Forecast: November warmth continues

Posted at 4:00 PM on November 6, 2009 by Paul Huttner

CPC 6-10 day outlook favors continued above average temperatures for the Upper Midwest.

Ah...Indian Summer in Minnesota.

The hum of leaf blowers everywhere. Dogs and cats blissfully strolling with lackadaisical owners down leaf lined boulevards. High School and Gopher football played outdoors under favorable skies. Weather folks babbling about temperatures 17 degrees above average. This is how early November was meant to be.

It's nice to see thermometers pushing 72 degrees in Windom and Canby. We hit at least 63 here in the Twin Cities, we'll know after 6pm if we crept as high as 64. The NWS forecast discussion today confirms my thinking that we could have easily hit 65 to nearly 70 if we had not had those pesky cirrus clouds today.

"OUR AFTN TEMPERATURES COULD HAVE BEEN TWO TO FIVE DEGREES WARMER IF CIRRUS SHIELD DIDN`T MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY. EVEN WITH THE HIGH CLOUDS...TEMPERATURES HAVE MANAGED TO RISE 5 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR EARLY NOVEMBER."

It looks like our weather winning streak may continue for most of the month. Looking ahead on the medium range forecast maps, it appears the Upper Midwest will be milder than average this month. The upper air pattern will feature a high amplitude progressive pattern with more ridges than troughs over Minnesota. That should mean stretches of three or four blissfully above average days punctuated by a cold front or two in between.

The smart money is on above average November temperatures in Minnesota.

Even the NOAA CPC 8-14 day outlook advertises above average temperatures for the region.

In the short run we should stay dry again Saturday with a high in the 60s. The NAM model is hinting at more clouds and a slight chance of a shower Sunday with a high in the 50s. Keep in mind our average high is now just 45 degrees.

Enjoy the beautiful weekend!

PH

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