Updraft

Updraft: December 31, 2010 Archive

Storm two in the que

Posted at 7:08 AM on December 31, 2010 by Craig Edwards
Filed under: Winter storms

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The path of the second low pressure center is now projected slightly further west. This puts the heaviest snow in western Minnesota and the Dakotas later today and tonight.

Looking for the silver lining, we are in the midst of a little lull. Winds have dropped off in western Minnesota this morning and only a small patch of residual snow was depicted on radar in far northeast Minnesota. However, temperatures have fallen sharply from readings in the the forties last evenng over southeast Minnesota.

Moisture is gathering in Iowa at daybreak. Snow will breakout in southwest Minnestoa and southeast South Dakota during the late morning. A mixture of snow, sleet and freezing rain is on tap for the Twin Cities

With the track of the low moving further west, the bulk of the moisture will miss the Twin Cities and western Wisconsin. Total snowfall accumulation around the metro may approach an inch or two. Let's see what falls from the sky this afternoon.

NOAA's graphic on the most likely area to receive eight inches of snow or more with this storm.
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Link to NWS Chanhassen Winter Storm page.

Moisture spreading north

Posted at 8:57 AM on December 31, 2010 by Craig Edwards
Filed under: Blizzard

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Here is a snapshot of the regional radar centered on Sioux Falls, SD. This precipitation is falling as snow and will spread into soutwest and western Minnesota as the morning progresses.

Travel conditions will deteriorate later today west of the Twin Cities. Listen to advice from local authorities on highway conditions or monitor the MNDOT website.

Minnesota road conditions.

Winter weather information from the Grand Forks NWS.
CE

Storm tracking further west

Posted at 11:16 AM on December 31, 2010 by Craig Edwards (2 Comments)
Filed under: Winter storms

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Surface pressure pattern and temperatures depicted by the Rapid Update Cycle model valid at 9pm.

The center of low pressure that was expected to track from eastern Kansas to eastern Minnesota today, now appears to be on a path that takes the center of the low even further west.

This results in a slight modification of the forecast. The heaviest snow of more than six inches remains likely in the Red River Valley, but the winds may not be as strong due to the close proximity of the low pressure center. However, when the storm center begins to pull away later tonight the winds will blow and drift the snow in the eastern Dakotas and western Minnesota.

For the Twin Cities there will be a quick-hitting burst of sleet and snow this afternoon. A strong push of drier air at mid levels of the atmosphere could choke off the precipitation this evening. Nonetheless, there may be enough snow and sleet to ice up the roadways this afternoon and early evening.

CE

(2 Comments)

Dry slotted

Posted at 2:57 PM on December 31, 2010 by Craig Edwards

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Snapshot of regional radar shortly before 3PM CST. This area of precipitation/mostly snow moved north from western Iowa. Notice the limited return of moisture in souteast Minnesota and Iowa.

Two things have occurred with this second storm today. First, a strong mid level jet stream has driven a slot of dry air into Iowa and southern Minnesota. This could result in a minimal accumulation of snow and sleet from St. Paul to Red Wing to Rochester this evening.

Secondly, a squall line that produced several tornadoes in Missouri and Illinois tapped-out the deeper moisture from the Gulf.

Dry slots often occur with major cyclones in our neck of the woods.

Heavy snow and near blizzard conditions remain likely in portions of the Dakotas and western Minnesota. Several inches of snow are expected tonight in northern Minnesota.

Severe Storm reports from today in the Middle Mississippi Valley.
CE

Blizzard conditions in the Dakotas and western Minnesota

Posted at 4:29 PM on December 31, 2010 by Craig Edwards
Filed under: Baseball

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Estimated HRRR model snow accumulation from 3pm CST untl 3AM CST Saturday. Blizzard conditions with up to a foot of new snow can be expected overnight in the eastern Dakotas and western Minnesota.

Freeziing drizzle and cold temperatures will be the weather woe for New Year's Eve travelers in the Twin Cities.

Three to five inches of fresh snow are possible from about Brainerd to Duluth tonight.

Travel carefully. Watch your footing as well.
CE

Snow and wind will continue northwest Minnesota

Posted at 7:09 PM on December 31, 2010 by Craig Edwards
Filed under: Blizzard

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Early this evening weather conditions reported around the upper Midwest show that the snow and wind have eased off a bit. Visibilities in snow and blowing have improved slightly in west central Minnesota and the eastern Dakotas.

Winter Weather information from Chanhassen NWS.

Periods of heavy snow and blowing snow will continue overnight in the Red River Valley. As the surface low pressure travels further away from Minnesota later tonight, winds are expected to gust once again to better than 30 mph. Cold temperatures will take hold statewide by morning.

Brisk winds and cold temperatures will greet you as you head out on New Year's morning.

All the best in 2011. May the wind always be at your back.
CE

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