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Do national convention cities make a difference in elections?
Posted at 11:23 AM on May 12, 2010
by Bob Collins
(3 Comments)
Filed under: Politics
"Florida remains a perennial swing state where a convention could sway undecided voters," the Associated Press says.
Really? People choose who will be president based on where a convention is held? History -- at least recent history -- doesn't support the conclusion, at least for Republicans.
It's been 20 years since a state that's hosted the Republican National Convention went Republican in the November election. Picking a "swing state" over a "solidly friendly" state is a relatively new tradition and it usually doesn't work. 1980 was the last time it did, when Ronald Reagan won Michigan over Jimmy Carter.
Here's the list:
| YEAR | LOCATION | WHO WON THE STATE? |
| 2008 | St. Paul, MN | Democrats |
| 2004 | New York, NY | Democrats |
| 2000 | Philadelphia, PA | Democrats |
| 1996 | San Diego, CA | Democrats |
| 1992 | Houston, TX | Republicans |
| 1988 | New Orleans, LA | Republicans |
| 1984 | Dallas, TX | Republicans |
| 1980 | Detroit, MI | Republicans |
| 1976 | Kansas City, MO. | Democrats |
| 1972 | Miami, FL. | Republicans |
| 1968 | Miami, FL. | Republicans |
| 1964 | San Francisco, CA | Democrats |
| 1960 | Chicago, IL. | Democrats |
Comments (3)
I think that it's pretty arrogant of either party to assume that anyone actually cares about the location of their convention, except the people who are inconvenienced by it.
Small correction: the Democrats won Missouri in 1976, not the GOP. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:ElectoralCollege1976.svg
Sure enough, I looked at my map and Kansas was where Missouri should be. (g)
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