Updraft: April 30, 2008 Archive

Would you rather just be surprised?

Posted at 2:30 PM on April 30, 2008 by Craig Edwards

In this business we are constantly probing, investigating and examining data to make sure are statements about impending weather are as accurate as possible. Accuracy nurtures confidence in credibility. All the while remembering, we are only as good as our last forecasts and further, we are simply the messengers.

Perhaps the question of the day, as we close out a chilly month of April, is there hope for a warm up looking ahead to May? We feel your pain if you are anxious to get in the garden, fields and flower beds.

So here's the combined best guess of the powerhouse talent at the Climate Predication Center for the weather outlook for both May and the ninety day outlook for May through July. One could surmise, from comparing the May outlook to the remainder of the ninety day outlook, that a transition takes place to warmer weather as we move through late May.

Thirty and ninety day outlook

In the short term, long periods of unseasonably mild weather do not appear in the numerical models.

Six to ten day outlook

Wouldn't it be nice to just settle for what nature offers and perhaps be one day pleasantly surprised!
CE