Posted at 8:25 AM on June 30, 2010
by Paul Huttner
Filed under: Hurricanes
It didn't take long this year to produce the Atlantic's 1st hurricane.
Hurricane Alex is moving slowly (WNW 7 mph) toward shore today and is expected to make landfall along the coast of Mexico south of the Texas border just after midnight Thursday.
HURRICANE ALEX INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 19A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
700 AM CDT WED JUN 30 2010
...ALEX MOVING IN NO HURRY......
SUMMARY OF 700 AM CDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 220 MI...355 KM SE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...959 MB...28.32 INCHES
Alex is a Category 1 storm on the Saffir-Simpson scale, but the slow moving storm may have enough time over the warm Gulf waters to strengthen before moving ashore. Winds could approach 100 mph just before landfall.
Alex is the first June hurricane to form in the Atlantic since 1995.
Rain bands from Alex reach as far east as the Louisiana coast today. Since Alex is a slow mover, one of the biggest threats will be extremely heavy rainfall in the order of 6 to 12 inches with isolated 20 inch totals over the next two days in northern Mexico and south Texas.
Posted at 3:28 PM on June 30, 2010
by Paul Huttner
As Minnesota goes, we're going to enjoy a pretty classic summer weather pattern for the big 4th of July holiday weekend. A lot of sun, a little heat, and a scosh of rain and thunder thrown in for good measure.
Overall there will be plenty of sun and warmth this weekend. It won't be "hotter than the 4th of July" this year thankfully, but the heat and humidity will be noticeable by Friday and Saturday afternoon.
Let's break down the weekend as best we can starting on Friday for those lucky enough to have some extra time off on this biggest holiday weekend of summer.
Friday and Saturday Forecast:
Plenty of sun. Sunscreen and sunglasses required. Highs upper 80s Friday to near 90 Saturday. Wind south 15-25 mph and gusty. Expect choppy lakes this weekend. Best place to anchor, tube of water ski will be near the south shore of your favorite lake!
There could be some scattered thunderstorms in western (and maybe central?) Minnesota with an approaching cool front late Saturday.
These may be the best two days of the long weekend. Minnesota will sit on the back side of a classic summer like high pressure system centered over the Ohio Valley. THis means plenty of sun, and (at times stiff) southerly breezes pumping warm air and increasing humidity north. It will look and feel like summer.
Sunday: 4th of July Forecast
A good chance of showers and T-Storms, especially in the morning and midday. Some sun and warmer temps may move in from west to east later in the afternoon and evening. Highs in the 80s. Wind SW 5-12 mph shifting to NW late.
A cool front looks like it will slide through Minnesota Sunday, just in time for the 4th. There will likely be a round or two of showers and thunderstorms with the frontal passage Sunday. Expect a 2-4 hours of rain Sunday. If the timing works out right, the front and rain MAY clear the Twin Cities area later in the afternoon. That could mean a mostly dry and improving weather picture by fireworks time. Weather toes and fingers crossed.
Those who have the day off Monday may get some bonus weather after the front slides through on the 4th. Look for a partly cloudy day with gradually lowering humidity. The day should be mostly dry, with just a chance of a lingering (mainly PM) isolated shower or thundershower. Hopefully any rain will last under an hour if you see it on Monday.
No matter what the weather, I hope you enjoy and celebrate (responsibly) this great mid-summer 4th of July weekend!
I'll be away from the weather lab doing the same until Tuesday the 5th.
As always, you can get the laetst hour to hour forecast updates here as you plan your weekend activities.