Posted at 8:59 AM on June 28, 2011
by Paul Huttner
(2 Comments)
Filed under: Summer
Call it "root beer float week."
That's what we call the first really hot week of summer around the weather lab, and it looks like we'd better stock up this week.
A spectacular looking forecast will finally bring a string of sunny, dry and increasingly warm days to cloud weary Minnesotans this week.
"Clean" high pressure:
The first "clean" high pressure system in weeks is building over Minnesota today & Wednesday. "Clean" ridges show strong "anticyclonic curvature" on the weather maps, and feature dry air from the surface up to several thousand feet.
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Surface weather maps show dry high pressure eroding clouds over Minnesota.
The result is near total sunshine, and increasingly warm weather. That's our weather fare this week.
"Dirty" highs often have less curvature and residual moisture. That means clouds linger, even though high pressure builds at the surface. That's the weather we've seen often this year.
Summer heat builds later this week:
Today & Wednesday will feel almost perfect to Minnesotans. Highs into the upper 70s Tuesday should push into the mid 80s Wednesday.
The heat will really build Thursday, and a ridge of high pressure expands right over Minnesota. The strong southerly flow will push or "advect" hot air from the south & southwest into Minnesota Thursday.
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Low 90s may be conservative by Thursday afternoon.
One method of temperature projections yields an afternoon high of 95 degrees or hotter for southern Minnesota Thursday PM. It is not out of the question that some bank thermometers in southwest Minnesota could flash 100+ degrees Thursday.
Tropical humidity gushes north:
Comfortable air will rule Minnesota through Wednesday with dew points in the comfy 50s & lower 60s.
But an increasingly tropical air mass will push into Minnesota starting Wednesday night. By Thursday, dew points may reach 70 degrees, and be climbing.
This sweaty, steamy tropical air mass will feature Amazon Jungle humidity levels Thursday. That sound you hear Thursday is the chorus of air conditioners humming along as heat indices peak over 100 degrees.
"Cooler" front Friday:
A weak cool front will push through Friday with fresh northwest winds, a drop in humidity...but only slightly cooler weather.
Temperatures may still peak at or near 90 Friday and into the start of the 4th of July weekend. It should be great weather for boating, or taking a dip in your favorite lake...even as lake water temps continue to trend on the cool side this year.
The 4th of July weekend looks great through Sunday right now....scattered T-Storm chances may increase Saturday night & as we approach the 4th.
Latest sunsets of the year this week!
These are the best days of the year at the weather lab. I'm a sunset guy, and this week marks the latest sunset times of the year in the northern hemisphere.
In the metro, the sun sets at 9:04pm right through Sunday. On clear nights there is still noticeable light in the northwest sky until well after 10pm!
In Roseau and Hallock the sunset is around 9:30pm this week!
These are the evenings to take that late evening stroll, bike ride or boat ride.
Ah summer!
Southwest Heat: Vegas weather dice come up with a record
Talk about a "dry heat!"
Las Vegas set an all time record "dew point depression" of 129 degrees Monday. Dew point depression is the difference between the temperature and dew point.
With a temp of 107, the dew point in Vegas was -22! Relative humidity was 1%! Now that's a dry heat.
RECORD REPORT
RECORD EVENT REPORT...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV 445 PM PDT MON JUN 27 2011
...ALL-TIME RECORD DEW POINT DEPRESSION SET AT LAS VEGAS TODAY...
AT 432 PM PDT TODAY THE DEW POINT DEPRESSION AT MCCARRAN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT IN LAS VEGAS REACHED 129 DEGREES. THE DEW POINT DEPRESSION IS DEFINED AS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE AIR TEMPERATURE AND THE DEW POINT TEMPERATURE. IN THE CASE OF TODAY THE AIR TEMPERATURE WAS 107 DEGREES AT 432 PM AND THE DEW POINT TEMPERATURE WAS -22 DEGREES. THIS MADE FOR A RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 1 PERCENT AT THE TIME. THE PREVIOUS ALL-TIME RECORD DEW POINT DEPRESSION FOR LAS VEGAS WAS 120 DEGREES SET ON JULY 2ND 2007. THE ABOVE INFORMATION IS PRELIMINARY AND IS SUBJECT TO A FINAL REVIEW BEFORE BEING CERTIFIED BY THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER.
$$ STACHELSKI/GORELOW
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More "dry heat" in Vegas today.
Enjoy our nearly "perfect" Minnesota weather today!
PH
(2 Comments)
Posted at 5:19 PM on June 28, 2011
by Paul Huttner
Finally.
It's like the atmosphere just took a deep breath and decided to relax for a while. Minnesotans took a deep breath and decided summer is finally here.
One sure sign of summer? How crowded is your favorite neighborhood beach?
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Sun & 70s means a good crowd at Deephaven Beach on Lake Minnetonka
A strong "clean" high pressure system is sliding over Minnesota this week.
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GOES 1km visible satellite image shows near total sunshine in Minnesota. Yellow "streamlines" show "cyclonic curvature" under high pressure. Dashed lines show dry dew points int he 50s.
You can talk all you want about highs, lows and isobars, but sometimes the best way to explain things is by what we're seeing here on earth. I think the photo below sums up the day's weather to a "T."
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"Clean high pressure" from below. Near total sunshine, light winds, quiet water and mild temperatures.
90s ahead!
Our winds will shift into the south Wednesday. That will begin the process of pumping in a warmer and more humid air mass. After a classic summer day in the mid 80s Wednesday, heat and humidity will really begin to build Thursday.
Latest indicators into the weather lab show that temperatures could surge into the 95-98 degree range in the metro Thursday...with 100 not out of the question in parts of southern Minnesota.
The barbaric, Amazon Jungle style heat will not last. It appears a cool front will bring a puff of direr air in Friday and into the weekend...but temperatures will remain near 90 as we head into the 4th of July weekend.
Finally summer!
Tropical Storm Arlene?
It looks like we may have our first named storm of the 2011 season.
The details from NHC:
1. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING
THE BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WAS ABLE TO
LOCATE A LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF CIRCULATION. HOWEVER...THE ASSOCIATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT SUFFICIENTLY ORGANIZED TO
DESIGNATE THE SYSTEM AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT THIS TIME.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE LIKELY TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND THE LOW HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS
IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. INTERESTS ALONG THE
EAST COAST OF MEXICO IN THE STATES OF TAMAULIPAS AND VERACRUZ
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...AS A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS TONIGHT
OR EARLY WEDNESDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS SHOULD
CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
Nearly all models steer the storm west into Mexico.
PH
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