Updraft

Scattered rain & thunder today; Tampa & Mobile Bay still in Isaac's possible path

Posted at 8:19 AM on August 23, 2012 by Paul Huttner
Filed under: Hurricanes

Scattered rain & thunder possible today in most of Minnesota

Isaac still a threat to RNC in Tampa Monday night (GFS model)

"Mobile Bay" solution painted by Euro Model

36 wxs.PNG

-Latest Twin Cities radar loop here

36 ql.PNG
Source: Twin Cities NWS

Thursday thunder?

Look for a mixed weather bag today for the start of the 2012 edition of the Minnesota State Fair.

Spotty am showers may give way to mixed PM sun...and another batch of PM & evening T-Storms.

Highs should crack the 80s, and it may actually feel like August for a while today.

I'll be out at the MPR building on The Daily Circuit with Craig Edwards from 10am to 11am today. Hope to see you there!

Isaac still aiming at eastern Gulf of Mexico:

The latest model runs still seem to favor Hurricane Isaac approaching the Florida Keys late Sunday, then churning into the eastern Gulf by Monday.

36 spag.png
Source: http://derecho.math.uwm.edu/models/al092012.png

The overnight GFS run has Isaac just southwest west of Tampa by midnight Tuesday.
36 GFS 2.PNG
Source: WxUnderground

The Euro has shifted slightly east, but still favors the westernmost solution with a landfall near Pensacola or Mobile Bay.

36 euro.PNG
Source: WxUnderground

Either way Isaac will be a player early next week in Florida and the Gulf.

Stay tuned!

PH



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