Posted at 8:30 AM on March 19, 2012
by Paul Huttner
(3 Comments)
Filed under: Winter/spring 2011
13 new temperatures records (lows & highs) in the past 9 days at MSP Airport, St. Cloud & Eau Claire
7 high temperature records in the past 9 days
6 new record warm minimums in the past week
Earliest 70s in 12 years last week
Earliest 80 on record Saturday in the metro
Ice out on most smaller metro lakes including Calhoun, Harriet & Phalen Sunday
3rd earliest ice out on 'Tonka likely today or tomorrow
Shower & T-Storm chances increase today, especially tonight
Spring begins at 12:14am Tuesday
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An "ice free" Lake Harriet Sunday
Unprecedented string of March records:
"Expect the unprecedented" is the new phrase when it comes to climate changes in Minnesota. We're breakin' stuff in the weather lab again today, with more records on the way. The warm weather hits just keep on comin' this March.
Ice out: 3rd earliest on record at Tonka today?
Ice went out on many metro area lakes Sunday including:
Calhoun
Harriet
Nokomis
Phalen
Grevais
Keller
Tonka was still clinging to a stubborn broken sheet of ice last night, but it looks like it will go fast today or tomorrow.
![]()
Tonka clings to ice at sunset Sunday
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Bug Island on Lake Minnetonka mixes with open water patches Sunday evening.
If ice out is recoded on Tonka today or tomorrow (March 19th or 20th) it will be the 3rd earliest on record according to the Freshwater Society.
Shower chances increase through tonight:
If the weekend felt like June & July, it will feel more like May today...with chances for April showers growing through tonight. The rain will increase in coverage and intensity tonight, with chances for local downpours as the system moves north into Minnesota.
Coverage looks spotty, but some lucky areas could pick up .30" to .50"+ by early Tuesday. A second wave of showers may move in Tuesday night.
There is a slight risk for severe weather, primarily south of Minnesota.

The rest of the week looks mild for March...more like April with 60s hangin' in there.
Enjoy!
PH
(3 Comments)
Posted at 8:37 PM on March 19, 2012
by Paul Huttner
(1 Comments)
Update 8:35pm:
Keeping an eye on 2nd batch of storms heading for east metro. Expect more downpours and gusty winds possible. Not severe yet but still watching.

Update 7:50pm:
Line of storms and warnings now shifting through north and east metro. No damage reports in metro so far, but plenty of lightning, downpours and gusty winds 40 to 50 mph.
![]()
Radar image credit: Weather Underground
Update 7:15 pm:
Line of storms has intensifed moving into metro. Warnings issued.

Radar image credit: Weather Underground
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
MNC003-019-053-139-171-200045-
/O.NEW.KMPX.SV.W.0003.120320T0012Z-120320T0045Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
712 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN ANOKA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
EASTERN CARVER COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
HENNEPIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
NORTH CENTRAL SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
NORTHEASTERN WRIGHT COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
* UNTIL 745 PM CDT
* AT 708 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR CHASKA...OR ABOUT 17 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PLYMOUTH...AND
MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH.
LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
PLYMOUTH...
MINNEAPOLIS...
CHASKA...
CARVER...
SHAKOPEE...
MARYSTOWN...
COLOGNE...
PRIOR LAKE...
SAVAGE...
WACONIA...
EDEN PRAIRIE...
CHANHASSEN...
VICTORIA...
ST BONIFACIUS...
SHOREWOOD...
COON RAPIDS...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
The storms some caused damage as they rolled through Le Sueur County south of the metro.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
728 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0636 PM TSTM WND DMG ELYSIAN 44.20N 93.68W
03/19/2012 LE SUEUR MN EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMEROUS ROOFS RIPPED OFF BETWEEN LAKE ELYSIAN AND LAKE FRANCIS. PUBLIC REPORT OF POSSIBLE TORNADO.
79 degrees in the Twin Cities Monday...the 8th record high in 10 days.
Low pressure moving into Minnesota overnight is triggering scattered showers and a few T-Storms.
Coverage will be spotty as storms move quickly from south toward the north.
Scattered showers & storms are going in western & southern MN, and the best window for rain in the metro appears to be between about 6-7pm tonight through about midnight.
A few of the stronger storms may contain heavy downpours, small hail and gusty winds, but little severe weather is expected.
There is a slight risk for severe storms tonight in western Minnesota.
-Latest Twin Cities radar loop
PH
(1 Comments)
Posted at 9:15 PM on March 19, 2012
by Paul Huttner
(3 Comments)
Filed under: Ice out, Severe weather
1st severe weather warnings and damage reports of 2012 Monday evening
Possible tornado near Elysian in Le Sueur County just south of the metro?
.52" much needed rainfall at MSP Airport
.56" at Flying Cloud in Eden Prairie
1"+ in parts of southern Minnesota
12,000+ without power at the height of the storm
Unsettled & showery - April like weather the rest of this week
It's here.
Ice out on Minnetonka and severe storms in on the same day in March? Ugh...
If Monday's first shot of severe weather coming on March 19th is any indication, it's going to be a long, busy summer in the weather lab.
The line of storms rolled though Monday evening with downpours, wind gusts of 40 to 50 mph and bright flashes of lightning.
There are a few reports of damage.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
946 PM CDT MON MAR 19 2012
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0602 PM TSTM WND DMG EAGLE BEND 46.17N 95.03W
03/19/2012 TODD MN LAW ENFORCEMENT
DAMAGE TO BARN AND A FEW TREES SNAPPED OFF.
0605 PM TSTM WND DMG CARVER 44.76N 93.63W
03/19/2012 CARVER MN NWS EMPLOYEE
DAMAGE TO GAS STATION IN DOWNTOWN CARVER. ROOF OF GAS
PUMPS HAD SHEET METAL RIPPED OFF.
0615 PM TSTM WND GST GLENVILLE 43.57N 93.28W
03/19/2012 M56.00 MPH FREEBORN MN TRAINED SPOTTER
0636 PM TSTM WND DMG ELYSIAN 44.20N 93.68W
03/19/2012 LE SUEUR MN LAW ENFORCEMENT
FORTY FOOT EVERGREEN TREE TOPPLED.
0636 PM TSTM WND DMG ELYSIAN 44.20N 93.68W
03/19/2012 LE SUEUR MN EMERGENCY MNGR
NUMEROUS ROOFS RIPPED OFF BETWEEN LAKE ELYSIAN AND LAKE
FRANCIS. PUBLIC REPORT OF POSSIBLE TORNADO.
0642 PM TSTM WND DMG ELYSIAN 44.20N 93.68W
03/19/2012 LE SUEUR MN LAW ENFORCEMENT
TWO SMALL BOATS FLIPPED OVER AT LAKE ELYSIAN.
The good news? I picked up .a much needed .40" of rainfall at the weather lab. As much as .50" to 1"+ fell over much of the metro and southern MN.
Tonka ice out Monday?
Still awaiting official announcement from the Freshwater Society, but to my eyes it looks like Lake Minnetonka was ice free and navigable Monday afternoon.
![]()
St. Louis Bay looking west out to the "main" lower lake on Minnetonka ice free Monday afternoon.
Photo credit: Paul Huttner
If true, it's the 3rd earliest ice out on record for the big west metro lake, and the earliest in 12 years.
Look for an unsettled April like week with temps in the 60s and occasional bouts of (much needed) showers.
PH
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