KSTP/Survey USA poll: Gov race is tightening

Posted at 10:29 PM on September 15, 2010 by Tom Scheck (4 Comments)

The latest KSTP-TV/Survey USA poll shows Democrat Mark Dayton with a lead in the race for governor. The poll results were released during the 10pm so there's no web story yet. But KSTP's Tom Hauser tweeted some of the information.

Dayton is polling at 38%, Republican Tom Emmer is polling at 36% and the Independence Party's Tom Horner is polling at 18%. Other/undecided is polling at 9%. The margin of error is +/-3.9%.

Hauser also points out that Dayton had a 14-point lead over Emmer in August.

The poll is similar to the U of M/MPR News poll in late August that showed the race deadlocked.

Comments (4)

the headline is Horner- if people think he can win, he will win.

Posted by Tom Collins | September 15, 2010 11:30 PM

Don't scrub the horner story out of this story..that was one big difference from the MPR poll. Moreover this poll does not force lean independents...29% in SurveyUSA....13% in Humphrey. THat is hardly similar.

Posted by Peter | September 16, 2010 12:31 AM

All indications in national elections where the Republican candidate is conservtive and the Democratic candidate is liberal is that the conservative is either winning or surging. That's Governor, Senate and Congressional races. The Emmer/Dayton race will be no different. Horner is now being seen as a spoiler more for the Democrats which improves Emmer's chances even more.

Posted by Angela | September 16, 2010 7:53 AM

Isn't this the same poll that showed days before the election that Margaret Anderson Kelliher was at 27%? And she got 40%. And because of that wildly inaccurate poll, how many folks switched to Dayton because she didn't have a chance? And inspite of the numerous poll stories pre-primary, NOT ONE post primary story about how that poll was wrong, wrong, wrong. Very interesting.

So how likely is this a let's-inflate-the-results poll to give Horner the surging edge?

Posted by Lauren Maker | September 16, 2010 8:13 AM

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