Capitol View

Can it happen?

Posted at 4:47 PM on May 22, 2006 by Bob Collins

Now that the Legislature is over and the real campaigning is probably going to take a week off, attention turns to November, and guessing whether XYZ can "really" win? Articles are being developed by the bucketload because, well, when there's no actual news, this is what we do. Could it happen? Will it happen? My friends, no editor in America is paying freelancers to write two-word stories ("beats me"), and so this is what we're left with to power our economy. Speculation, the lifeblood of politics.

The latest one to cross the desk is from Congressional Quarterly, which has taken 9 "experts" and sampled what they think. Could Democrats take control of Congress. Sure, it could happen. The Red Sox won a World Series.

The most honest answer may have come from Rhodes Cook who said, "At this point, one result is as likely as the other."

Which brings up another potential question that is likely to produce as little firm information: "is the result of one, likely to be pretty much the same as the other?"

Beats me.

May 2006
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The feature examines statements made by Minnesota politicians and checks them for accuracy. Based on data analysis, document reviews and interviews with non-partisan analysts, statements are rated either true, false or inconclusive. PoliGraph is a collaboration between Minnesota Public Radio News and the Humphrey School of Public Affairs at the University of Minnesota. More

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