Posted at 8:40 AM on April 21, 2010
by Paul Huttner
Filed under: Fire weather, Pollen
Our dry, pleasant weather pattern comes with a price this spring.
Pollen in much of the Upper Midwest is off the charts this week. The combination of this early spring bloom and lack of rainfall to wash the air clean has sent pollen levels skyrocketing.
According to daily pollen samples from sensors deployed by the Clinical Research Institute (CRI) in Minneapolis, we are breathing in 454 grains of tree pollen per cubic millimeter of air. That's a lot of pollen in one breath.
Other sources like pollen.com put our pollen count at a 9.3 on a scale of 1 to 12. According to pollen.com our predominant tree pollen is elm, poplar and alder. You don't need a genius to know your elm trees are spewing pollen. The weather lab spruce trees are also sending showers of pollen into the air. One brush of the hand sends a cloud of pollen skyward.
CRI defines pollen seasons in Minnesota this way:
There are typically three pollen seasons in Minnesota, with some overlap of pollen types.
-Tree pollen is present from early April until the end of May.
-Grass pollen is present from early June to mid-July.
-Weed pollen is present from mid June until a hard frost occurs. Ragweed (one of the more allergenic weeds in the area) typically pollinates from early August through mid October.
Outdoor molds can be present year round, with higher concentrations from spring until snow cover again in the late fall/early winter.
April showers usually wash our air clean every few days. It's been nearly a week now since we've had rain in southern Minnesota, and much longer in the north. Look for pollen counts to remain high until the weekend when we could wash the air with some rain in southern Minnesota.
Fire weather:
The dry breezy weather mans fire danger is high today. The dew point in Minneapolis is in the low 30s Wednesday morning. It's 49 in the middle of the Sonoran Desert in Tucson, Arizona. That means there's considerably more moisture in the air in the Arizona desert than there is in Minnesota today!
The NWS Defines fire weather as a combination of:
-Dry fuels like grasses and brush on the ground.
-Low relative humidity
-High winds
-Mild temperatures
The combination of these factors are all in place today in Minnesota. Look for any fires that start today to spread rapidly toward the southwest on breezy northeast winds...and to make your local newscast tonight.
PH
Posted at 3:26 PM on April 21, 2010
by Paul Huttner
Filed under: Rainfall
We're due for some much needed rainfall in these parts, and the chances are looking better that some rain may fall in the next 72 hours. As is often the case with weather, the timing could be better.

NOAA surface loop forecast shows low pressure moving into the Midwest by this weekend.
A low pressure system spinning into the West today will track toward the Midwest by Saturday. The low will track through Iowa and Missouri, but it appears it may slide close enough to sideswipe Minnesota and send a wave or two of rain our way Saturday.
![]()
NOAA rainfall forecast hinting at possible rainfall totals of .50" to 1" in southern Minnesota Saturday.
The latest model trends indicate a band of rainfall sweeping north out of Iowa Friday evening into southern Minnesota. If trends are correct, there is some indication that the rainfall could slide far enough north to bring some critical rainfall to parts of parched central and northern Minnesota as well.
![]()
NOAA Model forecast rain amounts for Saturday for the Twin Cities.
(click for bigger image)
![]()
WRF forecast model suggesting up to an inch of rainfall for places like Hinckley and Duluth?
The system looks like it may pull out of the area pretty quickly on Sunday with rapidly improving weather conditions during the day.
Stay tuned as this system, and our chances for critical rainfall, evolve over the next 48 hours.
PH
| April 2010 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S | M | T | W | T | F | S |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | ||||
| 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
| 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 |
| 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | |