Posted at 5:25 PM on February 20, 2012
by Craig Edwards
Filed under: Winter 2011-12
Rain changing to snow will create slick spots on lesser traveled roads, particularly in northern MInnesota overnight. Heavy bursts of snow have reduced visibility to a quarter mile at Crookston and Park Rapids. Visbility was a half mile in snow at Wadena, Glenwood and Alexandria shortly before sunset.
I've been examing the model data through the afternoon. The latest Rapid Update Cycle initialized at 3pm is forecasting a nice concentration of precipitation around the Twin Cities from late evening until early Tuesday morning. Snow accumulations could reach four inches in heavier snow bursts.
Note the green(quarter inch liquid) output around the metro. Other random higher amounts of precipitation are scattered across the state. Liquid to snow could translate to three inches of snow. Temperatures will hold around 34 to 36 degrees for several hours this evening.
Here's your forecast for snow amounts in the Northland from the NWS in Duluth. Snow may linger in the Arrowhead Tuesday morning. They need the moisture there as well.
Let's see how this plays out in the next 12 hours. Paul will be back on Tuesday. We talked last week and I recall saying the safe prediction for today would be 1 to 4 inches with locally higher amounts. The models were not giving us much more than that the last several runs.