Posted at 8:11 AM on October 24, 2008
by Tom Scheck
It moves up one spot. Here's the synopsis:
6. Minnesota (R): We can't believe we're writing this but comedian Al Franken (D) now has a better than 50-50 shot at winding up in the Senate next January. Sen. Norm Coleman's (R) decision to abandon his negative ads hasn't moved the numbers perceptibly, and it appears as though independent Dean Barkley is taking more votes from Coleman than Franken. Coleman has shown tremendous electoral resiliency in his career, however, so we don't count him out -- ever. An absolutely amazing race that will be studied by political junkies for years to come. (Previous ranking: 7)
Posted at 8:32 AM on October 24, 2008
by Tom Scheck
Filed under: Daily Digest
The fourth Senate debate is tonight at TPT's studios in St. Paul. You can watch the debate on Almanac. It will also be posted online.
WCCO takes a look at Coleman's take on Giuliani's robocalls.
KARE says Big Apple surrogates star in MN.
Coleman addresses energy during a U of M forum.
WCCO profiles Franken.
2008 Race for Congress
DFLer Elwyn Tinklenberg and GOP Rep. Michele Bachmann are in a statistical dead heat in the KSTP/Survey USA poll. Here's the KSTP story. Here's the poll. The Star Tribune also has a story on the poll. MPR will release a different poll on the 6th this afternoon.
Stu Rothenberg says Bachmann is in the fight for her political life and may not survive politically.
Bloomberg says Bachmann's remarks roiled GOP races across the country.
AP says GOP open seats are helping Democratic chances. The 3rd District is mentioned.
The Star Tribune takes a look at the races in the 2nd and the 4th.
Race for President
DFL Sen. Amy Klobuchar attends an Obama rally in St. Cloud.
Former Bush aide Scott McClellan backs Obama.
Candidate fundraising has dwindled in the final months of the campaign.
Obama arrives in Hawaii to visit his ailing grandmother.
Polls point to trouble for John McCain.
John McCain says Obama will say anything to win.
Republicans in North Carolina are running an ad saying don't give Obama a blank check.
Black voters say issues have driven them to Obama.
The Star Tribune has a story on Jeff Larson.
The New York Times says the McCain campaign paid big money for a makeup artist for Sarah Palin.
2008 Race for Legislature
Budget issues dominate the debates in the Mankato area.
The Star Tribune looks at ACORN's voter registration.
Black voters are surging to the polls in the South.
Former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan says he was wrong on regulation.
DFL Rep. Betty McCollum attended the hearing and challenged the former Treasury Secretary on deregulation of the banking industry. She released a photo brought up a picture of the former Treasury Secretary with a chainsaw to a paper covered in red tape.
Outdoors and Arts Amendment
Gov. Pawlenty pushes some new education programs.
The state can begin using new graduation tests.
A Minnesota environmental group goes to court over the state's ballast water rules.
MnDOT finally unweaves the weave.
President Bush will seek a diplomatic presence in Iran.
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A new MPR News/ University of Minnesota Humphrey Institute poll shows voter concerns over Rep.Michele Bachmann's recent comments have cost her support in the 6th District.
The poll of 430 likely 6th district voters shows 45 percent favor DFL challenger Elwyn Tinklenberg, compared to 43 percent for incumbent Bachmann. Support for Bob Anderson, the Independence Party candidate, was 5 percent.
The poll's margin of sampling error is plus or minus 4.7 percentage points. which means the race is a statistical dead heat.
The survey was taken after Bachmann publicly questioned whether the views of Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama were anti-American, and suggested the media investigate the anti-American views of Congress.
Nearly 4 out of 10 6th district voters said they were less likely to support Bachmann because of her comments compared to 8 percent who said they are now more supportive.
Bachmann's level of support trails John McCain, and Sen. Norm Coleman, who both have leads in the heavily Republican district. Coleman's 14 point lead over Democrat Al Franken is much bigger than McCain's 3 point lead over Barack Obama in the district.
Coleman had 44 percent support in the district compared to Franken's 30 percent. IP Senate candidate Dean Barkley is polling at 17 percent in the 6th District, and 9 percent are undecided.
In the presidential race in the 6th, McCain has 47 percent and Obama has 44 percent. Seven percent are undecided.
By way of context, Bachmann defeated DFLer Patty Wetterling 50-42 percent in 2006. In 2004 President Bush won 57 percent of the district's vote compared to 42 percent for John Kerry.
The poll was conducted between Oct. 21 and Oct. 23.
Posted at 12:08 PM on October 24, 2008
by Tom Scheck
Independence Party candiate Dean Barkley may not feel so lonely any more. GOP Sen. Norm Coleman criticized him in the last debate. And now the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee released this ad that rips both Coleman and Barkley.
The DSCC must be seeing the same polling that shows that support for Barkley is soft (meaning those voters could change their minds before election day).
Posted at 3:20 PM on October 24, 2008
by Tom Scheck
(NOTE I changed headline because one of Bachmann's ads reportedly isn't an apology. The other says her DFL challenger, El Tinklenberg, isn't ready for Congress).
A source at one of the TV stations said Bachman bought another schedule of ads for the remainder of the election season. The source estimated the buy was $211 thousand for the entire market (that's in addition to the ads she's already bought). The source said Bachmann's buyer also expressed interest in spending more money in the coming days.
Meanwhile, Bachmann's DFL challenger, Elwyn Tinklenberg, reportedly spent another $436 thousand in ads for the remaining 11 days. (Update: I forgot to mention that Tinklenberg's campaign is reporting that it raised $1.45 million since last Friday).
It isn't an apology ad.
Politico is reporting that GOP Rep. Michele Bachmann has taped an apology ad. The news outlet says the ad will run this afternoon.
Update: Bachmann's campaign manager, Michelle Marston, just called back to say they're putting two ads up tonight. When asked if the campaign is running an apology ad, she said "You'll have to experience them and characterize them for yourself". She would not comment further.
Posted at 4:30 PM on October 24, 2008
by Tom Scheck
I just saw one of GOP Rep. Michele Bachmann's latest ads (I'll post video when I find it).
When El Tinklenberg ran the Department of Transportation, officials called up their cronies and offered them contracts, unbid contracts. The Star Trib said he broke the law and federal authorities called it tainted. And when El was mayor, he supported a plan to increase property taxes by a whopping 24%. El Tinklenberg in Congress? He's just not up to the challenges of today.
Here's the Star Tribune story that the ad is citing.
Bachmann's second ad (sorry Video is choppy) had Bachmann sitting in a living room looking directly into the camera. Here's the text.
"Once again, our nation is at a crossroads and it's a time for choosing. We could embrace government as the answer to our problems or we can choose freedom and liberty. I may not always get my words right but I know that my heart is right because my heart is for you, for your children and for the blessings of liberty to remain for our great country."
(Note: It was incorrectly reported that this as was an apology ad) .
Question of the Day: What do you think of the ads?
Update: Politico is reporting that the NRCC is raising money off of the Bachmann controversy.
Posted at 5:57 PM on October 24, 2008
by Tom Scheck
Gov. Pawlenty will be on Face the Nation on Sunday morning.
Posted at 7:22 PM on October 24, 2008
by Tom Scheck
You knew that already but here's what The Fix House rankings say.
Here's the synopsis of Minnesota's 3rd District race (DFLer Ashwin Madia, Republican Erik Paulsen and I-P candidate David Dillon):
29. Minnesota's 3rd district (R): Democrat Ashwin Madia appears to have edged ahead of state Sen. Erik Paulsen (R) in this race in the suburbs of the Twin Cities. In a neutral year, Paulsen would likely win. But Madia's grassroots campaign, his service in Iraq and the strong year shaping up for Democrats in the state make him a slight favorite.
Here's the synopsis of Minnesota's 6th District race (GOP Rep. Michele Bachmann and DFLer Elwyn Tinklenberg):
28. Minnesota's 6th district (R): Note to vulnerable incumbents: Don't go on national TV two weeks before an election. Just don't do it.