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Statistically speaking, we should be in
Posted at 4:59 PM on September 7, 2006
by Ben Tesch
Labor Day is welcome sign for leaders: First place on holiday usually means trip to postseason
Since baseball expanded the playoffs in 1995, 73 of 92 leaders (67 first-place clubs and 25 other teams either in sole possession or tied for first in the Wild Card standings) went on to reach the playoffs.
That's a 79.3-percent success rate for the teams on top when the fireworks subsided on Labor Day. Conversely, only 20.7 percent of the leaders, or 18 teams, missed the playoffs after leading on Labor Day.
The good news for the Wild Card-leading Twins and Padres is that of the 25 Labor Day Wild Card leaders during the past 11 seasons, eight were not leading when the season ended, and yet two of those made the playoffs as division champions. Six of the 25, or 24 percent, missed the playoffs.
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