Don't look down.

Posted at 1:19 PM on June 29, 2006 by Bob Collins

Suddenly, Polinaut does not feel so alone in the great political universe. After Polinaut noted several times over the last two months that the notion of Republican losses in November is not something he embraces as fact, he notices more and more folks venturing back from the limb they were on.

The latest? Larry Sabato.

But a little more than four months out from the election, the Crystal Ball is not yet ready to view the GOP majority as a flimsy house of cards, nor in our estimation should Murtha fast-forward to helping Pelosi hand out committee gavels to the ranking members of his caucus. The Republican margin in the House of Representatives may be more tenuous this year than it has been in any election cycle since its inception in 1994, but a larger wave than currently exists must build in order to completely erode the GOP's 15-seat edge, and by no means has the party in power already been swept out to sea.

Polinaut is, frankly, confused that more professional prognosticators have not remembered the cardinal rule of prognostication: no matter what happens, always be in a position to say "I told you so."

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