I spent a couple hours outdoors this morning and it sure felt warm in the August sunshine. With only a slight cooling breeze it was a blessing to have dew points some twenty degrees lower than Tuesday. The dew point at the Twin Cities International Airport was 74 degrees yesterday and a more comfortable 55 degrees this afternoon.
While the mercury has climbed to ninety degrees or better at MSP this summer season on fourteen days, we are looking at a period out a couple weeks were it may be more to our delight with regard to heat. The average temperature for July in St. Cloud was about 4.5 degrees warmer than normal. The Twin Cities average temp was 5.6 degrees above normal for July 2011.
We have turned the corner for "normal" maximum temperatures in the heart of summer and are slowly creeping down into the lower 80s. By the time we reach August 13th the average high in the Twin Cities is down from 84 to 81 degrees. The 8-14 day outlook from the Climate Prediction Center depicts odds favoring at or somewhat below normal temperatures for the upper Midwest.
In case you think we had it bad here, and we did with the high dew points, the average maximum temperature for July in Dallas, TX was over 101 degrees. More than 70 percent of Texas is in an exceptional drought. They could use a decaying tropical storm to move inland and dump generous rainfall. That doesn't appear likely soon.
Keeping an eye on Tropical Storm Emily and the computer generated track is the challenge for hurricane forecasters in NOAA's Hurricane Forecast Center.
Here's the link to follow the tropical storm's the reminder of the season. NOAA's Hurricane Center website.
The latest update on the storm named Emily predicts a path that takes it over Haiti with winds of 50 mph and rainfall of over five inches. From the Hurricane Center's most recent statement this afternoon....Tropical Storm EMILY Public Advisory:
RAINFALL...EMILY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 10 INCHES IN PUERTO RICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND HAITI. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
Track projection as of early this afternoon for Emily.
Always subject to change, but the forecast strength remains below hurricane force of 75 mph winds until early next week.
Enjoy the seasonal temperatures the next couple of days. Overnight temperatures may allow you to shut down the A/C and bring in some outside air.