50 two years ago:
The same reasons apply now: lost job, ran out of money, couch-hopped for awhile, wore out our welcome at all those places, finally ran out of options, called for shelter. But now, there are new reasons: landlord ran out of money, quit paying the water bill, couch-hopped, applied to new landlord, got turned down because current landlord isn't answering his phone to provide a rental reference.
Things may be OK for the woman in Baxter's piece. "It looks like the bus company will take her back as a driver this summer, and after a tough search, she found an affordable place to live." For a lot of people and children, it won't be OK and may likely get tougher.
How do you talk about when, financially, you're in serious trouble. Have you ever had to have that conversation? Share a story with us.
Posted at 4:32 PM on July 6, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Greater Minnesota, Saving & spending
Here's a question with a bunch of different answers: Is Minnesota tourism suffering or holding its own in this recession?
We've seen a spate of local tourism-down stories and opinion pieces lately, most tied to Sen. Amy Klobuchar's push for the Travel Promotion Act, intended to raise money from parts of the U.S. travel industry and foreign travelers. The money would go to lure international tourists.
But how bad is the tourism industry in Minnesota? Maybe not as bad as you think.
Looking at jobs data, the state's hospitality and tourism business is doing relatively well, losing about 4,900 jobs from May of this year to last, a 1.9 percent decrease, one of the smallest drops of any Minnesota economic sector.
State data also show the industry added 7,100 jobs in May as summer tourism cranked up. Much of the boost came in bar and restaurant jobs, according to the state Labor Department.
While a pre-summer survey by Explore Minnesota found nearly half of lodging businesses (from resorts to campgrounds) expecting a tougher summer than in 2008, only 16 percent described their business as "declining."
Back in April, Steve Piragis, an Ely outfitter and a source in MPR's Public Insight Network told us:
In a poor economy Ely and the Boundary Waters Wilderness seem to be popular vacation choices. Reservations for canoe trips and spending on wilderness related gear is up this year once again. Is it because the canoe trip is a relatively inexpensive vacation choice or is it the back to nature experience that people crave in troubled times?I'm planning to check in with him later this month to see if business met his expectations.UPDATE: Steve this afternoon tells us: "So far so good up here at our business. I hear some reports of early season blues from resorters but we are ahead of last year by a couple teenies. Even a little up is far better than behind. I'll give you an update as we hit mid season at the end of July. By then the total picture will be clear. "There's no doubt that the worst recession in more than 25 years is dampening Minnesota tourism. But the tourism business also seems like its doing a lot better these days than many other part of Minnesota's economy.For whatever reason it appears that the northwoods will have a very good summer economy once again reflecting what has happened in other recessions.
Posted at 4:23 PM on July 9, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
I'm in a rolling discussion with a very good local economist about whether this recession is worse than the early 1980s.
I'm taking the 1980s. I think I have a pretty good case.
I realize I'm dangerously close to sounding like the old guy (47) droning on about how much harder I had it (I did have to walk a mile in the snow to school!).
But we've been asking people recently to share their first recession memories (add your own). And in coming weeks MPR will feature the recession stories of young people in our Public Insight Network.
UPDATE: Here's the My First Recession project.
So it seems like a good time to make a case that my first recession was harder.
I'll save you a lot of grim personal detail. Briefly, I was in college in the early '80s recession, came out in 1984 with an economics degree (HA!) and stumbled out of the gate with a bunch of part time jobs, including working as a night proofreader for a company that published church bulletins.
Here's my data argument that the early 1980s were worse.
GDP drops were scarier. Things are bad now but a look at quarterly U.S. real Gross Domestic Product data shows a serious, scary roller coaster from 1980 to 1983. Here it is in a chart:
Yeah, that drop at the end of 2008 is bad, but come on. Unemployment was worse. The U.S. unemployment rate topped 9 percent from March 1982 to September 1983, 18 months. The unemployment rate topped 9 percent in May 2009. Will it stay that high through November of next year? I don't think so. Inflation? Forget it. Inflation was brutal in the late 1970s and early 1980s, a tremendous destroyer of wealth. Yes, inflation took a dive after the Federal Reserve went on a strangle inflation policy, which ultimately was a good thing but pretty darn painful to live through. Looking for a 30-year fixed mortgage in February 1982? Sure! How does a 17.6% rate sound? Been Down so Long? Maybe the best argument that this recession is worse is that the economy's fallen deeper, faster. That data looks pretty compelling. Yeah, but...that's only because the economy started to fall from a much higher and more prosperous point in 2007 than in 1980. It was a pretty crappy economy (malaise, anyone?) leading up to an awful recession. OK, have at it. Whup me upside the head and tell me your recession was tougher. Unless you're 80 years old or older, you'll have a tough time convincing me!
BONUS INFO: Louis Johnston, that very good local economist who sparked this post, tells me he'll be on MPR's Midday program Friday at 11 a.m. Tune in!
Posted at 4:09 PM on July 16, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Greater Minnesota, Saving & spending
As an economic report, this seems kind of suspect. But Minnesota's in the Top 5, so here we go.
A new report from the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service shows:
One of every five Americans watches birds, and in doing so, birdwatchers contributed $36 billion to the U.S. economy in 2006, the most recent year for which economic data are available.
States with the highest birding participation rates: Montana (40 percent), Maine (39 percent), Vermont (38 percent), Minnesota (33 percent) and Iowa (33 percent).
I think there's a great case to be made that tourism connected to bird watching pump's dollars in to selected Minnesota economies.
But the Fish & Wildlife report bar is pretty low. You're basically defined as a birder if you try to identify birds in your yard. People who notice birds while cutting their lawn don't count. And that zoo trip won't help you either.
Otherwise...
More interesting to me is another Fish & Wildlife report showing Minnesotans among the top states for photographing birds. About 12 percent of us 16 and older were interested enough in birds to pull out the camera (.pdf page 19).
We're always looking for stuff we didn't know before, so check out the new report and drop a line if you see anything that surprises you. Meanwhile, I need to post the birding report on Twitter.
Posted at 4:06 PM on July 17, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
Worried about having enough cash to pay the bills, a Minnesota pastor told me recently his church negotiated a bank line of credit.It was the first time in 30-plus years of ministry, he said, that his church needed a short term loan.
The church hadn't tapped the credit line yet but might need to by summer's end.
It's a sensitive topic and he asked me not to use his name. But his point was clear. The recession is taking a toll on some religious institutions.
We've asked ministers in our Public Insight Network about how their congregations are faring. They tell us their churches are holding their own for the most part.
Evelyn Weston, a Public Insight source who's a minister in southwest Minnesota, told us today:
From what I've heard from leaders in our parish, our churches are doing about the same as usual financially. There always is a slump in giving during the summer.
Nationally, data show some tough times.
Nearly a third of the churches responding to a survey earlier this year by the National Association of Church Business Administration said they were struggling financially, up from 14 percent last August.
Another 25 percent said they were seeing slower times but weren't sure if it was simply a normal cycle and not the recession. Nearly half said they had frozen or cut staff benefits, up from 18 percent last August.
The surveys didn't ask church leaders how they were faring. But in many cases, being a minister means moving every few years and that can take its own toll.
Says Weston:
Some pastors have taken new calls and had to sell their home for less than the mortgage. For those pastors who own a home, they're really feeling stuck. Moving means taking a financial loss for the sake of their ministry. One mentioned that if that's what God is calling them to do, they're willing to make that sacrifice.
In rural areas, where church-owned parsonages are more common, pastors do seem to feel more free to take a new call and move.
It used to be that pastors thought it was better to own their own home, since their investment would appreciate over time. But now it looks like those of us who live in parsonages are better off in many ways.
One other interesting twist out of that national survey: 26 percent said they've seen church attendance rise in the recession.
Posted at 3:48 PM on July 24, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(1 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending, Small business
Friday's federal minimum wage hike to $7.25 an hour may have a bigger effect on Minnesotans and Minnesota business than you think.
With the hike, Minnesota's large employer minimum is now $1.10/hr under the feds and small employer minimum is $2/hr less. Ours is one of only four states with a state wage lower than the feds (five have no law).
What does it mean? Here are some thoughts:
Statewide, it may only touch about five percent of the workforce. The Economic Policy Institute, a liberal research group, estimates the law will affect 79,000 Minnesotans directly and 44,000 indirectly.
About 2.6 million people were employed in Minnesota in June.
Dan Marshall is co-owner of Peapods Natural Toy Store in St. Paul and a board member of the Metro Independent Business Alliance. He's also a source in our Public Insight Network.
He told us today:
I think the increase in the federal minimum wage law will have very limited impact on locally owned small businesses.
Although there may be some exceptions, particularly with restaurants, most members of MetroIBA are already paying their employees well above minimum wage.
Small businesses, including ours, tend to rely heavily on quality staff and do not have the HR and training resources to accommodate the high turnover that comes with paying minimum wage. Furthermore, the law exempts businesses grossing less than $500k, which includes many of our member businesses.
The problem is that the cutoff may be trickier than people realize.
The U.S. Labor Department's FAQs notes also notes the law:
...applies to employees of smaller firms if the employees are engaged in interstate commerce or in the production of goods for commerce, such as employees who work in transportation or communications or who regularly use the mails or telephones for interstate communications.
Together, it means nearly all Minnesota businesses -- including many mom-and-pop shops -- will fall under the federal law and the higher minimum wage, says Mary M. Krakow, an attorney with the Minnesota law firm Fredrikson & Byron.
I'm hoping to come back with more on this Monday, so stay tuned.
Meanwhile, if you're a business or an employee who has some thoughts on how the minimum wage hike affects you, I'd love to hear from you.
Post below or click here and use this form. It's built by our friends at Marketplace radio, but we share the info and I'll be sure to see it.
Meanwhile, check out the detail below comparing Minnesota to other states.
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Here's an interesting comparative chart (thanks to Mary Krakow and Fredrikson & Byron)
|
|
July 24, 2007 |
July 24, 2008 |
July 24, 2009 |
|
Federal |
$5.85 |
$6.55 |
$7.25 |
|
Minnesota |
$6.15 |
$6.15 |
$6.15 |
|
Minnesota |
$5.25 |
$5.25 |
$5.25 |
|
Wisconsin |
$6.50 |
$6.50 |
$6.50 |
|
Iowa |
$6.20 |
$7.25 |
$7.25 |
|
North Dakota |
$5.15 |
$5.15 |
$5.15 |
|
South Dakota |
$5.15 |
$5.15 |
$5.15 |
|
Illinois |
$7.50 |
$7.75 |
$8.00 |
|
California |
$7.50 |
$8.00 |
$8.00 |
Certain exceptions to minimum wage apply to workers under the age of 20 for their first 90 days of employment and, in some states, to tipped employees and agricultural and disabled workers.
U.S. Department of Labor map of minimum wage

|
States with minimum wage rates higher than the Federal |
States with no minimum wage law |
||
|
States with minimum wage rates the same as the Federal |
States with minimum wage rates lower than the Federal |
||
|
American Samoa has special minimum wage rates |
Posted at 3:40 PM on July 30, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Saving & spending
For savers who stashed money away tax free for decades in an IRA or a 401(k), it can be a little grating when the IRS starts telling you to start spending it or else. But the feds are offering a break this year on Required Minimum Distributions.
It's a break I didn't know about until Charles Turpin of Minneapolis, a source in our Public Insight Network, told me how important it is to him this year. He wrote:
If you are over 72, as I am, the elimination of RMD for this year has almost eliminated my income tax obligation...reduced my taxable income enough to eliminate the tax on my social security payments. (This one was a stunner. I recalculated my estimated taxes three times before I believed the results)
Without the RMD, my gross taxable income is low enough so that my (Social Security) is not taxable. It's also low enough that my dividend and capital gains income is not taxable. All that leaves is my pension income, which is low enough to generate a negligible income tax.
With Required Minimum Distributions, the IRS basically requires most people with tax deferred savings accounts to make annual withdraws, starting at age 70.5. (The rules don't apply to Roth IRAs while the owner is alive.)
The AARP has a useful page that helps calculate required minimum distribution. AARP also notes the suspending RMDs this year:
...helps to offset the large share of retirement funds that older individuals had to take in 2008 because of the way that RMD is calculated. Required withdrawals were high for 2008 because they were based on account totals as of December 31, 2007, when account values were up after years of stock market gains.
As a result, people who waited until the end of 2008 had to take high distributions out of greatly diminished retirement accounts.
Without the break, the penalty for not withdrawing the required minimum is pretty stiff -- a 50 percent penalty on the amount not withdrawn. So if you came up $4,000 short on your required withdrawal you'd be assessed a $2,000 tax the next year.
Says Turpin:
The IRS is firm about the penalty for non withdrawal of RMD, but not impossible.
My wife provided volunteer tax assistance to seniors for many years. For seniors of the past generation, it was common for the wife to know nothing about the family finances. When the husband died there was an awful mess, and things like RMDs and estimated taxes could easily be overlooked.
We found that a well written letter to the IRS outlining what happened and the circumstances involved could lead to forgiveness of the penalty.
The break ends December 31 unless it's extended. So, tax-wise, it'll be business as usual in 2010.
Posted at 3:30 PM on August 3, 2009
by Paul Tosto
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Filed under: Housing & mortgages, Saving & spending
Margie Hoyt is losing a home that's been in her family for generations because of a loan she says should never have been made.
A source in our Public Insight Network who lost her job in April, Hoyt told us Thursday she has 30 days to vacate her home inMadelia and then another two weeks to get her stuff out, including the major appliances.
Hoyt, who served on Madelia's planning commission and is now a city councilwoman, wanted to tell her story to let others know the collateral damage of a bad debt. She's about to pay a price in this recession for a financial mess not of her own making.
Here's what she told us:
Hoyt, 50, cared for her father for two years at the family home in until a few months before his death in December 2007.
The house, in her family since 1926, should have been debt free, except in 2003, she says, her 84-year-old father agreed to a 15-year, $20,000 loan for siding. Two years later her father refinanced for $26,000 and 30 years.
She knows her father showed poor judgment, but said lenders should have known better, too, given her father's age and finances.
The final hit came, she says, when the homeowners insurance lapsed. To get it re-insured, she said, an inspection was required, which found problems with the roof. What was a $160.09 monthly payment jumped to $500.
Her father, she adds, had no life insurance and his estate is insolvent:
Because an 84 year old man was approved for a $20,000, 15 year mortgage, I now face being evicted from a home his sister lived in and with whom I spent several summers with as a child during the 1960s.
I came to live in this house with my dad in 1993 and had a daughter while living here and going to school in 1996. My daughter is the 4th generation to live in this house.
Given my financial situation and trying to get back on my feet after my dad passed away I couldn't afford a lawyer to help with the probate or negotiating with the lender on the mortgage.
The job I had (night shift auditor at a local motel) only paid $7.25 with no benefits so it's not like I can get a loan.
About 1 of 83 Minnesota homes is in the foreclosure process, according to a recent estimate, with a big jump in pre-foreclosure notices in Minnesota during June.
So even as the economy bottoms out, these problems aren't going way soon.
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Hoyt's story got us thinking about all the fallout from the recession and mortgage crisis. Many people messed up their personal finances and are paying for it now.
But what about those who did the right thing and still got sideswiped?
Use this form and tell us how you're dealing with a personal financial problem that you didn't cause.
Below check out stories people in our Public Insight Network are telling us about the housing market where they live.
Posted at 3:18 PM on August 10, 2009
by Paul Tosto
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Filed under: Saving & spending
The worst recession in decades ended the illusion that Americans were managing debt wisely. IOUs worked fine when people had jobs. Not so much now.
So is our love of high leverage over? We don't know that yet, but it's pretty clear we're pulling back.
New data from Federal Reserve data show a big drop in consumer credit starting at the end of 2008 and continuing through the first half of this year. Looks even more dramatic if you chart it from 1999:
The debt pullback lines up with what sources in MPR's Public Insight Network tell us about their spending habits. They continue to hold back on the big ticket purchases. Some recent responses:
Nancy Kafka, a network source from Red Wing, told us she's putting off home improvements (porch roof, interior bookshelves) "and even a painting project that I could do myself. Basically am not buying any non essentials at this point."
Jane Wilson of Bloomington told us she needs to buy a bed, "but that's an essential. Putting off buying sports equipment and making cabin improvements. My property taxes have been going through the roof, so I have to save at least $500 per month for the property taxman. AARGGH!
Heidi Christian of Eagan told us she plans to buy a vacuum but, "I am putting off buying a new washer, even though mine is broken and I have to beat on it to get it to start, it still works, so I won't replace it until I absolutely need it."
All that dovetails with recent data showing rising savings rates among Americans.
Cash for clunkers is drawing some of us back into the new car market. But at this point we're saving more and much less willing to sign our names to the "easy" long-term payment plan.
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What are your spending habits like these days? Use this form and tell us a story about what you're doing with your money. Check out the map below for what others in our Network are saying about money issues.
Posted at 3:00 PM on August 31, 2009
by Paul Tosto
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Filed under: Greater Minnesota, Saving & spending
We talked recently about signs the region's antiques business might be improving and asked if that signaled anything about the economy's health. Local dealers were looking for clues from two big August antiques shows, including Gold Rush Days in Oronoco.
Now, one of our Public Insight Network sources, Duluth antiques dealer Richard Lee, tells us he saw positive signs at Oronoco, though there's still plenty of uncertainty. He also gave us some great insights on the shift in American spending habits, a topic dear to us.
Here's what Lee heard from other dealers:
At most shows (antiques and collectibles) are impulse purchases. It used to be in the '90's that one could count on the average impulse purchase to be in the $35 to $45 range. After 9/11 that dropped to $20 to $25. Customers now still want to spend money, just not a lot of money...This show/market the average sale was $5 to $8--it takes a lot of $5 sales to pay your expenses.
Furniture items are not selling due to the uncertainty in the housing market. Many purchased more house than they could afford in the '90's, and then they couldn't afford to furnish them anyway. Now people are just having trouble holding on to their houses.
Dealer to dealer sales are down, "and that is what hurts sales the most." Among the reasons: "No one knows what to buy, because customers have not followed any trends; prices are stabilizing after wild escalation, hence many are selling items for less than what they paid for them. No one wants to get burned.
Lee also reports the business is struggling to position itself for the future.
Items offered by dealers appeal to a generation that is attracted to items they remember their parents or grandparents valued. That generation is not buying, and the generation that is buying is looking for "retro", or items from the 70's and 80's.
"Real" antiques are too old for the new buyers to know anything about and most of those are already in collections and won't become available again until the estate sales start happening.
Most dealers have difficulty purchasing or identifying with items that they or their kids purchased new a mere 30 years or so ago, hence they aren't able to offer the public what they want.
Many dealers are are leaving, he adds, although, "Overall I'd say that Oronoco was a success and it does seem to suggest that the future is going to be brighter for those who stay in the business."
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Got another take on the antiques business, as a buyer or a merchant? Drop me a line and let me know. Otherwise tell us what the economy's like around you these days.
Check out the map below for what others in our Network are saying about money issues.
Posted at 9:23 PM on September 4, 2009
by Paul Tosto
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Filed under: Saving & spending
My MPR colleague Andrew Haeg talked recently with a parent in our Public Insight Network about using incentives to encourage good behavior and savings among her children. She has some unique challenges. Here's Andrew's report:
The challenge of raising four young boys combined with a massive recession can call forth from parents unexpected reserves of creativity.
Take Trista Matascastillo, a St. Paul mother and source in our Public Insight Network. She has hit on a strategy for saving money and encouraging good behavior. When kids act particularly well, give them a token they can exchange for candy, food or something else they value.
Matascastillo has four kids, ages 1, 7, 10 and 12. The 10-year-old is severely autistic, and is prone to screaming or hitting himself. He attends a school for special needs kids in St. Paul. Last year his teacher, John Hartshorn, implemented the token economy to encourage his kids to control their behavior.
For Hartshorn's class, the results have been remarkable. At the beginning of the year, the class was "a little wild," and he had trouble getting the kids in their seats. Now after starting the token system (with an exchange rate of one token to one Skittle or cracker) they'll stay put and attentive for 25 to 30 minutes.
Trista Matascastillo liked the system so much, she started using it at home. To her surprise, her 12- and 7-year-olds showed interest in the system, so she started giving them tokens for behavior "above and beyond" what was normally expected.
What constitutes token-worthy behavior depends on the child.
For the 12-year-old, it might be helping his younger brother learn how to skateboard. For the 7-year-old, it's consistently saying "please" and "thank you."
Even the 1-year-old is starting to get it--for him blowing a kiss is enough for a token. Matascastillo has set on a fairly stable exchange rate: each token is worth 10 minutes of free time, or 50 cents. When they wanted to see the movie "The Transformers" with their dad, they had to save up a week's worth of tokens.
The system is teaching them better behavior, along with the rudiments of economics, negotiations, and exchange rates. A bowl of ice cream might suddenly take on far greater value if the child wants it badly enough, so they'll have to negotiate out a token exchange that both child and parent can accept.
"It's really them comprehending what it's worth and how we get to an agreement," Matascastillo says. The neighbor kids have taken a shine to the system, and she now uses tokens to reward them for good behavior.
And lest you think this just for kids, there are plenty of adult versions of token systems. Frequent-flyer miles, hotel points, and other reward systems are token economies which encourage more buying and consumer loyalty. Psychologists (including the renowned B.F. Skinner, who was the chair of the University of Minnesota's psychology department) call this sort of behavior management "operant conditioning."
At the Matascastillo house, there have been a few cases of attempted hoodwinking (the 7-year-old once "lost" a bunch tokens he never had) and suspect token behavior (i.e. gratuitous sweetness: "Mom, I love you" plus lots of hugs and kisses). But Matascastillo can see through their ruses, and the kids know it.
And as certain positive behavior becomes normal, she can raise the bar whenever she wants, and in the process encourage even better behavior. All the while, she and her husband are spending far less than they would with allowances -- in this recession "we don't have money to give away," she says.
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Matascastillo was also featured in a recent MPR Commentary on the need to help female veterans.
Posted at 9:01 PM on September 15, 2009
by Paul Tosto
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Filed under: Education, Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
Lindy Ellenbaum drives the 539 Metro Transit bus from the Mall of America to Best Buy headquarters and back. The recession, he says, is changing who rides and where they go.
Ellenbaum, a source in MPR's Public Insight Network, dropped us a note recently calling himself "one of the lucky ones" in this economy because he still has a job and that the mix of students, jobless and low-income folks on his south suburban bus route bus has shifted with the economy.
Ellenbaum told us:
I drive the 539 from the Mall of America to Best Buy Headquarters and back, daily. Along my route I pass the VEAP food shelf on 98th and Irving, and the work force center near Old Shakopee and France. The traffic to VEAP has increased but the traffic to the Work Force Center has dropped off.
Not many going to Work Force Center these days...those going there earlier either got jobs or just gave up. I suspect the latter.
For a while I had a number of people that worked at Best Buy riding my bus, they're mostly gone now.
There are also a number of mothers with children riding (but) I think the lack of jobs has slowed the immigration into the city...I don't see so much of that any more.
The number of students riding my bus is also way up. I go through Normandale (community) College 7 times a day and there are four buses from the B line 539 and at least that many from Metro 535 that also go there...
Normandale confirms the student increases. Initial data show Enrollment is up 7 percent this semester over the same time last year, "which includes a nearly 9 percent jump of headcount in new-entering students," said Normandale spokeswoman Kate Metzger.
Are they adults trying to find their way back into the economy?
"We certainly have seen some adult-returning students, but 66 percent of our students are younger than 25 and 81 percent are younger than 30." she said.
"We won't know just how many adult-returners we have until we do our 30th day enrollment analysis."
Numbers from the Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development also bear out what Ellenbaum sees. Here's a look at data from all the workforce centers:
And, yes, the VEAP food shelf also matches up with Ellenbaum's observations.
Last month the food pantry served 6,400 people, "a record number for us," said VEAP development director Karin Meier. That's about 1,000 more then last August.
VEAP supplies five days of food every 30 days to people in need in Bloomington, Edina, Richfield and part of South Minneapolis.
The food shelf, she adds, is seeing larger households needing help -- more people being served from one address, "meaning either families, larger families or households that have opened their doors to help others during tough times."
The kind of people Ellenbaum sees regularly on the bus.
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Drop me a line or post below if you see anything different.
Ride another bus and notice anything interesting re: the economy? Let me know.
Check out the map below to see what others in our Network are saying about the jobs climate in Minnesota. Then share your story.
Posted at 8:59 PM on September 17, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Greater Minnesota, Saving & spending
Minnesota's summer tourism season was mixed at best. But if your business was in outfitting, resorts or camping, the data we're seeing and stories we're hearing indicate you had a solid year.
The best news seems to be coming near the Canadian border. Recent reports from sources in MPR's Public Insight Network jibe with what folks were telling us in August: lower cost family vacations would do well while big resorts, Twin Cities hotels and facilities relying on conventions or big groups would have it tougher.
Jennifer Gelo and her husband Gordon own Sandy Point Lodge and Resort in Kabetogama, MN, on the edge of Voyaguer's National Park. She wrote us recently about a banner season:
Our Kabetogama resort saw record business this year with increases in lodging and our restaurant use. The last three years have been our best in the 15 years we have owned Sandy Point Lodge. This year was our best ever.
While she doesn't have an absolute answer why, Gelo notes that their repeat business rate is going very well and that the location is a great draw for walleye fishing. They're also reinvesting profits back into the resort, "which is a source of positive guest feedback."
Gelo's observations match up with what we heard a few weeks ago from Steve Piragis, another Network source who runs an outfitting business in Ely. He wrote:
Ely has been busting at the seams in July and August...This season represents the largest percentage of growth in outfitting we have ever experienced in 30 years. It's families, fishermen, young and old all finding some reason to experience or re experience the virtues of wilderness canoeing this season.
The state's tourism group, Explore Minnesota, says half the 300 business responding to its end-of-the-summer survey reported occupancy and revenue were down this summer. One in four reported business was up.
Campgrounds fared well as did fishing, hiking, festivals and other low-cost activities and state parks saw an increase in visitors, the agency said, adding that large resorts saw a downturn in bookings by corporate groups and conferences and occupancy and revenue fell at most hotels, especially in the Twin Cities.
Overall, the state's leisure and hospitality business is still struggling in the recession. Unemployment data released today showed the sector down 5,300 jobs over the past year.
Gelo writes:
While our business seems to be going well, we do not plan to rest and expect this good fortune to continue on its own.
We have decided this year to take a percentage of our proceeds and give back to some non-profits in our community. We hope this will help spread our good fortune to others and strengthen the community.
Meanwhile, she adds, "there's that bathroom remodel job, the roofing plans, the garden expansion, and new rental boat and motor -- you get the idea!"
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Have a view on Minnesota's tourism business? Please post below or click here and tell us what you're seeing.
Also, check out the map below to read what others in our Network are telling us about spending and saving in this economy.
Posted at 8:54 PM on September 21, 2009
by Paul Tosto
(0 Comments)
Filed under: Jobs & unemployment, Saving & spending
I have no hard data. Yet. But when we asked folks last week to take their economic pulse, the 50-plus responses we got were surprisingly encouraging.
We've been asking Minnesotans MPR's Public Insight Network for months to tell us what the month ahead looks like for their personal economies. Through most of the winter and early spring, the responses were fairly dreary. Most were worried about their economic situations and expected things to be worse in the coming month.
There's still a lot of fear out there. But it's tempered by a growing sense that an upswing may be underway.
Could be the Fed's recent statement that the recession, officially, is nearly over and that the state's unemployment problems are starting to stabilize. Minnesota's jobless rate hit 8 percent in August, down a tick from July.
And the stock market is clawing out of a very deep hole that sunk many retirement dreams.
Carole Rydberg, a retired social worker from Plymouth, wrote us:
I expect to be quite stable in terms of monthly income. We are retired and on Social Security. We have always been frugal people and still are but do manage to have all necessities and some luxuries as well. Our net worth has certainly decreased (and investment income along with it) and we do hope that this will rebound gradually during the next year.
Real estate values, the single largest source of wealth for many of us, are bottoming out after a steep decline.
Bruce Morlan of Northfield told us his October economy is looking better because, "I finally rented out my old house, below cost but better than nothing."
Things were improved enough that he was considering buying himself a modest birthday present, though he added, "I am putting off buying a car (again)."
Sue Estee described her current situation as "holding steady ... Right now I think we are OK. It looks like the business my husband works for has picked up slightly."
But Estee also knows things are staying hard for many Minnesotans. She runs the Second Harvest food bank in Grand Rapids and reminds us that what appears to be a recovery isn't touching everyone.
It will take a long time for things to get better for the people we serve. We have had a 13% increase in the numbers of households seeking assistance from food shelves the first half of this year compared to the same period last year.
We expect the trend to continue at least until next spring sometime. It will take a while for an improving economy to trickle down.
You can help us track the economy by telling us your personal economic forecast for the coming month. Check the map below for stories Minnesotans are telling us about the job climate around them.
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