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The Bleacher Bums: September 9, 2008 Archive

Twins likely to face Rays or Red Sox in ALDS

Posted at 10:18 AM on September 9, 2008 by Steve Rudolph

If Ron Gardenhire can find the magic elixir for his bullpen and/or the Chicago White Sox implode, the Twins will open the playoffs on the road in either St. Petersburg, Fla. or Boston.

Based on their current records, the winner of the Central Division appears destined to received the third seed in the four-team playoff. Since the fourth-seeded wild card entrant is likely to come from the East and division opponents cannot face each other in the ALDS, the Angels will get the wild card winner regardless of whether they finish with the best record in the League. That means the Central Division champion will likely open the playoffs inside Tropicana Field.

Let's hope the Twins are still in the race when they take on the Rays in a four-game series in Florida next week. It could provide a preview of postseason baseball and possibly spark a budding rivalry.

In the line of fire

Posted at 11:33 AM on September 9, 2008 by Chris Dall (2 Comments)

20080909jackson_large.jpgThe Tuesday morning quarterbacking is in full flight, and so far the reviews for Tarvaris Jackson aren't good.

Okay, TJack was not good last night. I don't think he was quite as bad as some others do, but clearly he did nothing last night to indicate the improvement that Viking coaches and players talked about all August. He still lacks accuracy, he still makes questionable decisions, he can't stretch the defenses, and every time he drops back to pass you wonder if something bad is going to happen.

That being said, he did do some good things last night. He ran much more confidently than he did in any game last year, and he did a nice job leading the team down the field in the fourth quarter. And however badly you think he played, he wasn't the one who gave up a punt return for a touchdown or two plays of 50+ yards. Last night's loss was pretty much a team effort.

Still, Jackson has to do more than provide glimpses of good things to come, and the question now is how many more games like this will he get before there's pressure to make a move. I think if he stinks it up at the Dome next weekend, Gus Frerotte's going to become the most popular man in town.

(Photo by Dilip Vishwanat/Getty Images)

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Quick Poll: Will the Twins see October?

Posted at 4:56 PM on September 9, 2008 by Than Tibbetts

Three weeks left: which team will find itself on top of the Central Division?

Fair or Foul: The Twins' playoff chances

Posted at 4:38 PM on September 9, 2008 by Than Tibbetts (2 Comments)

fairorfoul.jpgThe Twins will make the playoffs

 

Steve Rudolph: Foul!

It's appearing more and more likely that the American League Central Division title will be decided in the Metrodome when the Twins host the White Sox for three games in the final week of the season. As much as it pains me to write it, my money is on the Pale Hose.

The Twins have surprised me all season long and far exceeded anyone's (especially the front office's) expectations. However, there are three areas of concern that are likely to become even more apparent in the final month.

(1) The Twins young stars, particularly the rookies, are the reason the Twins are still in the race. But it's a lot easier to perform when you're playing loose and in the underdog role. As each game and each at bat gets more important, players like Span, Casilla, Buscher and Gomez will feel the pressure and see their averages drop.

(2) The Twins don't have reliable setup men to get the game from the young starters to Joe Nathan. The failure of the starters to work deep into games early in the year caught up with the Twins bullpen. Guerrier, Reyes and Crain all are among the league leaders in appearance and are three all now struggling down the stretch. Coincidence? I think not. Guardado will help some, but don't forget he's pitched nearly as many games as the other three this season.

(3) Look at nearly every championship team in recent history and you'll find a clear ace of the staff. The guy you give the ball to in the big game knowing that he'll give you seven or eight inning and keep you in it. The guy who breaks a losing streak. The guy that picks his team up when the bats are quiet. Who is that pitcher on the Twins? One may emerge in future years but it won't happen this year.

While they may come up a bit short this year, the experience gained from this next month will pay off for years to come.

Than Tibbetts: Fair!

Today we find the Twins 2.5 2 games behind the White Sox, with 19 games left to play. It's shaping up to be deja vu all over again, if deja vu was 2006.

In 2006, the Twins backed into a division title after the Detriot Tigers inexplicably melted down over the last week of the season, losing three straight against the Royals, a team that lost 100 games.

This year, the Twins' single best chance to clinch a postseason berth boils down to Domefield advantage.

The Twins begin a three-game series against the Sox at home Sept. 23rd. While the Twins are 7-8 against the Sox this year, they're 5-1 against the Sox at home in the Metrodome. Gleeman's tea leaves tell us that both teams' schedules are essentially a wash, meaning the three-game home stand against the White Sox is either team's best chance to seal — or steal &mdash the deal.

(And, by the way, this holds true even if the Twins are still 2, even 3, games back come Darth Vader Day.)

Neither team has been playing inspired baseball of late, meaning the race to the division title will be a race to 90 wins, and not much more, in a division where three teams figure to finish below the .500 mark. It's very plausible that that Twins won't have to play much better than .500 baseball to make it in.

As for the team's young talent, a high-pressure series or two might just be the cure to the team's West Coast blues. The dugout is no doubt anxious to make up for the lackluster performances during the 14-game road trip out west. What better time to have a little extra motivation and a day of rest at home?

On balance, look for the bullpen to be sharper, the at-bats to be smarter and the crowd to be louder as the Twins slip by the White Sox for their fifth Central Division title this decade.


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