The game is well underway as it is every biennium. A sitting governor has proposed a budget. Legislative leaders are shocked by it. The numbers change. The majority party changes. The game never changes.
So how close to reality are proposed budgets? There's no equation but a quick examination of the general state spending budgets for the last 10 years shows they're usually in the "ballpark."
Bieninum
Proposed by governor
Actual general spending
2000-2001 (Ventura)
$25 billion
$23.4 billion
2002-2003 (Ventura)
$27.3 billion
$26.6 billion
2004-2005 (Pawlenty)
$28.1 billion
$28.1 billion*
2006-2007 (Pawlenty)
$30 billion
$31.4 billion *
2008-2009 (Pawlenty)
$34.4 billion
$32.2 billion **
2010-2011 (Pawlenty)
$33.6 billion
$30.2 billion***
2012-2013 (Dayton)
$37.1 billion
--
* Based on end-of-session forecast expenditures
** Based on February revenue forecast
*** Based on November forecast
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