"It just ain't happening"
Posted at 8:47 AM on September 26, 2006
by Bob Collins
(1 Comments)
My Election analysis is a decent little site that basically looks at polling trends for many states. He (I think it's a he) reaches the conclusion on the Minnesota Senate race that "it just ain't happening for Kennedy."
Comments (1)
for some reason, I like the quantitative geek stuff, so I'vebeen following Tony Garcia's TradeSports analysis of the race:
http://alwaysrightusuallycorrect.blogspot.com/2006/09/from-bad-to-worse.html
"The news from the market is getting worse and worse. Now that the Klobuchar-Kennedy reactions to the "stolen" ad via a hacked password has had some time to enter the market the tealeaves show very little promise for Kennedy.
As of this moment the last contract traded at a 9% chance for Kennedy to win. There are no bids to buy "Kennedy wins" contracts (and there are no "Klobuchar wins" contracts for sale meaning those holding them expect the price to ride closer to 100% payoff)."
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