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The Bleacher Bums: September 7, 2006 Archive

The curse of Kyle?

Posted at 9:24 AM on September 7, 2006 by Ben Tesch (1 Comments)

It might just be a coincidence, but the Reds pick up Kyle Lohse and are now in a downward spiral, and the Twins lead the AL wild card. Cincinnati has lost Griffey to yet another injury, lost Guardado for the rest of the season to a torn elbow, and lost the wild card lead to the Giants while going 3-11 in their last 14 games. Two of those 14 games were Kyle Lohse starts, where he's given up 9 runs in 11.1 innings, and received only 1 run in support.

Did I forget to mention they also have Grant Balfour, Eric Milton, Juan Castro, and already jettisoned Joe Mays?

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Statistically speaking, we should be in

Posted at 4:59 PM on September 7, 2006 by Ben Tesch

Labor Day is welcome sign for leaders: First place on holiday usually means trip to postseason
Since baseball expanded the playoffs in 1995, 73 of 92 leaders (67 first-place clubs and 25 other teams either in sole possession or tied for first in the Wild Card standings) went on to reach the playoffs.

That's a 79.3-percent success rate for the teams on top when the fireworks subsided on Labor Day. Conversely, only 20.7 percent of the leaders, or 18 teams, missed the playoffs after leading on Labor Day.

The good news for the Wild Card-leading Twins and Padres is that of the 25 Labor Day Wild Card leaders during the past 11 seasons, eight were not leading when the season ended, and yet two of those made the playoffs as division champions. Six of the 25, or 24 percent, missed the playoffs.

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